TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13128849
Played Sep 15Finished
Piotr Gumulinski
Home
1.91
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 3
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
1012119511611––
Kacper Slawinski
Away
1.80
At publish
Won last 5Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 5
The read, and what happenedsealed at 10:41 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeKacper Slawinski to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingPiotr Gumulinski above · Kacper Slawinski below
Set 1 · 10-12
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 5-11
Set 4 · 6-11
Point 75 set 4, 6-11 — our read held Kacper Slawinski at 54.0%
75 points played in total.
H2H Piotr Gumulinski 7–13 Kacper Slawinski Piotr Gumulinski has won 7 of their 20 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 10:41What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Slawinski
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
7-13 in 20
Slawinski
Correct
gap of 6 in 20, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Gumulinski 1471 vs Slawinski 1504
Slawinski
Correct
both rated, 33 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Gumulinski 60% vs Slawinski 100%
Slawinski
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Gumulinski 60% vs Slawinski 70%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Gumulinski +3 · Slawinski +5
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Slawinski)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Slawinski form (100%) outperforms what odds imply (56%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsGumulinski 1.91 / Slawinski 1.80
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Slawinski)+2.5pp
TT Elite Series · #13128849
Gumulinski1.91
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog59% won 131 of 223
Down 0–1, comes back46% 58 of 126
Down 0–2, comes back19% 11 of 58
Slawinski1.80
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 5
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite69% won 107 of 155
Up 2–0, closes it98% 50 of 51
Up 1–0, closes it81% 78 of 96
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeGumulinski3wins
AwaySlawinski7wins
2 of 10 to a deciderSlawinski leads 7–3, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeGumulinski66.7%2 of 3
AwaySlawinski85.7%6 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Gumulinski3Slawinski7n = 10Slawinski took 7 of 10
S2Gumulinski3Slawinski7n = 10Slawinski took 7 of 10
S3Gumulinski7Slawinski3n = 10Gumulinski took 7 of 10
S4Gumulinski4Slawinski5n = 9Slawinski took 5 of 9
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away440%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricGumulinskiSlawinskiG − SBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match38.841.0−2.2per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricGumulinskiSlawinskiBasisWin rate · lifetime1034 / 1836 vs 617 / 99656.3%62%1034 / 1836 vs 617 / 996Avg sets wonper match2.22.2per matchAvg pointsper match39.338.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SlawinskiGumulinski 1.91/Slawinski 1.80
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Slawinski · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Slawinski won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LDec 25 · 11:30P. Gumulinski391091191K. Slawinski4012116113
LDec 25 · 07:15P. Gumulinski36891181K. Slawinski4111118113
WDec 15 · 01:10P. Gumulinski43101111113K. Slawinski32128391
LDec 14 · 20:20P. Gumulinski34613961K. Slawinski44111111113
LDec 13 · 18:20P. Gumulinski47125118112K. Slawinski531011811133
LDec 6 · 17:55P. Gumulinski5199131192K. Slawinski531111119113
LNov 8 · 19:10P. Gumulinski269890K. Slawinski331111113
LNov 2 · 01:35P. Gumulinski29741171K. Slawinski4211119113
WNov 1 · 23:10P. Gumulinski4011611123K. Slawinski334118101
WNov 1 · 16:00P. Gumulinski43111110113K. Slawinski39991291
P. Gumulinski10
WSep 9 · 14:20P. Kurek2.38711261P. Gumulinski1.5311311113WSep 9 · 13:30K. Schaniel2.2591111792P. Gumulinski1.57119911113WSep 9 · 11:25P. Przewlocki2.75811101152P. Gumulinski1.40116129113LSep 9 · 10:35R. Gajda2.10117811113P. Gumulinski1.6781111792LSep 9 · 09:00O. Vincenec2.1012911113P. Gumulinski1.671011991LSep 9 · 08:10P. Kurek2.50117911123P. Gumulinski1.50811119102WSep 9 · 07:20K. Schaniel2.107650P. Gumulinski1.671111113WSep 9 · 05:15P. Przewlocki2.757880P. Gumulinski1.401111113LSep 9 · 04:30O. Vincenec2.101011211123P. Gumulinski1.67124115102WSep 9 · 03:00R. Gajda2.007890P. Gumulinski1.731111113
K. Slawinski10
WSep 14 · 14:20P. Przewlocki2.50111191192K. Slawinski1.50813118113WSep 14 · 13:30L. Oracz2.009880K. Slawinski1.731111113WSep 14 · 11:25M. Sikon2.7568100K. Slawinski1.401111123WSep 14 · 10:35P. Kurek2.63101111992K. Slawinski1.44129311113WSep 14 · 09:00J. Kaczmarek3.509111091K. Slawinski1.2811812113LSep 14 · 08:10P. Przewlocki2.2511312113K. Slawinski1.578111091WSep 14 · 07:20L. Oracz2.10108100K. Slawinski1.671211123LSep 14 · 05:15M. Sikon2.631511113K. Slawinski1.4413990WSep 14 · 04:30J. Kaczmarek3.501171261K. Slawinski1.2891114113LSep 14 · 03:00P. Kurek2.751011911113K. Slawinski1.4012711782
Upcoming Matches
P. Gumulinski
Sep 15 · 04:10P. Gumulinski1.33M. Sikon3.25—Sep 15 · 05:40P. Gumulinski1.40P. Przewlocki2.75—Sep 15 · 06:55P. Gumulinski1.83M. Baron1.83—Sep 15 · 08:35P. Gumulinski2.10K. Hetnar1.67—Sep 15 · 09:50P. Gumulinski1.40P. Przewlocki2.75—Sep 15 · 10:35P. Gumulinski1.91K. Slawinski1.80—Sep 15 · 12:15P. Gumulinski2.10K. Hetnar1.67—Sep 15 · 13:05P. Gumulinski1.83M. Baron1.83—Sep 15 · 13:55P. Gumulinski1.33M. Sikon3.25—
K. Slawinski
Sep 15 · 04:30K. Slawinski1.44M. Baron2.63—Sep 15 · 05:15K. Slawinski1.33M. Sikon3.25—Sep 15 · 07:20K. Slawinski1.80K. Hetnar1.91—Sep 15 · 08:10K. Slawinski1.61P. Przewlocki2.20—Sep 15 · 09:00K. Slawinski1.44M. Baron2.63—Sep 15 · 10:35K. Slawinski1.80P. Gumulinski1.91—Sep 15 · 11:25K. Slawinski1.30M. Sikon3.40—Sep 15 · 13:30K. Slawinski1.80K. Hetnar1.91—Sep 15 · 14:20K. Slawinski1.61P. Przewlocki2.20—
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