TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13128975
Played Sep 15Finished
Krzysztof Hetnar
Home
1.91
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
7111161171210––
Kacper Slawinski
Away
1.80
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 11:12 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeKacper Slawinski to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingKrzysztof Hetnar above · Kacper Slawinski below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 11-6
Set 3 · 11-7
Set 4 · 12-10
Point 75 set 4, 12-10 — our read held Kacper Slawinski at 54.0%
75 points played in total.
H2H Krzysztof Hetnar 10–11 Kacper Slawinski Krzysztof Hetnar has won 10 of their 21 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 11:12What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Slawinski
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
10-11 in 21
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Hetnar 1462 vs Slawinski 1496
Slawinski
Wrong
both rated, 33 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Hetnar 40% vs Slawinski 80%
Slawinski
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Hetnar 60% vs Slawinski 80%
Slawinski
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Hetnar +1 · Slawinski +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Slawinski)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Slawinski form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (56%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsHetnar 1.91 / Slawinski 1.80
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Slawinski)+2.5pp
TT Elite Series · #13128975
Hetnar1.91
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog46% won 33 of 72
Down 0–1, comes back21% 6 of 29
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 14
Slawinski1.80
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite70% won 115 of 165
Up 2–0, closes it98% 53 of 54
Up 1–0, closes it82% 84 of 102
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeHetnar6wins
AwaySlawinski4wins
5 of 10 to a deciderHetnar leads 6–4, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeHetnar66.7%4 of 6
AwaySlawinski50%2 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Hetnar6Slawinski4n = 10Hetnar took 6 of 10
S2Hetnar5Slawinski5n = 10split evenly
S3Hetnar7Slawinski3n = 10Hetnar took 7 of 10
S4Hetnar5Slawinski3n = 8Hetnar took 5 of 8
S5Hetnar2Slawinski3n = 5Slawinski took 3 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricHetnarSlawinskiH − SBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match42.238.7+3.5per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricHetnarSlawinskiBasisWin rate · lifetime719 / 1172 vs 620 / 100161.4%61.9%719 / 1172 vs 620 / 1001Avg sets wonper match2.32.2per matchAvg pointsper match38.638.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SlawinskiHetnar 1.91/Slawinski 1.80
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Slawinski · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Hetnar won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 15 · 07:20K. Hetnar4171111123K. Slawinski341167101
WAug 17 · 14:20K. Hetnar531116411113K. Slawinski4381811422
LAug 17 · 08:10K. Hetnar379711101K. Slawinski3911115123
WAug 12 · 09:25K. Hetnar45111211113K. Slawinski27414451
WJan 12 · 12:30K. Hetnar511311511113K. Slawinski5015911782
WJan 12 · 08:10K. Hetnar331111113K. Slawinski268990
WDec 18 · 17:20K. Hetnar331111113K. Slawinski208750
LNov 19 · 06:30K. Hetnar4011512842K. Slawinski529111011113
LSep 30 · 05:55K. Hetnar4681181182K. Slawinski49118118113
LSep 25 · 13:55K. Hetnar43111011652K. Slawinski47812511113
K. Hetnar10
WSep 15 · 06:05M. Baron2.505850K. Hetnar1.501111113LSep 15 · 04:55P. Przewlocki2.38514113113K. Hetnar1.53111271192WSep 15 · 03:25M. Sikon3.001161041K. Hetnar1.3691112113LSep 10 · 17:05K. Hetnar1.8611119592O. Jadach1.80451111113LSep 10 · 15:30K. Hetnar1.85611911152K. Adamus1.80119114173LSep 10 · 14:20K. Hetnar1.429780J. Pelka2.551111113WSep 10 · 12:45K. Hetnar1.34771111113W. Glanowski2.8511113652WSep 10 · 11:30K. Hetnar1.6011116113K. Jablonski2.15941161WSep 10 · 10:20W. Glanowski2.95341151K. Hetnar1.3111118113WSep 10 · 09:30K. Adamus2.029101191K. Hetnar1.6511127113
K. Slawinski10
WSep 15 · 08:10P. Przewlocki2.2011580K. Slawinski1.611311113WSep 15 · 05:15M. Sikon3.25117791K. Slawinski1.3341111113LSep 15 · 04:30M. Baron2.631411113K. Slawinski1.4412980WSep 15 · 03:00P. Gumulinski1.911011561K. Slawinski1.8012911113WSep 14 · 14:20P. Przewlocki2.50111191192K. Slawinski1.50813118113WSep 14 · 13:30L. Oracz2.009880K. Slawinski1.731111113WSep 14 · 11:25M. Sikon2.7568100K. Slawinski1.401111123WSep 14 · 10:35P. Kurek2.63101111992K. Slawinski1.44129311113WSep 14 · 09:00J. Kaczmarek3.509111091K. Slawinski1.2811812113LSep 14 · 08:10P. Przewlocki2.2511312113K. Slawinski1.578111091
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