TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13128940
Played Sep 15Finished
Piotr Gumulinski
Home
1.33
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
117811911115611
Mateusz Sikon
Away
3.25
At publish
Lost last 6Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 6
The read, and what happenedsealed at 11:12 and never touched — 73.3% is still 73.3%
Graded at full timePiotr Gumulinski to win
73.3%
73.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingPiotr Gumulinski above · Mateusz Sikon below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 9-11
Set 4 · 11-5
Set 5 · 6-11
Point 90 set 5, 6-11 — our read held Piotr Gumulinski at 73.3%
90 points played in total.
H2H Piotr Gumulinski 13–4 Mateusz Sikon Mateusz Sikon has won 4 of their 17 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 11:12What took a side5 for · 1 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.33 (71%)
Gumulinski
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
13-4 in 17
Gumulinski
Wrong
gap of 9 in 17, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Gumulinski 1460 vs Sikon 1355
Gumulinski
Wrong
both rated, 105 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Gumulinski 60% vs Sikon 0%
Gumulinski
Wrong
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Gumulinski 50% vs Sikon 30%
Gumulinski
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Gumulinski -1 · Sikon -5
Sikon
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 75% — Strong (leans Gumulinski) · live re-read · sealed at 73% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Sikon form (0%) is below what odds imply (31%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsGumulinski 1.33 / Sikon 3.25
Signal prob.75% / 25%
Edge (Gumulinski)+4.4pp
TT Elite Series · #13128940
Gumulinski1.33
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite61% won 344 of 561
Up 2–0, closes it94% 156 of 166
Up 1–0, closes it77% 233 of 304
Sikon3.25
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 6
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog34% won 91 of 272
Down 0–1, comes back15% 25 of 172
Down 0–2, comes back3% 3 of 107
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeGumulinski6wins
AwaySikon4wins
2 of 10 to a deciderGumulinski leads 6–4, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeGumulinski71.4%5 of 7
AwaySikon66.7%2 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Gumulinski7Sikon3n = 10Gumulinski took 7 of 10
S2Gumulinski7Sikon3n = 10Gumulinski took 7 of 10
S3Gumulinski4Sikon6n = 10Sikon took 6 of 10
S4Gumulinski4Sikon3n = 7Gumulinski took 4 of 7
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricGumulinskiSikonG − SBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match41.036.2+4.8per matchSweeps30+33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricGumulinskiSikonBasisWin rate · lifetime1022 / 1821 vs 154 / 40656.1%37.9%1022 / 1821 vs 154 / 406Avg sets wonper match2.11.7per matchAvg pointsper match39.336.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
GumulinskiGumulinski 1.33/Sikon 3.25
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
75.3%
Gumulinski · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Sikon won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 2 · 07:35P. Gumulinski4214711101M. Sikon4316114123
LSep 1 · 21:10P. Gumulinski33119851M. Sikon3961111113
WAug 30 · 23:10P. Gumulinski4211119113M. Sikon24261151
LAug 30 · 17:10P. Gumulinski5011791582M. Sikon482111113113
WAug 18 · 01:50P. Gumulinski591220511113M. Sikon53141811642
LAug 8 · 11:25P. Gumulinski4041312111M. Sikon49111114133
WAug 8 · 05:15P. Gumulinski331111113M. Sikon218580
WJul 28 · 02:10P. Gumulinski4111163113M. Sikon408141171
WJul 27 · 23:05P. Gumulinski371115113M. Sikon2991370
WJul 14 · 01:10P. Gumulinski331111113M. Sikon164570
P. Gumulinski10
LSep 15 · 03:00P. Gumulinski1.911011561K. Slawinski1.8012911113WSep 9 · 14:20P. Kurek2.38711261P. Gumulinski1.5311311113WSep 9 · 13:30K. Schaniel2.2591111792P. Gumulinski1.57119911113WSep 9 · 11:25P. Przewlocki2.75811101152P. Gumulinski1.40116129113LSep 9 · 10:35R. Gajda2.10117811113P. Gumulinski1.6781111792LSep 9 · 09:00O. Vincenec2.1012911113P. Gumulinski1.671011991LSep 9 · 08:10P. Kurek2.50117911123P. Gumulinski1.50811119102WSep 9 · 07:20K. Schaniel2.107650P. Gumulinski1.671111113WSep 9 · 05:15P. Przewlocki2.757880P. Gumulinski1.401111113LSep 9 · 04:30O. Vincenec2.101011211123P. Gumulinski1.67124115102
M. Sikon10
LSep 15 · 03:25M. Sikon3.001161041K. Hetnar1.3691112113LSep 14 · 13:55M. Sikon2.50411981P. Kurek1.5011511113LSep 14 · 12:40M. Sikon1.83961191P. Przewlocki1.8311115113LSep 14 · 11:25M. Sikon2.7568100K. Slawinski1.401111123LSep 14 · 10:10J. Kaczmarek1.83811119123M. Sikon1.83116811102LSep 14 · 09:25M. Sikon2.75781131L. Oracz1.4011117113WSep 14 · 07:45M. Sikon1.9111912113J. Kaczmarek1.809111091WSep 14 · 06:30M. Sikon1.801111107153P. Przewlocki1.91771211132WSep 14 · 05:15M. Sikon2.631511113K. Slawinski1.4413990LSep 14 · 04:10P. Kurek1.50101211113M. Sikon2.501210281
Upcoming Matches
P. Gumulinski
Sep 15 · 05:40P. Gumulinski1.40P. Przewlocki2.75—Sep 15 · 06:55P. Gumulinski1.83M. Baron1.83—Sep 15 · 08:35P. Gumulinski2.10K. Hetnar1.67—Sep 15 · 09:50P. Gumulinski1.40P. Przewlocki2.75—Sep 15 · 10:35P. Gumulinski1.91K. Slawinski1.80—Sep 15 · 12:15P. Gumulinski2.10K. Hetnar1.67—Sep 15 · 13:05P. Gumulinski1.83M. Baron1.83—Sep 15 · 13:55P. Gumulinski1.33M. Sikon3.25—
M. Sikon
Sep 15 · 05:15M. Sikon3.25K. Slawinski1.33—Sep 15 · 06:30M. Sikon1.73P. Przewlocki2.00—Sep 15 · 07:45M. Sikon1.83M. Baron1.83—Sep 15 · 09:25M. Sikon3.00K. Hetnar1.36—Sep 15 · 10:10M. Sikon1.83M. Baron1.83—Sep 15 · 11:25M. Sikon3.40K. Slawinski1.30—Sep 15 · 12:40M. Sikon1.73P. Przewlocki2.00—Sep 15 · 13:55M. Sikon3.25P. Gumulinski1.33—
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