TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13128905
Played Sep 15Finished
Piotr Przewlocki
Home
2.38
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 2
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
5111412117311119
Krzysztof Hetnar
Away
1.53
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 11:01 and never touched — 65.2% is still 65.2%
Graded at full timeKrzysztof Hetnar to win
65.2%
65.2%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingPiotr Przewlocki above · Krzysztof Hetnar below
Set 1 · 5-11
Set 2 · 14-12
Set 3 · 11-7
Set 4 · 3-11
Set 5 · 11-9
Point 94 set 5, 11-9 — our read held Krzysztof Hetnar at 65.2%
94 points played in total.
H2H Piotr Przewlocki 8–33 Krzysztof Hetnar Piotr Przewlocki has won 8 of their 41 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 11:01What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.53 (61%)
Hetnar
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
8-33 in 41
Hetnar
Wrong
gap of 25 in 41, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Przewlocki 1347 vs Hetnar 1454
Hetnar
Wrong
both rated, 106 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Przewlocki 60% vs Hetnar 40%
Przewlocki
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Przewlocki 60% vs Hetnar 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Przewlocki -2 · Hetnar +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 65% — Clear lean (leans Hetnar)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Hetnar form (40%) is below what odds imply (65%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPrzewlocki 2.38 / Hetnar 1.53
Signal prob.35% / 65%
Edge (Hetnar)+4.4pp
TT Elite Series · #13128905
Przewlocki2.38
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog38% won 126 of 328
Down 0–1, comes back24% 47 of 199
Down 0–2, comes back10% 10 of 97
Hetnar1.53
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite69% won 266 of 385
Up 2–0, closes it98% 147 of 150
Up 1–0, closes it85% 216 of 253
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomePrzewlocki4wins
AwayHetnar6wins
7 of 10 to a deciderHetnar leads 6–4, and 7 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomePrzewlocki50%2 of 4
AwayHetnar66.7%4 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Przewlocki4Hetnar6n = 10Hetnar took 6 of 10
S2Przewlocki5Hetnar5n = 10split evenly
S3Przewlocki3Hetnar7n = 10Hetnar took 7 of 10
S4Przewlocki5Hetnar2n = 7Przewlocki took 5 of 7
S5Przewlocki3Hetnar4n = 7Hetnar took 4 of 7
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away440%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricPrzewlockiHetnarP − HBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match39.041.9−2.9per matchSweeps12−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPrzewlockiHetnarBasisWin rate · lifetime516 / 1086 vs 718 / 117147.5%61.3%516 / 1086 vs 718 / 1171Avg sets wonper match2.02.3per matchAvg pointsper match38.638.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
HetnarPrzewlocki 2.38/Hetnar 1.53
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
65.2%
Hetnar · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Przewlocki won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 7 · 11:00P. Przewlocki52111381192K. Hetnar481311112113
LAug 26 · 11:50P. Przewlocki4311571192K. Hetnar49811118113
LAug 26 · 03:50P. Przewlocki196670K. Hetnar331111113
LAug 24 · 12:40P. Przewlocki4481111772K. Hetnar49119711113
WAug 24 · 06:30P. Przewlocki45123811113K. Hetnar48101111972
WAug 19 · 10:35P. Przewlocki48511129113K. Hetnar44115101172
LAug 19 · 03:00P. Przewlocki1641020K. Hetnar341112113
WAug 17 · 13:30P. Przewlocki45811411113K. Hetnar4111911822
LAug 17 · 07:20P. Przewlocki44113911102K. Hetnar48711117123
WAug 12 · 12:15P. Przewlocki341112113K. Hetnar2571080
P. Przewlocki10
LSep 15 · 06:30M. Sikon1.7316817113P. Przewlocki2.0014111591WSep 15 · 05:40P. Gumulinski1.40581191P. Przewlocki2.7511119113LSep 15 · 03:50P. Przewlocki1.831212591M. Baron1.83141011113LSep 14 · 14:20P. Przewlocki2.50111191192K. Slawinski1.50813118113WSep 14 · 12:40M. Sikon1.83961191P. Przewlocki1.8311115113WSep 14 · 11:50J. Kaczmarek2.00911101342P. Przewlocki1.731191211113WSep 14 · 11:00P. Przewlocki1.831111710113L. Oracz1.8358111262WSep 14 · 09:50P. Przewlocki2.1015916153P. Kurek1.67131114131WSep 14 · 08:10P. Przewlocki2.2511312113K. Slawinski1.578111091LSep 14 · 06:30M. Sikon1.801111107153P. Przewlocki1.91771211132
K. Hetnar10
WSep 15 · 06:05M. Baron2.505850K. Hetnar1.501111113WSep 15 · 03:25M. Sikon3.001161041K. Hetnar1.3691112113LSep 10 · 17:05K. Hetnar1.8611119592O. Jadach1.80451111113LSep 10 · 15:30K. Hetnar1.85611911152K. Adamus1.80119114173LSep 10 · 14:20K. Hetnar1.429780J. Pelka2.551111113WSep 10 · 12:45K. Hetnar1.34771111113W. Glanowski2.8511113652WSep 10 · 11:30K. Hetnar1.6011116113K. Jablonski2.15941161WSep 10 · 10:20W. Glanowski2.95341151K. Hetnar1.3111118113WSep 10 · 09:30K. Adamus2.029101191K. Hetnar1.6511127113WSep 10 · 08:45K. Hetnar1.83111110113O. Jadach1.87771231
Upcoming Matches
P. Przewlocki
K. Hetnar
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.