TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13126689
Played Sep 14Finished
Pawel Kurek
Home
2.63
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
1012119113911911
Kacper Slawinski
Away
1.44
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 21:38 and never touched — 67.1% is still 67.1%
Graded at full timeKacper Slawinski to win
67.1%
67.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingPawel Kurek above · Kacper Slawinski below
Set 1 · 10-12
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 11-3
Set 4 · 9-11
Set 5 · 9-11
Point 96 set 5, 9-11 — our read held Kacper Slawinski at 67.1%
96 points played in total.
H2H Pawel Kurek 1–4 Kacper Slawinski Pawel Kurek has won 1 of their 5 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 21:38What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.44 (65%)
Slawinski
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-4 in 5
Slawinski
Correct
gap of 3 in 5, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kurek 1381 vs Slawinski 1493
Slawinski
Correct
both rated, 113 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kurek 40% vs Slawinski 60%
Slawinski
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kurek 60% vs Slawinski 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Kurek -1 · Slawinski +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 67% — Clear lean (leans Slawinski)
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKurek 2.63 / Slawinski 1.44
Signal prob.33% / 67%
Edge (Slawinski)+2.4pp
TT Elite Series · #13126689
Kurek2.63
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog38% won 118 of 307
Down 0–1, comes back22% 39 of 177
Down 0–2, comes back6% 6 of 99
Slawinski1.44
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite69% won 107 of 155
Up 2–0, closes it98% 50 of 51
Up 1–0, closes it81% 78 of 96
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 5 meetings
HomeKurek1wins
AwaySlawinski4wins
2 of 5 to a deciderSlawinski leads 4–1, and 2 of those 5 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKurekn = 0, below the 3 needed
AwaySlawinski80%4 of 5
Set by set, in these 5 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kurek0Slawinski5n = 5Slawinski took 5 of 5
S2Kurek2Slawinski3n = 5Slawinski took 3 of 5
S3Kurek2Slawinski3n = 5Slawinski took 3 of 5
S4Kurek1Slawinski2n = 3Slawinski took 2 of 3
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 5 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 5 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home120%
2–3Decider, away120%
1–3Four sets, away120%
0–3Straight, away240%
These 5 meetings
MetricKurekSlawinskiK − SBasisWins14−3in 5 meetingsFirst set05−5of 5Avg pointsper match35.838.8−3.0per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKurekSlawinskiBasisWin rate · lifetime403 / 804 vs 614 / 99350.1%61.8%403 / 804 vs 614 / 993Avg sets wonper match2.02.2per matchAvg pointsper match37.438.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SlawinskiKurek 2.63/Slawinski 1.44
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
66.9%
Slawinski · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Slawinski won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record5
LSep 14 · 10:35P. Kurek50101111992K. Slawinski46129311113
WSep 14 · 03:00P. Kurek521011911113K. Slawinski4512711782
LSep 10 · 10:35P. Kurek217590K. Slawinski331111113
LSep 10 · 03:00P. Kurek30861151K. Slawinski3611113113
LAug 12 · 10:10P. Kurek2671090K. Slawinski341112113
P. Kurek10
LSep 14 · 09:50P. Przewlocki2.1015916153P. Kurek1.67131114131WSep 14 · 08:35P. Kurek2.381411123L. Oracz1.53124100LSep 14 · 06:55P. Kurek1.4491050J. Kaczmarek2.631112113LSep 14 · 05:40P. Kurek1.73771181P. Przewlocki2.0011113113WSep 14 · 04:10P. Kurek1.50101211113M. Sikon2.501210281WSep 14 · 03:00P. Kurek2.751011911113K. Slawinski1.4012711782LSep 11 · 17:05R. Skotniczny1.601111113P. Kurek2.109970WSep 11 · 15:55P. Kurek2.2511115113G. Wichowski1.54851141WSep 11 · 14:45S. Szostok1.601011101182P. Kurek2.10124127113WSep 11 · 13:30P. Mecik2.267860P. Kurek1.521111113
K. Slawinski10
WSep 14 · 09:00J. Kaczmarek3.509111091K. Slawinski1.2811812113LSep 14 · 08:10P. Przewlocki2.2511312113K. Slawinski1.578111091WSep 14 · 07:20L. Oracz2.10108100K. Slawinski1.671211123WSep 14 · 04:30J. Kaczmarek3.501171261K. Slawinski1.2891114113LSep 14 · 03:00P. Kurek2.751011911113K. Slawinski1.4012711782WSep 13 · 16:20K. Slawinski1.271211113R. Wojcik3.2010880LSep 13 · 15:05K. Slawinski1.7571110101M. Oracz1.9011812123LSep 13 · 13:55K. Slawinski1.378111191P. Slosarczyk2.7011136113WSep 13 · 12:45F. Witczak2.2581181282K. Slawinski1.541191110113WSep 13 · 11:55K. Slawinski1.1911611113O. Sokolowski3.85411591
Upcoming Matches
P. Kurek
K. Slawinski
Sep 14 · 11:25K. Slawinski1.40M. Sikon2.75—Sep 14 · 13:30K. Slawinski1.73L. Oracz2.00—Sep 14 · 14:20K. Slawinski1.50P. Przewlocki2.50—Sep 15 · 03:00K. Slawinski1.80P. Gumulinski1.91—Sep 15 · 04:30K. Slawinski1.44M. Baron2.63—Sep 15 · 07:20K. Slawinski1.80K. Hetnar1.91—Sep 15 · 09:00K. Slawinski1.44M. Baron2.63—Sep 15 · 11:25K. Slawinski1.40M. Sikon2.75—Sep 15 · 14:20K. Slawinski1.50P. Przewlocki2.50—
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