TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13129350
Played Sep 15Finished
Mateusz Sikon
Home
1.73
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
16148111715119––
Piotr Przewlocki
Away
2.00
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 12:41 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timePiotr Przewlocki to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingMateusz Sikon above · Piotr Przewlocki below
Set 1 · 16-14
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 17-15
Set 4 · 11-9
Point 101 set 4, 11-9 — our read held Piotr Przewlocki at 54.0%
101 points played in total.
H2H Mateusz Sikon 6–7 Piotr Przewlocki Mateusz Sikon has won 6 of their 13 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 12:41What took a side2 for · 2 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Sikon
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
6-7 in 13
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Sikon 1374 vs Przewlocki 1364
Sikon
Correct
both rated, 10 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Sikon 20% vs Przewlocki 60%
Przewlocki
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Sikon 30% vs Przewlocki 70%
Przewlocki
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Sikon -1 · Przewlocki +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Sikon) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Sikon form (20%) is below what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSikon 1.73 / Przewlocki 2.00
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Sikon)+0.4pp
TT Elite Series · #13129350
Sikon1.73
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite53% won 53 of 101
Up 2–0, closes it83% 20 of 24
Up 1–0, closes it77% 34 of 44
Przewlocki2.00
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog38% won 126 of 328
Down 0–1, comes back24% 47 of 199
Down 0–2, comes back10% 10 of 97
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSikon4wins
AwayPrzewlocki6wins
4 of 10 to a deciderPrzewlocki leads 6–4, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSikon80%4 of 5
AwayPrzewlocki100%5 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Sikon5Przewlocki5n = 10split evenly
S2Sikon3Przewlocki7n = 10Przewlocki took 7 of 10
S3Sikon5Przewlocki5n = 10split evenly
S4Sikon3Przewlocki4n = 7Przewlocki took 4 of 7
S5Sikon2Przewlocki2n = 4split evenly
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricSikonPrzewlockiS − PBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match39.440.4−1.0per matchSweeps12−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSikonPrzewlockiBasisWin rate · lifetime156 / 409 vs 518 / 108938.1%47.6%156 / 409 vs 518 / 1089Avg sets wonper match1.72.0per matchAvg pointsper match36.238.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SikonSikon 1.73/Przewlocki 2.00
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54.1%
Sikon · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Sikon won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 15 · 06:30M. Sikon5216817113P. Przewlocki4914111591
LSep 14 · 12:40M. Sikon35961191P. Przewlocki3811115113
WSep 14 · 06:30M. Sikon541111107153P. Przewlocki50771211132
LAug 26 · 11:00M. Sikon33861181P. Przewlocki4211119113
LAug 26 · 04:55M. Sikon46117111162P. Przewlocki46811133113
LAug 17 · 12:15M. Sikon279990P. Przewlocki331111113
LAug 17 · 08:35M. Sikon239860P. Przewlocki331111113
WJul 28 · 21:00M. Sikon46124118113P. Przewlocki41101161132
LJul 28 · 16:35M. Sikon45612111242P. Przewlocki5511101310113
WJul 22 · 01:25M. Sikon331111113P. Przewlocki175930
M. Sikon10
LSep 15 · 05:15M. Sikon3.25117791K. Slawinski1.3341111113WSep 15 · 04:10P. Gumulinski1.3311891162M. Sikon3.25711115113LSep 15 · 03:25M. Sikon3.001161041K. Hetnar1.3691112113LSep 14 · 13:55M. Sikon2.50411981P. Kurek1.5011511113LSep 14 · 12:40M. Sikon1.83961191P. Przewlocki1.8311115113LSep 14 · 11:25M. Sikon2.7568100K. Slawinski1.401111123LSep 14 · 10:10J. Kaczmarek1.83811119123M. Sikon1.83116811102LSep 14 · 09:25M. Sikon2.75781131L. Oracz1.4011117113WSep 14 · 07:45M. Sikon1.9111912113J. Kaczmarek1.809111091WSep 14 · 06:30M. Sikon1.801111107153P. Przewlocki1.91771211132
P. Przewlocki10
WSep 15 · 05:40P. Gumulinski1.40581191P. Przewlocki2.7511119113WSep 15 · 04:55P. Przewlocki2.38514113113K. Hetnar1.53111271192LSep 15 · 03:50P. Przewlocki1.831212591M. Baron1.83141011113LSep 14 · 14:20P. Przewlocki2.50111191192K. Slawinski1.50813118113WSep 14 · 12:40M. Sikon1.83961191P. Przewlocki1.8311115113WSep 14 · 11:50J. Kaczmarek2.00911101342P. Przewlocki1.731191211113WSep 14 · 11:00P. Przewlocki1.831111710113L. Oracz1.8358111262WSep 14 · 09:50P. Przewlocki2.1015916153P. Kurek1.67131114131WSep 14 · 08:10P. Przewlocki2.2511312113K. Slawinski1.578111091LSep 14 · 06:30M. Sikon1.801111107153P. Przewlocki1.91771211132
Upcoming Matches
M. Sikon
P. Przewlocki
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.