TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13135630
Played Sep 16Finished
Jerzy Pelka
Home
2.60
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
114116118––––
Krzysztof Hetnar
Away
1.41
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 15:08 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeJerzy Pelka to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
51 points played in total.
Set by set
114116118––––
H2H Jerzy Pelka 12–21 Krzysztof Hetnar Jerzy Pelka has won 12 of their 33 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 15:08What took a side1 for · 4 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.41 (65%)
Hetnar
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
12-21 in 33
Hetnar
Wrong
gap of 9 in 33, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Pelka 1406 vs Hetnar 1483
Hetnar
Wrong
both rated, 77 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Pelka 60% vs Hetnar 40%
Pelka
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Pelka 70% vs Hetnar 60%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Pelka -1 · Hetnar -3
Hetnar
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 68% — Clear lean (leans Hetnar) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Hetnar form (40%) is below what odds imply (71%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPelka 2.60 / Hetnar 1.41
Signal prob.32% / 68%
Edge (Hetnar)+3.2pp
TT Elite Series · #13135630
Pelka2.60
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog47% won 78 of 167
Down 0–1, comes back17% 13 of 76
Down 0–2, comes back2% 1 of 45
Hetnar1.41
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite69% won 264 of 385
Up 2–0, closes it98% 146 of 149
Up 1–0, closes it85% 215 of 253
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomePelka6wins
AwayHetnar4wins
3 of 10 to a deciderPelka leads 6–4, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomePelka66.7%2 of 3
AwayHetnar42.9%3 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Pelka3Hetnar7n = 10Hetnar took 7 of 10
S2Pelka7Hetnar3n = 10Pelka took 7 of 10
S3Pelka6Hetnar4n = 10Pelka took 6 of 10
S4Pelka2Hetnar6n = 8Hetnar took 6 of 8
S5Pelka3Hetnar0n = 3Pelka took 3 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricPelkaHetnarP − HBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match37.338.2−0.9per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPelkaHetnarBasisWin rate · lifetime431 / 924 vs 716 / 117046.7%61.2%431 / 924 vs 716 / 1170Avg sets wonper match2.02.3per matchAvg pointsper match38.138.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
HetnarPelka 2.60/Hetnar 1.41
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
68%
Hetnar · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Pelka won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 10 · 14:20J. Pelka331111113K. Hetnar249780
LSep 10 · 06:20J. Pelka31117761K. Hetnar3961111113
WMay 27 · 13:30J. Pelka51711139113K. Hetnar46116111172
LMay 27 · 07:30J. Pelka314111061K. Hetnar4311912113
LMay 21 · 15:55J. Pelka32312981K. Hetnar43111011113
WMay 21 · 09:55J. Pelka45611116113K. Hetnar4311861172
WMay 5 · 11:30J. Pelka4291111113K. Hetnar33116971
WMay 5 · 07:10J. Pelka521110119113K. Hetnar4271281142
LApr 30 · 13:55J. Pelka113440K. Hetnar331111113
WApr 30 · 07:55J. Pelka45111211113K. Hetnar361310491
J. Pelka10
WSep 16 · 06:45P. Kurek1.809111181J. Pelka1.9111139113LSep 11 · 14:20J. Pelka1.531731361P. Slosarczyk2.38191111113WSep 11 · 12:40M. Baron1.73711111172J. Pelka2.00111376113WSep 11 · 11:50Z. Sobkow1.7391271192J. Pelka2.001110119113LSep 11 · 11:00J. Pelka1.50861111112O. Sokolowski2.50111148133WSep 11 · 09:50J. Pelka2.7511611113O. Jadach1.40311891WSep 11 · 08:10J. Pelka1.53513119113P. Slosarczyk2.38111181182WSep 11 · 06:30M. Baron1.73912211102J. Pelka2.001110119123WSep 11 · 05:40O. Jadach1.50612781J. Pelka2.50111011113WSep 11 · 04:55J. Pelka1.671211113O. Sokolowski2.1010690
K. Hetnar10
LSep 15 · 14:40M. Baron2.631111113K. Hetnar1.448850LSep 15 · 13:30K. Hetnar2.0011711632K. Slawinski1.73311811113LSep 15 · 12:15P. Gumulinski1.8311811113K. Hetnar1.83811681WSep 15 · 11:00P. Przewlocki2.384440K. Hetnar1.531111113WSep 15 · 09:25M. Sikon2.7534110K. Hetnar1.401111133WSep 15 · 08:35P. Gumulinski2.107780K. Hetnar1.671111113WSep 15 · 07:20K. Hetnar1.9171111123K. Slawinski1.801167101WSep 15 · 06:05M. Baron2.505850K. Hetnar1.501111113LSep 15 · 04:55P. Przewlocki2.38514113113K. Hetnar1.53111271192WSep 15 · 03:25M. Sikon3.001161041K. Hetnar1.3691112113
Upcoming Matches
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Sep 16 · 07:55J. Pelka1.67M. Sikon2.00—Sep 16 · 09:05J. Pelka1.39B. Madej2.65—Sep 16 · 10:20J. Pelka1.32M. Rus2.90—Sep 16 · 11:55J. Pelka2.60K. Hetnar1.41—Sep 16 · 12:45J. Pelka1.30M. Rus3.00—Sep 16 · 13:55J. Pelka1.67M. Sikon2.00—Sep 16 · 15:05J. Pelka1.39B. Madej2.65—Sep 16 · 16:20J. Pelka2.03P. Kurek1.64—
K. Hetnar
Sep 16 · 07:30K. Hetnar1.17B. Madej4.10—Sep 16 · 08:45K. Hetnar1.14M. Rus4.50—Sep 16 · 09:55K. Hetnar1.33M. Sikon2.85—Sep 16 · 11:05K. Hetnar1.49P. Kurek2.32—Sep 16 · 11:55K. Hetnar1.41J. Pelka2.60—Sep 16 · 13:30K. Hetnar1.17B. Madej4.10—Sep 16 · 14:45K. Hetnar1.49P. Kurek2.32—Sep 16 · 15:55K. Hetnar1.33M. Sikon2.85—Sep 16 · 17:05K. Hetnar1.14M. Rus4.50—
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