TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13128963
Played Sep 15Finished
Piotr Przewlocki
Home
2.38
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
411411411––––
Krzysztof Hetnar
Away
1.53
At publish
Won last 4Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 4
The read, and what happenedsealed at 11:11 and never touched — 65.2% is still 65.2%
Graded at full timeKrzysztof Hetnar to win
65.2%
65.2%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingPiotr Przewlocki above · Krzysztof Hetnar below
Set 1 · 4-11
Set 2 · 4-11
Set 3 · 4-11
Point 45 set 3, 4-11 — our read held Krzysztof Hetnar at 65.2%
45 points played in total.
H2H Piotr Przewlocki 9–33 Krzysztof Hetnar Piotr Przewlocki has won 9 of their 42 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 11:11What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.53 (61%)
Hetnar
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
9-33 in 42
Hetnar
Correct
gap of 24 in 42, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Przewlocki 1378 vs Hetnar 1514
Hetnar
Correct
both rated, 135 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Przewlocki 60% vs Hetnar 80%
Hetnar
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Przewlocki 60% vs Hetnar 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Przewlocki +1 · Hetnar +4
Hetnar
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 65% — Clear lean (leans Hetnar)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Hetnar form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (65%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPrzewlocki 2.38 / Hetnar 1.53
Signal prob.35% / 65%
Edge (Hetnar)+4.4pp
TT Elite Series · #13128963
Przewlocki2.38
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog38% won 126 of 328
Down 0–1, comes back24% 47 of 199
Down 0–2, comes back10% 10 of 97
Hetnar1.53
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 4
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite69% won 266 of 385
Up 2–0, closes it98% 147 of 150
Up 1–0, closes it85% 216 of 253
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomePrzewlocki4wins
AwayHetnar6wins
8 of 10 to a deciderHetnar leads 6–4, and 8 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomePrzewlocki33.3%1 of 3
AwayHetnar57.1%4 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Przewlocki3Hetnar7n = 10Hetnar took 7 of 10
S2Przewlocki5Hetnar5n = 10split evenly
S3Przewlocki3Hetnar7n = 10Hetnar took 7 of 10
S4Przewlocki5Hetnar3n = 8Przewlocki took 5 of 8
S5Przewlocki4Hetnar4n = 8split evenly
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home440%
2–3Decider, away440%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricPrzewlockiHetnarP − HBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match40.044.4−4.4per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPrzewlockiHetnarBasisWin rate · lifetime519 / 1091 vs 718 / 117147.6%61.3%519 / 1091 vs 718 / 1171Avg sets wonper match2.02.3per matchAvg pointsper match38.638.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
HetnarPrzewlocki 2.38/Hetnar 1.53
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
65.2%
Hetnar · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Hetnar won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 15 · 04:55P. Przewlocki44514113113K. Hetnar50111271192
LSep 7 · 11:00P. Przewlocki52111381192K. Hetnar481311112113
LAug 26 · 11:50P. Przewlocki4311571192K. Hetnar49811118113
LAug 26 · 03:50P. Przewlocki196670K. Hetnar331111113
LAug 24 · 12:40P. Przewlocki4481111772K. Hetnar49119711113
WAug 24 · 06:30P. Przewlocki45123811113K. Hetnar48101111972
WAug 19 · 10:35P. Przewlocki48511129113K. Hetnar44115101172
LAug 19 · 03:00P. Przewlocki1641020K. Hetnar341112113
WAug 17 · 13:30P. Przewlocki45811411113K. Hetnar4111911822
LAug 17 · 07:20P. Przewlocki44113911102K. Hetnar48711117123
P. Przewlocki10
WSep 15 · 09:50P. Przewlocki2.75137912113P. Gumulinski1.401111111072LSep 15 · 08:10P. Przewlocki2.2011580K. Slawinski1.611311113LSep 15 · 06:30M. Sikon1.7316817113P. Przewlocki2.0014111591WSep 15 · 05:40P. Gumulinski1.40581191P. Przewlocki2.7511119113WSep 15 · 04:55P. Przewlocki2.38514113113K. Hetnar1.53111271192LSep 15 · 03:50P. Przewlocki1.831212591M. Baron1.83141011113LSep 14 · 14:20P. Przewlocki2.50111191192K. Slawinski1.50813118113WSep 14 · 12:40M. Sikon1.83961191P. Przewlocki1.8311115113WSep 14 · 11:50J. Kaczmarek2.00911101342P. Przewlocki1.731191211113WSep 14 · 11:00P. Przewlocki1.831111710113L. Oracz1.8358111262
K. Hetnar10
WSep 15 · 09:25M. Sikon2.7534110K. Hetnar1.401111133WSep 15 · 08:35P. Gumulinski2.107780K. Hetnar1.671111113WSep 15 · 07:20K. Hetnar1.9171111123K. Slawinski1.801167101WSep 15 · 06:05M. Baron2.505850K. Hetnar1.501111113LSep 15 · 04:55P. Przewlocki2.38514113113K. Hetnar1.53111271192WSep 15 · 03:25M. Sikon3.001161041K. Hetnar1.3691112113LSep 10 · 17:05K. Hetnar1.8611119592O. Jadach1.80451111113LSep 10 · 15:30K. Hetnar1.85611911152K. Adamus1.80119114173LSep 10 · 14:20K. Hetnar1.429780J. Pelka2.551111113WSep 10 · 12:45K. Hetnar1.34771111113W. Glanowski2.8511113652
Upcoming Matches
P. Przewlocki
Sep 15 · 12:40P. Przewlocki1.67M. Sikon2.10—Sep 15 · 14:20P. Przewlocki2.00K. Slawinski1.73—Sep 16 · 03:50P. Przewlocki2.10K. Adamus1.67—Sep 16 · 04:30P. Przewlocki2.25P. Gumulinski1.57—Sep 16 · 06:05P. Przewlocki1.83W. Urban1.83—Sep 16 · 06:55P. Przewlocki1.28I. Szymanski3.50—Sep 16 · 07:45P. Przewlocki2.10R. Gajda1.67—Sep 16 · 09:00P. Przewlocki2.25P. Gumulinski1.57—Sep 16 · 10:10P. Przewlocki2.10R. Gajda1.67—Sep 16 · 11:50P. Przewlocki2.10K. Adamus1.67—
K. Hetnar
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