TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13098601
Played Sep 9Finished
Piotr Przewlocki
Home
1.73
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 3
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
1171412118––––
Rafal Gajda
Away
2.00
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 11:19 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timePiotr Przewlocki to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingPiotr Przewlocki above · Rafal Gajda below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 14-12
Set 3 · 11-8
Point 63 set 3, 11-8 — our read held Piotr Przewlocki at 54.0%
63 points played in total.
H2H Piotr Przewlocki 4–2 Rafal Gajda Rafal Gajda has won 2 of their 6 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 11:19What took a side3 for · 2 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Przewlocki
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
4-2 in 6
Przewlocki
Correct
gap of 2 in 6, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Przewlocki 1305 vs Gajda 1360
Gajda
Wrong
both rated, 55 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Przewlocki 40% vs Gajda 60%
Gajda
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Przewlocki 40% vs Gajda 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Przewlocki -3 · Gajda -2
Przewlocki
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Przewlocki)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Przewlocki form (40%) is below what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPrzewlocki 1.73 / Gajda 2.00
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Przewlocki)+0.3pp
TT Elite Series · #13098601
Przewlocki1.73
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest10%takes the first set · 1 of 10
As favourite58% won 131 of 227
Up 2–0, closes it94% 50 of 53
Up 1–0, closes it73% 84 of 115
Gajda2.00
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog44% won 136 of 307
Down 0–1, comes back29% 49 of 172
Down 0–2, comes back8% 7 of 84
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 6 meetings
HomePrzewlocki4wins
AwayGajda2wins
1 of 6 to a deciderPrzewlocki leads 4–2, and 1 of those 6 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomePrzewlockin = 1, below the 3 needed
AwayGajda40%2 of 5
Set by set, in these 6 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Przewlocki1Gajda5n = 6Gajda took 5 of 6
S2Przewlocki4Gajda2n = 6Przewlocki took 4 of 6
S3Przewlocki5Gajda1n = 6Przewlocki took 5 of 6
S4Przewlocki2Gajda2n = 4split evenly
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 6 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 6 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home117%
3–1Four sets, home233%
3–2Decider, home117%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away117%
0–3Straight, away117%
These 6 meetings
MetricPrzewlockiGajdaP − GBasisWins42+2in 6 meetingsFirst set15−4of 6Avg pointsper match37.837.80.0per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPrzewlockiGajdaBasisWin rate · lifetime512 / 1082 vs 413 / 79947.3%51.7%512 / 1082 vs 413 / 799Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.539.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PrzewlockiPrzewlocki 1.73/Gajda 2.00
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Przewlocki · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Przewlocki won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record6
LAug 4 · 12:40P. Przewlocki—7121171R. Gajda—11148113
WAug 4 · 06:30P. Przewlocki—71114113R. Gajda—1191291
WJun 30 · 15:05P. Przewlocki—61111113R. Gajda—117691
WJun 30 · 09:05P. Przewlocki—811119133R. Gajda—118911112
WJun 25 · 13:55P. Przewlocki—1111133R. Gajda—78110
LJun 25 · 04:10P. Przewlocki—3990R. Gajda—1111113
P. Przewlocki10
LSep 9 · 12:40P. Przewlocki2.1011611992P. Kurek1.67911511113LSep 9 · 11:25P. Przewlocki2.75811101152P. Gumulinski1.40116129113LSep 9 · 10:10O. Vincenec1.831161413113P. Przewlocki1.83911121562WSep 9 · 09:25P. Przewlocki2.20461211113K. Schaniel1.61111110832WSep 9 · 07:45P. Przewlocki1.83311811193O. Vincenec1.83117116172WSep 9 · 06:30P. Przewlocki2.1071112163P. Kurek1.6711710141LSep 9 · 05:15P. Przewlocki2.757880P. Gumulinski1.401111113LSep 9 · 04:10R. Gajda2.00118711113P. Przewlocki1.7391111672WSep 9 · 03:25P. Przewlocki2.2071111113K. Schaniel1.61119781LSep 8 · 13:55R. Idaczyk1.731111153P. Przewlocki2.0059130
R. Gajda10
LSep 9 · 13:05O. Vincenec2.10711911133R. Gajda1.67118119112LSep 9 · 12:15R. Gajda1.80111451192K. Schaniel1.917121113113WSep 9 · 10:35R. Gajda2.10117811113P. Gumulinski1.6781111792WSep 9 · 09:50P. Kurek2.10117861R. Gajda1.6761111113WSep 9 · 08:35R. Gajda1.83713611113K. Schaniel1.83111111432LSep 9 · 06:55R. Gajda1.73711211102O. Vincenec2.00116118123LSep 9 · 05:40R. Gajda1.73531111112P. Kurek2.00111179133WSep 9 · 04:10R. Gajda2.00118711113P. Przewlocki1.7391111672LSep 9 · 03:00R. Gajda2.007890P. Gumulinski1.731111113LSep 8 · 20:20R. Gajda2.1851160K. Juszczyk1.561113113
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.