TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13125677
Played Sep 14Finished
Piotr Przewlocki
Home
2.50
At publish
Won last 5Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 5
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
1181113911118911
Kacper Slawinski
Away
1.50
At publish
Won last 4Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 4
The read, and what happenedsealed at 16:41 and never touched — 62.9% is still 62.9%
Graded at full timeKacper Slawinski to win
62.9%
62.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingPiotr Przewlocki above · Kacper Slawinski below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 11-13
Set 3 · 9-11
Set 4 · 11-8
Set 5 · 9-11
Point 102 set 5, 9-11 — our read held Kacper Slawinski at 62.9%
102 points played in total.
H2H Piotr Przewlocki 5–7 Kacper Slawinski Piotr Przewlocki has won 5 of their 12 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
Same-day rematch · 6h before this match
Przewlocki beat Slawinski 3-1.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 16:41What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.50 (63%)
Slawinski
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
5-7 in 12
Slawinski
Correct
gap of 2 in 12, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Przewlocki 1353 vs Slawinski 1514
Slawinski
Correct
both rated, 161 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Przewlocki 100% vs Slawinski 80%
Przewlocki
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Przewlocki 70% vs Slawinski 70%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Przewlocki +5 · Slawinski +4
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 66% — Clear lean (leans Slawinski) · live re-read · sealed at 63% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Slawinski form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (67%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPrzewlocki 2.50 / Slawinski 1.50
Signal prob.34% / 66%
Edge (Slawinski)+3.2pp
TT Elite Series · #13125677
Przewlocki2.50
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 5
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog39% won 126 of 326
Down 0–1, comes back24% 48 of 199
Down 0–2, comes back11% 10 of 95
Slawinski1.50
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 4
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite69% won 107 of 155
Up 2–0, closes it98% 50 of 51
Up 1–0, closes it81% 78 of 96
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomePrzewlocki5wins
AwaySlawinski5wins
5 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomePrzewlocki75%3 of 4
AwaySlawinski66.7%4 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Przewlocki4Slawinski6n = 10Slawinski took 6 of 10
S2Przewlocki5Slawinski5n = 10split evenly
S3Przewlocki5Slawinski5n = 10split evenly
S4Przewlocki6Slawinski3n = 9Przewlocki took 6 of 9
S5Przewlocki2Slawinski3n = 5Slawinski took 3 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricPrzewlockiSlawinskiP − SBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match41.841.7+0.1per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPrzewlockiSlawinskiBasisWin rate · lifetime519 / 1087 vs 616 / 99547.8%61.9%519 / 1087 vs 616 / 995Avg sets wonper match2.02.2per matchAvg pointsper match38.638.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SlawinskiPrzewlocki 2.50/Slawinski 1.50
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
65.7%
Slawinski · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Slawinski won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 14 · 08:10P. Przewlocki3711312113K. Slawinski388111091
WAug 17 · 11:00P. Przewlocki49148115113K. Slawinski41121131142
LAug 17 · 04:55P. Przewlocki4371161182K. Slawinski46119114113
LAug 12 · 13:55P. Przewlocki2512490K. Slawinski361411113
LAug 5 · 13:55P. Przewlocki48811111172K. Slawinski51117913113
WAug 5 · 04:10P. Przewlocki47611811113K. Slawinski4611811972
WDec 25 · 10:45P. Przewlocki4051113113K. Slawinski341161161
LDec 25 · 08:30P. Przewlocki5189111492K. Slawinski521111712113
WNov 7 · 02:35P. Przewlocki4211119113K. Slawinski33851191
LNov 7 · 24:05P. Przewlocki361110781K. Slawinski4061211113
P. Przewlocki10
WSep 14 · 12:40M. Sikon1.83961191P. Przewlocki1.8311115113WSep 14 · 11:50J. Kaczmarek2.00911101342P. Przewlocki1.731191211113WSep 14 · 11:00P. Przewlocki1.831111710113L. Oracz1.8358111262WSep 14 · 09:50P. Przewlocki2.1015916153P. Kurek1.67131114131WSep 14 · 08:10P. Przewlocki2.2511312113K. Slawinski1.578111091LSep 14 · 06:30M. Sikon1.801111107153P. Przewlocki1.91771211132WSep 14 · 05:40P. Kurek1.73771181P. Przewlocki2.0011113113LSep 14 · 04:55P. Przewlocki2.00871181L. Oracz1.7311118113LSep 14 · 03:50P. Przewlocki2.00107111182J. Kaczmarek1.73121168113WSep 9 · 13:55P. Przewlocki1.731114113R. Gajda2.0071280
K. Slawinski10
WSep 14 · 13:30L. Oracz2.009880K. Slawinski1.731111113WSep 14 · 11:25M. Sikon2.7568100K. Slawinski1.401111123WSep 14 · 10:35P. Kurek2.63101111992K. Slawinski1.44129311113WSep 14 · 09:00J. Kaczmarek3.509111091K. Slawinski1.2811812113LSep 14 · 08:10P. Przewlocki2.2511312113K. Slawinski1.578111091WSep 14 · 07:20L. Oracz2.10108100K. Slawinski1.671211123LSep 14 · 05:15M. Sikon2.631511113K. Slawinski1.4413990WSep 14 · 04:30J. Kaczmarek3.501171261K. Slawinski1.2891114113LSep 14 · 03:00P. Kurek2.751011911113K. Slawinski1.4012711782WSep 13 · 16:20K. Slawinski1.271211113R. Wojcik3.2010880
Upcoming Matches
P. Przewlocki
Sep 15 · 03:50P. Przewlocki1.80M. Baron1.91—Sep 15 · 04:55P. Przewlocki2.38K. Hetnar1.53—Sep 15 · 05:40P. Przewlocki2.75P. Gumulinski1.40—Sep 15 · 06:30P. Przewlocki2.00M. Sikon1.73—Sep 15 · 08:10P. Przewlocki2.50K. Slawinski1.50—Sep 15 · 09:50P. Przewlocki2.75P. Gumulinski1.40—Sep 15 · 11:00P. Przewlocki2.38K. Hetnar1.53—Sep 15 · 11:50P. Przewlocki1.80M. Baron1.91—Sep 15 · 12:40P. Przewlocki2.00M. Sikon1.73—Sep 15 · 14:20P. Przewlocki2.50K. Slawinski1.50—
K. Slawinski
Sep 15 · 03:00K. Slawinski1.80P. Gumulinski1.91—Sep 15 · 04:30K. Slawinski1.44M. Baron2.63—Sep 15 · 05:15K. Slawinski1.33M. Sikon3.25—Sep 15 · 07:20K. Slawinski1.80K. Hetnar1.91—Sep 15 · 08:10K. Slawinski1.50P. Przewlocki2.50—Sep 15 · 09:00K. Slawinski1.44M. Baron2.63—Sep 15 · 10:35K. Slawinski1.80P. Gumulinski1.91—Sep 15 · 11:25K. Slawinski1.33M. Sikon3.25—Sep 15 · 13:30K. Slawinski1.80K. Hetnar1.91—Sep 15 · 14:20K. Slawinski1.50P. Przewlocki2.50—
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