TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13141928
Played Sep 17Finished
Pawel Adamus
Home
2.20
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
117116911118––
Jakub Pruszkowski
Away
1.60
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:15 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timePawel Adamus to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
74 points played in total.
Set by set
117116911118––
H2H Pawel Adamus 16–17 Jakub Pruszkowski Pawel Adamus has won 16 of their 33 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 19:15What took a side1 for · 2 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.60 (58%)
Pruszkowski
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
16-17 in 33
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Adamus 1424 vs Pruszkowski 1481
Pruszkowski
Wrong
both rated, 57 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Adamus 80% vs Pruszkowski 40%
Adamus
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Adamus 50% vs Pruszkowski 50%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Adamus -1 · Pruszkowski +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 58% — Slight lean (leans Pruszkowski) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Pruszkowski form (40%) is below what odds imply (63%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsAdamus 2.20 / Pruszkowski 1.60
Signal prob.42% / 58%
Edge (Pruszkowski)+0.0pp
TT Elite Series · #13141928
Adamus2.20
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog44% won 88 of 202
Down 0–1, comes back25% 25 of 101
Down 0–2, comes back2% 1 of 45
Pruszkowski1.60
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite65% won 462 of 707
Up 2–0, closes it95% 239 of 251
Up 1–0, closes it83% 359 of 431
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeAdamus6wins
AwayPruszkowski4wins
4 of 10 to a deciderAdamus leads 6–4, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeAdamus66.7%4 of 6
AwayPruszkowski50%2 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Adamus6Pruszkowski4n = 10Adamus took 6 of 10
S2Adamus6Pruszkowski4n = 10Adamus took 6 of 10
S3Adamus4Pruszkowski6n = 10Pruszkowski took 6 of 10
S4Adamus4Pruszkowski6n = 10Pruszkowski took 6 of 10
S5Adamus3Pruszkowski1n = 4Adamus took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricAdamusPruszkowskiA − PBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match41.341.2+0.1per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricAdamusPruszkowskiBasisWin rate · lifetime367 / 663 vs 1132 / 178855.4%63.3%367 / 663 vs 1132 / 1788Avg sets wonper match2.22.3per matchAvg pointsper match40.339.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PruszkowskiAdamus 2.20/Pruszkowski 1.60
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
57.9%
Pruszkowski · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Adamus won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 17 · 06:00P. Adamus4211119113J. Pruszkowski32761181
LSep 16 · 22:00P. Adamus36711991J. Pruszkowski4111811113
WSep 16 · 02:35P. Adamus4011511133J. Pruszkowski399118111
LSep 15 · 18:10P. Adamus30711661J. Pruszkowski4211911113
LSep 6 · 21:10P. Adamus4011313131J. Pruszkowski5091115153
WAug 23 · 21:10P. Adamus46511511143J. Pruszkowski42114114122
WAug 23 · 16:50P. Adamus42711112113J. Pruszkowski3911771132
WAug 9 · 22:00P. Adamus4011711113J. Pruszkowski31711491
LAug 9 · 18:00P. Adamus4311114892J. Pruszkowski47591111113
WJul 22 · 24:35P. Adamus541112119113J. Pruszkowski4991461192
P. Adamus10
LSep 17 · 07:10P. Adamus2.3614780O. Jadach1.481611113LSep 17 · 04:25P. Adamus1.70118119102O. Vincenec1.95711511123WSep 17 · 03:10P. Adamus1.80111278113M. Lebek1.90810111172WSep 17 · 02:00O. Vincenec2.006690P. Adamus1.671111113WSep 17 · 01:10O. Jadach1.60491171P. Adamus2.1011111113WSep 17 · 24:25P. Adamus1.3911119113O. Sokolowski2.65851171LSep 16 · 22:50P. Adamus2.0013840M. Lebek1.701511113LSep 16 · 22:00J. Pruszkowski1.6211811113P. Adamus2.15711991WSep 16 · 02:35P. Adamus1.6711511133J. Pruszkowski2.109118111LSep 16 · 01:00P. Adamus1.6791220G. Marud2.101114113
J. Pruszkowski10
WSep 17 · 06:45O. Vincenec2.655118101J. Pruszkowski1.3911711123WSep 17 · 05:10J. Pruszkowski1.22111111113O. Sokolowski3.60137971LSep 17 · 04:00J. Pruszkowski1.835990O. Jadach1.811111113LSep 17 · 02:20J. Pruszkowski1.635111071M. Lebek2.0511912113WSep 17 · 24:45O. Vincenec2.60981161J. Pruszkowski1.4111115113LSep 17 · 24:00O. Jadach1.86117115113J. Pruszkowski1.8081161192WSep 16 · 23:10J. Pruszkowski1.221111113O. Sokolowski3.606660WSep 16 · 22:00J. Pruszkowski1.6211811113P. Adamus2.15711991LSep 16 · 02:35P. Adamus1.6711511133J. Pruszkowski2.109118111WSep 16 · 01:25J. Pruszkowski1.611111113G. Jurowicz2.209730
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