TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13125227
Played Sep 14Finished
Piotr Przewlocki
Home
2.00
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
811711118811––
Lukasz Oracz
Away
1.73
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 15:04 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeLukasz Oracz to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingPiotr Przewlocki above · Lukasz Oracz below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 11-8
Set 4 · 8-11
Point 75 set 4, 8-11 — our read held Lukasz Oracz at 54.0%
75 points played in total.
H2H Piotr Przewlocki 8–13 Lukasz Oracz Piotr Przewlocki has won 8 of their 21 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickConfirm
Sealed 15:04What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Oracz
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
8-13 in 21
Oracz
Correct
gap of 5 in 21, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Przewlocki 1299 vs Oracz 1472
Oracz
Correct
both rated, 174 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Przewlocki 20% vs Oracz 60%
Oracz
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Przewlocki 40% vs Oracz 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Przewlocki -1 · Oracz -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and the gate let it through as Confirm.
Signal confidence: 57% — Slight lean (leans Oracz) · live re-read · sealed at 54% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Przewlocki form (20%) is below what odds imply (50%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPrzewlocki 2.00 / Oracz 1.73
Signal prob.43% / 57%
Edge (Oracz)+3.2pp
TT Elite Series · #13125227
Przewlocki2.00
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As underdog39% won 126 of 326
Down 0–1, comes back24% 48 of 199
Down 0–2, comes back11% 10 of 95
Oracz1.73
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As favourite64% won 373 of 583
Up 2–0, closes it97% 201 of 208
Up 1–0, closes it82% 291 of 353
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomePrzewlocki5wins
AwayOracz5wins
3 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomePrzewlocki83.3%5 of 6
AwayOracz100%4 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Przewlocki6Oracz4n = 10Przewlocki took 6 of 10
S2Przewlocki8Oracz2n = 10Przewlocki took 8 of 10
S3Przewlocki5Oracz5n = 10split evenly
S4Przewlocki3Oracz3n = 6split evenly
S5Przewlocki0Oracz3n = 3Oracz took 3 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricPrzewlockiOraczP − OBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match36.437.1−0.7per matchSweeps31+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPrzewlockiOraczBasisWin rate · lifetime513 / 1083 vs 832 / 149647.4%55.6%513 / 1083 vs 832 / 1496Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.538.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
OraczPrzewlocki 2.00/Oracz 1.73
Hit
What we said
56.9%
Oracz · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Oracz won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 25 · 12:40P. Przewlocki3911125472L. Oracz529101111113
LAug 25 · 06:30P. Przewlocki28571151L. Oracz4211119113
LJul 30 · 13:55P. Przewlocki4961691172L. Oracz561114119113
WJul 30 · 07:55P. Przewlocki331111113L. Oracz217770
WJul 3 · 16:40P. Przewlocki3711114113L. Oracz30561181
WJul 3 · 10:40P. Przewlocki391115133L. Oracz32813110
LJun 24 · 04:50P. Przewlocki4381111672L. Oracz47119511113
LApr 23 · 12:20P. Przewlocki2141070L. Oracz341112113
WApr 23 · 08:20P. Przewlocki4112117113L. Oracz321071141
WApr 14 · 17:05P. Przewlocki341111123L. Oracz2569100
P. Przewlocki10
WSep 14 · 05:40P. Kurek1.73771181P. Przewlocki2.0011113113LSep 14 · 03:50P. Przewlocki2.00107111182J. Kaczmarek1.73121168113WSep 9 · 13:55P. Przewlocki1.731114113R. Gajda2.0071280LSep 9 · 12:40P. Przewlocki2.1011611992P. Kurek1.67911511113LSep 9 · 11:25P. Przewlocki2.75811101152P. Gumulinski1.40116129113LSep 9 · 10:10O. Vincenec1.831161413113P. Przewlocki1.83911121562WSep 9 · 09:25P. Przewlocki2.20461211113K. Schaniel1.61111110832WSep 9 · 07:45P. Przewlocki1.83311811193O. Vincenec1.83117116172WSep 9 · 06:30P. Przewlocki2.1071112163P. Kurek1.6711710141LSep 9 · 05:15P. Przewlocki2.757880P. Gumulinski1.401111113
L. Oracz10
LSep 14 · 03:25M. Sikon3.00311911113L. Oracz1.3611611782WSep 12 · 02:10A. Ruszkiewicz2.2581170L. Oracz1.571113113WSep 12 · 01:25O. Vincenec2.1011791162L. Oracz1.67511117113WSep 11 · 23:20S. Krupa2.208760L. Oracz1.611111113LSep 11 · 22:35K. Schaniel2.25114911113L. Oracz1.5771111682WSep 11 · 21:00G. Sawicki3.0013770L. Oracz1.361511113LSep 11 · 20:05A. Ruszkiewicz2.50651111113L. Oracz1.5011118962LSep 11 · 19:20O. Vincenec1.8371111123L. Oracz1.831187101WSep 11 · 17:20S. Krupa1.915370L. Oracz1.801111113LSep 11 · 16:35O. Sokolowski3.25911611113L. Oracz1.3311311792
Upcoming Matches
P. Przewlocki
Sep 14 · 06:30P. Przewlocki2.00M. Sikon1.73—Sep 14 · 08:10P. Przewlocki2.25K. Slawinski1.57—Sep 14 · 09:50P. Przewlocki1.91P. Kurek1.80—Sep 14 · 11:00P. Przewlocki1.91L. Oracz1.80—Sep 14 · 11:50P. Przewlocki1.73J. Kaczmarek2.00—Sep 14 · 12:40P. Przewlocki2.00M. Sikon1.73—Sep 14 · 14:20P. Przewlocki2.25K. Slawinski1.57—
L. Oracz
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