TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13128945
Played Sep 15Finished
Piotr Gumulinski
Home
1.40
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
511811119911––
Piotr Przewlocki
Away
2.75
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 11:15 and never touched — 70.7% is still 70.7%
Graded at full timePiotr Gumulinski to win
70.7%
70.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingPiotr Gumulinski above · Piotr Przewlocki below
Set 1 · 5-11
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 11-9
Set 4 · 9-11
Point 75 set 4, 9-11 — our read held Piotr Gumulinski at 70.7%
75 points played in total.
H2H Piotr Gumulinski 22–9 Piotr Przewlocki Piotr Przewlocki has won 9 of their 31 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 11:15What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.40 (66%)
Gumulinski
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
22-9 in 31
Gumulinski
Wrong
gap of 13 in 31, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Gumulinski 1446 vs Przewlocki 1362
Gumulinski
Wrong
both rated, 84 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Gumulinski 60% vs Przewlocki 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Gumulinski 50% vs Przewlocki 70%
Przewlocki
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Gumulinski -2 · Przewlocki +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 69% — Clear lean (leans Gumulinski) · live re-read · sealed at 71% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Przewlocki form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (36%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsGumulinski 1.40 / Przewlocki 2.75
Signal prob.69% / 31%
Edge (Gumulinski)+2.4pp
TT Elite Series · #13128945
Gumulinski1.40
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite61% won 344 of 562
Up 2–0, closes it94% 156 of 166
Up 1–0, closes it76% 233 of 305
Przewlocki2.75
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog38% won 126 of 328
Down 0–1, comes back24% 47 of 199
Down 0–2, comes back10% 10 of 97
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeGumulinski8wins
AwayPrzewlocki2wins
2 of 10 to a deciderGumulinski leads 8–2, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeGumulinski100%7 of 7
AwayPrzewlocki66.7%2 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Gumulinski7Przewlocki3n = 10Gumulinski took 7 of 10
S2Gumulinski7Przewlocki3n = 10Gumulinski took 7 of 10
S3Gumulinski6Przewlocki4n = 10Gumulinski took 6 of 10
S4Gumulinski3Przewlocki2n = 5Gumulinski took 3 of 5
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home440%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricGumulinskiPrzewlockiG − PBasisWins82+6in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match39.033.9+5.1per matchSweeps41+33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricGumulinskiPrzewlockiBasisWin rate · lifetime1022 / 1822 vs 517 / 108756.1%47.6%1022 / 1822 vs 517 / 1087Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match39.338.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
GumulinskiGumulinski 1.40/Przewlocki 2.75
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
68.7%
Gumulinski · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Przewlocki won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WJul 30 · 13:10P. Gumulinski341112113P. Przewlocki1741030
LJul 30 · 05:40P. Gumulinski194870P. Przewlocki331111113
WJun 24 · 07:35P. Gumulinski331111113P. Przewlocki268990
WJun 16 · 02:45P. Gumulinski521271111113P. Przewlocki4014113662
WJun 15 · 23:05P. Gumulinski351311113P. Przewlocki2911990
WJun 9 · 04:20P. Gumulinski4212811113P. Przewlocki361011781
WJun 8 · 18:45P. Gumulinski381213133P. Przewlocki321011110
WMay 28 · 07:35P. Gumulinski43111110113P. Przewlocki34581291
LMay 28 · 01:35P. Gumulinski449119151P. Przewlocki4811911173
WMay 11 · 01:30P. Gumulinski501111107113P. Przewlocki4484121192
P. Gumulinski10
WSep 15 · 06:55P. Gumulinski1.83139426133M. Baron1.8311111124112LSep 15 · 04:10P. Gumulinski1.3311891162M. Sikon3.25711115113LSep 15 · 03:00P. Gumulinski1.911011561K. Slawinski1.8012911113WSep 9 · 14:20P. Kurek2.38711261P. Gumulinski1.5311311113WSep 9 · 13:30K. Schaniel2.2591111792P. Gumulinski1.57119911113WSep 9 · 11:25P. Przewlocki2.75811101152P. Gumulinski1.40116129113LSep 9 · 10:35R. Gajda2.10117811113P. Gumulinski1.6781111792LSep 9 · 09:00O. Vincenec2.1012911113P. Gumulinski1.671011991LSep 9 · 08:10P. Kurek2.50117911123P. Gumulinski1.50811119102WSep 9 · 07:20K. Schaniel2.107650P. Gumulinski1.671111113
P. Przewlocki10
LSep 15 · 06:30M. Sikon1.7316817113P. Przewlocki2.0014111591WSep 15 · 04:55P. Przewlocki2.38514113113K. Hetnar1.53111271192LSep 15 · 03:50P. Przewlocki1.831212591M. Baron1.83141011113LSep 14 · 14:20P. Przewlocki2.50111191192K. Slawinski1.50813118113WSep 14 · 12:40M. Sikon1.83961191P. Przewlocki1.8311115113WSep 14 · 11:50J. Kaczmarek2.00911101342P. Przewlocki1.731191211113WSep 14 · 11:00P. Przewlocki1.831111710113L. Oracz1.8358111262WSep 14 · 09:50P. Przewlocki2.1015916153P. Kurek1.67131114131WSep 14 · 08:10P. Przewlocki2.2511312113K. Slawinski1.578111091LSep 9 · 11:25P. Przewlocki2.75811101152P. Gumulinski1.40116129113
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