TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13125200
Played Sep 14Finished
Pawel Kurek
Home
1.73
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
711711113811––
Piotr Przewlocki
Away
2.00
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 14:41 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timePawel Kurek to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingPawel Kurek above · Piotr Przewlocki below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 11-3
Set 4 · 8-11
Point 69 set 4, 8-11 — our read held Pawel Kurek at 54.0%
69 points played in total.
H2H Pawel Kurek 9–6 Piotr Przewlocki Piotr Przewlocki has won 6 of their 15 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 14:41What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Kurek
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
9-6 in 15
Kurek
Wrong
gap of 3 in 15, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kurek 1419 vs Przewlocki 1292
Kurek
Wrong
both rated, 127 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kurek 80% vs Przewlocki 20%
Kurek
Wrong
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kurek 60% vs Przewlocki 40%
Kurek
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Kurek +2 · Przewlocki -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 55% — Slight lean (leans Kurek) · live re-read · sealed at 54% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Przewlocki form (20%) is below what odds imply (50%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKurek 1.73 / Przewlocki 2.00
Signal prob.55% / 45%
Edge (Kurek)+1.6pp
TT Elite Series · #13125200
Kurek1.73
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite66% won 206 of 312
Up 2–0, closes it94% 95 of 101
Up 1–0, closes it84% 142 of 169
Przewlocki2.00
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As underdog39% won 126 of 326
Down 0–1, comes back24% 48 of 199
Down 0–2, comes back11% 10 of 95
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKurek6wins
AwayPrzewlocki4wins
3 of 10 to a deciderKurek leads 6–4, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKurek75%3 of 4
AwayPrzewlocki50%3 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kurek4Przewlocki6n = 10Przewlocki took 6 of 10
S2Kurek5Przewlocki5n = 10split evenly
S3Kurek5Przewlocki5n = 10split evenly
S4Kurek5Przewlocki2n = 7Kurek took 5 of 7
S5Kurek2Przewlocki1n = 3Kurek took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricKurekPrzewlockiK − PBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match39.035.8+3.2per matchSweeps12−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKurekPrzewlockiBasisWin rate · lifetime402 / 799 vs 513 / 108350.3%47.4%402 / 799 vs 513 / 1083Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.438.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KurekKurek 1.73/Przewlocki 2.00
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
55.3%
Kurek · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Przewlocki won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 9 · 12:40P. Kurek47911511113P. Przewlocki4611611992
LSep 9 · 06:30P. Kurek4211710141P. Przewlocki4671112163
LAug 12 · 13:05P. Kurek4078111132P. Przewlocki41111135113
WAug 12 · 04:10P. Kurek331111113P. Przewlocki269980
LJul 28 · 22:35P. Kurek2481150P. Przewlocki351113113
WJul 28 · 15:00P. Kurek529111110113P. Przewlocki4011291262
WJul 13 · 09:50P. Kurek4311912113P. Przewlocki316111041
LJul 13 · 05:40P. Kurek2210840P. Przewlocki341211113
WJul 1 · 03:25P. Kurek45111112113P. Przewlocki28541451
WMay 28 · 03:10P. Kurek4291111113P. Przewlocki31117671
P. Kurek10
WSep 14 · 04:10P. Kurek1.50101211113M. Sikon2.501210281WSep 14 · 03:00P. Kurek2.751011911113K. Slawinski1.4012711782LSep 11 · 17:05R. Skotniczny1.601111113P. Kurek2.109970WSep 11 · 15:55P. Kurek2.2511115113G. Wichowski1.54851141WSep 11 · 14:45S. Szostok1.601011101182P. Kurek2.10124127113WSep 11 · 13:30P. Mecik2.267860P. Kurek1.521111113LSep 11 · 11:55J. Pruszkowski1.65111149113P. Kurek2.1095111192LSep 11 · 11:05S. Szostok1.601111113P. Kurek2.108670WSep 11 · 09:55P. Kurek2.05211119143G. Wichowski1.70118511122LSep 11 · 08:45R. Skotniczny1.6091111113P. Kurek2.10117891
P. Przewlocki10
LSep 14 · 04:55P. Przewlocki2.00871181L. Oracz1.7311118113LSep 14 · 03:50P. Przewlocki2.00107111182J. Kaczmarek1.73121168113WSep 9 · 13:55P. Przewlocki1.731114113R. Gajda2.0071280LSep 9 · 12:40P. Przewlocki2.1011611992P. Kurek1.67911511113LSep 9 · 11:25P. Przewlocki2.75811101152P. Gumulinski1.40116129113LSep 9 · 10:10O. Vincenec1.831161413113P. Przewlocki1.83911121562WSep 9 · 09:25P. Przewlocki2.20461211113K. Schaniel1.61111110832WSep 9 · 07:45P. Przewlocki1.83311811193O. Vincenec1.83117116172WSep 9 · 06:30P. Przewlocki2.1071112163P. Kurek1.6711710141LSep 9 · 05:15P. Przewlocki2.757880P. Gumulinski1.401111113
Upcoming Matches
P. Kurek
P. Przewlocki
Sep 14 · 06:30P. Przewlocki2.00M. Sikon1.73—Sep 14 · 08:10P. Przewlocki2.25K. Slawinski1.57—Sep 14 · 09:50P. Przewlocki1.91P. Kurek1.80—Sep 14 · 11:00P. Przewlocki1.91L. Oracz1.80—Sep 14 · 11:50P. Przewlocki1.73J. Kaczmarek2.00—Sep 14 · 12:40P. Przewlocki2.00M. Sikon1.73—Sep 14 · 14:20P. Przewlocki2.25K. Slawinski1.57—
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