TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13139358
Played Sep 16Finished
Zdenek Zahradka
Home
2.20
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 3
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
113116117––––
Dominik Tichy
Away
1.62
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 08:28 and never touched — 60.9% is still 60.9%
Graded at full timeDominik Tichy to win
60.9%
60.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingZdenek Zahradka above · Dominik Tichy below
Set 1 · 11-3
Set 2 · 11-6
Set 3 · 11-7
Point 49 set 3, 11-7 — our read held Dominik Tichy at 60.9%
49 points played in total.
H2H Zdenek Zahradka 8–8 Dominik Tichy Dead even across their 16 meetings.
Last 10 · 3–7Head to head
The pickConfirm
Sealed 08:28What took a side2 for · 1 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Tichy
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
8-8 in 16
—
Too close
gap of 0, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Zahradka 1408 vs Tichy 1469
Tichy
Wrong
both rated, 61 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Zahradka 40% vs Tichy 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Zahradka 40% vs Tichy 30%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Zahradka -3 · Tichy -2
Zahradka
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 3 silent — and the gate let it through as Confirm.
Signal confidence: 61% — Slight lean (leans Tichy)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Tichy form (40%) is below what odds imply (62%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsZahradka 2.20 / Tichy 1.61
Signal prob.39% / 61%
Edge (Tichy)+3.2pp
TT Cup · #13139358
Zahradka2.20
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog35% won 70 of 200
Down 0–1, comes back14% 16 of 112
Down 0–2, comes back5% 3 of 62
Tichy1.61
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite69% won 127 of 185
Up 2–0, closes it93% 63 of 68
Up 1–0, closes it81% 100 of 123
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeZahradka3wins
AwayTichy7wins
6 of 10 to a deciderTichy leads 7–3, and 6 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeZahradka50%2 of 4
AwayTichy83.3%5 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Zahradka4Tichy6n = 10Tichy took 6 of 10
S2Zahradka3Tichy7n = 10Tichy took 7 of 10
S3Zahradka5Tichy5n = 10split evenly
S4Zahradka5Tichy4n = 9Zahradka took 5 of 9
S5Zahradka2Tichy4n = 6Tichy took 4 of 6
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away440%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricZahradkaTichyZ − TBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match41.042.6−1.6per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricZahradkaTichyBasisWin rate · lifetime410 / 832 vs 167 / 26349.3%63.5%410 / 832 vs 167 / 263Avg sets wonper match2.12.4per matchAvg pointsper match38.639.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
TichyZahradka 2.20/Tichy 1.61
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
60.9%
Tichy · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Zahradka won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 5 · 18:04Z. Zahradka389118101D. Tichy4111711123
WSep 5 · 16:25Z. Zahradka44111111113D. Tichy30913441
LAug 30 · 10:55Z. Zahradka175660D. Tichy331111113
WAug 29 · 08:55Z. Zahradka47761111123D. Tichy44111148102
LAug 21 · 18:20Z. Zahradka4441191192D. Tichy48116119113
LAug 21 · 17:25Z. Zahradka47117116122D. Tichy46411611143
WAug 17 · 15:50Z. Zahradka49119711113D. Tichy4051111852
LAug 5 · 17:53Z. Zahradka521011119112D. Tichy54129911133
LAug 5 · 17:25Z. Zahradka30116671D. Tichy4181111113
LJul 23 · 17:20Z. Zahradka42451211102D. Tichy491111105123
Z. Zahradka10
LSep 16 · 15:20Z. Zahradka2.0081215842J. Dvorak1.7311101311113LSep 16 · 14:20Z. Zahradka1.83118891M. Dvorak1.8391111113LSep 14 · 17:50Z. Zahradka3.00101191182D. Sykora1.36127118113WSep 14 · 16:50Z. Zahradka1.5011811113D. Sochor2.50811791WSep 14 · 15:20D. Sykora1.30811771Z. Zahradka3.4011811113WSep 14 · 14:50J. Hendrych2.00111241072Z. Zahradka1.734101112113LSep 10 · 17:29Z. Zahradka2.501191011112M. Dolezal1.50611128133LSep 10 · 16:50J. Hendrych2.101211115113Z. Zahradka1.6714581172WSep 10 · 15:50Z. Zahradka2.751111113M. Dolezal1.404730LSep 10 · 14:20L. Moravec1.8311119113Z. Zahradka1.83731161
D. Tichy10
LSep 16 · 15:50M. Dvorak2.00115811113D. Tichy1.7361111232LSep 16 · 14:50D. Tichy1.807690J. Dvorak1.911111113WSep 5 · 18:04Z. Zahradka1.839118101D. Tichy1.8311711123WSep 5 · 16:55J. Dvorak1.839480D. Tichy1.831111113LSep 5 · 16:25Z. Zahradka2.25111111113D. Tichy1.57913441LSep 5 · 15:25D. Tichy1.731812861M. Filipek2.00201011113LSep 1 · 01:20J. Cerny2.2011136113D. Tichy1.618111161WAug 31 · 17:18M. Beran1.67711511102D. Tichy2.10117116123LAug 31 · 15:50M. Beran1.61111111113D. Tichy2.20551341LAug 31 · 14:50D. Tichy2.0091171162P. Moravec1.73116118113
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