TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13125403
Played Sep 14Finished
Mateusz Sikon
Home
2.75
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
6118111012––––
Kacper Slawinski
Away
1.40
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 15:30 and never touched — 70.7% is still 70.7%
Graded at full timeKacper Slawinski to win
70.7%
70.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingMateusz Sikon above · Kacper Slawinski below
Set 1 · 6-11
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 10-12
Point 58 set 3, 10-12 — our read held Kacper Slawinski at 70.7%
58 points played in total.
H2H Mateusz Sikon 2–4 Kacper Slawinski Mateusz Sikon has won 2 of their 6 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 15:30What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.40 (66%)
Slawinski
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
2-4 in 6
Slawinski
Correct
gap of 2 in 6, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Sikon 1370 vs Slawinski 1501
Slawinski
Correct
both rated, 131 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Sikon 60% vs Slawinski 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Sikon 50% vs Slawinski 50%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Sikon -2 · Slawinski +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 68% — Clear lean (leans Slawinski) · live re-read · sealed at 71% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Slawinski form (60%) is below what odds imply (71%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSikon 2.75 / Slawinski 1.40
Signal prob.32% / 68%
Edge (Slawinski)+2.0pp
TT Elite Series · #13125403
Sikon2.75
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog34% won 91 of 272
Down 0–1, comes back15% 25 of 172
Down 0–2, comes back3% 3 of 107
Slawinski1.40
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite69% won 107 of 155
Up 2–0, closes it98% 50 of 51
Up 1–0, closes it81% 78 of 96
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 6 meetings
HomeSikon2wins
AwaySlawinski4wins
Slawinski leads 4–2.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSikon66.7%2 of 3
AwaySlawinski100%3 of 3
Set by set, in these 6 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Sikon3Slawinski3n = 6split evenly
S2Sikon4Slawinski2n = 6Sikon took 4 of 6
S3Sikon2Slawinski4n = 6Slawinski took 4 of 6
S4Sikon0Slawinski3n = 3Slawinski took 3 of 3
How those 6 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 6 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home233%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away350%
0–3Straight, away117%
These 6 meetings
MetricSikonSlawinskiSikon − SlawinskiBasisWins24−2in 6 meetingsFirst set330of 6Avg pointsper match31.033.5−2.5per matchSweeps21+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSikonSlawinskiBasisWin rate · lifetime154 / 402 vs 614 / 99338.3%61.8%154 / 402 vs 614 / 993Avg sets wonper match1.72.2per matchAvg pointsper match36.238.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SlawinskiSikon 2.75/Slawinski 1.40
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
68.3%
Slawinski · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Slawinski won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record6
WSep 14 · 05:15M. Sikon371511113K. Slawinski3113990
LSep 10 · 14:20M. Sikon34711881K. Slawinski3811511113
LSep 10 · 08:10M. Sikon33118951K. Slawinski3631111113
LAug 18 · 07:55M. Sikon28511841K. Slawinski4011711113
WAug 17 · 09:50M. Sikon331111113K. Slawinski237880
LAug 17 · 05:40M. Sikon214980K. Slawinski331111113
M. Sikon10
LSep 14 · 10:10J. Kaczmarek1.83811119123M. Sikon1.83116811102LSep 14 · 09:25M. Sikon2.75781131L. Oracz1.4011117113WSep 14 · 07:45M. Sikon1.9111912113J. Kaczmarek1.809111091WSep 14 · 06:30M. Sikon1.801111107153P. Przewlocki1.91771211132WSep 14 · 05:15M. Sikon2.631511113K. Slawinski1.4413990LSep 14 · 04:10P. Kurek1.50101211113M. Sikon2.501210281WSep 14 · 03:25M. Sikon3.00311911113L. Oracz1.3611611782LSep 10 · 14:20M. Sikon3.50711881K. Slawinski1.2811511113WSep 10 · 12:40R. Idaczyk2.1086100M. Sikon1.671111123LSep 10 · 11:50L. Oracz1.301111113M. Sikon3.406890
K. Slawinski10
WSep 14 · 10:35P. Kurek2.63101111992K. Slawinski1.44129311113WSep 14 · 09:00J. Kaczmarek3.509111091K. Slawinski1.2811812113LSep 14 · 08:10P. Przewlocki2.2511312113K. Slawinski1.578111091WSep 14 · 07:20L. Oracz2.10108100K. Slawinski1.671211123LSep 14 · 05:15M. Sikon2.631511113K. Slawinski1.4413990WSep 14 · 04:30J. Kaczmarek3.501171261K. Slawinski1.2891114113LSep 14 · 03:00P. Kurek2.751011911113K. Slawinski1.4012711782WSep 13 · 16:20K. Slawinski1.271211113R. Wojcik3.2010880LSep 13 · 15:05K. Slawinski1.7571110101M. Oracz1.9011812123WSep 10 · 14:20M. Sikon3.50711881K. Slawinski1.2811511113
Upcoming Matches
M. Sikon
Sep 14 · 12:40M. Sikon1.83P. Przewlocki1.83—Sep 14 · 13:55M. Sikon2.50P. Kurek1.50—Sep 15 · 03:25M. Sikon3.00K. Hetnar1.36—Sep 15 · 04:10M. Sikon3.25P. Gumulinski1.33—Sep 15 · 05:15M. Sikon2.75K. Slawinski1.40—Sep 15 · 07:45M. Sikon1.83M. Baron1.83—Sep 15 · 09:25M. Sikon3.00K. Hetnar1.36—Sep 15 · 10:10M. Sikon1.83M. Baron1.83—Sep 15 · 11:25M. Sikon2.75K. Slawinski1.40—Sep 15 · 13:55M. Sikon3.25P. Gumulinski1.33—
K. Slawinski
Sep 14 · 13:30K. Slawinski1.73L. Oracz2.00—Sep 14 · 14:20K. Slawinski1.50P. Przewlocki2.50—Sep 15 · 03:00K. Slawinski1.80P. Gumulinski1.91—Sep 15 · 04:30K. Slawinski1.44M. Baron2.63—Sep 15 · 05:15K. Slawinski1.40M. Sikon2.75—Sep 15 · 07:20K. Slawinski1.80K. Hetnar1.91—Sep 15 · 08:10K. Slawinski1.50P. Przewlocki2.50—Sep 15 · 09:00K. Slawinski1.44M. Baron2.63—Sep 15 · 11:25K. Slawinski1.40M. Sikon2.75—Sep 15 · 13:30K. Slawinski1.80K. Hetnar1.91—
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