TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13129059
Played Sep 15Finished
Mateusz Sikon
Home
2.75
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
3114111113––––
Krzysztof Hetnar
Away
1.40
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 11:40 and never touched — 70.8% is still 70.8%
Graded at full timeKrzysztof Hetnar to win
70.8%
70.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingMateusz Sikon above · Krzysztof Hetnar below
Set 1 · 3-11
Set 2 · 4-11
Set 3 · 11-13
Point 53 set 3, 11-13 — our read held Krzysztof Hetnar at 70.8%
53 points played in total.
H2H Mateusz Sikon 2–4 Krzysztof Hetnar Mateusz Sikon has won 2 of their 6 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 11:40What took a side6 for · 0 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.40 (66%)
Hetnar
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
2-4 in 6
Hetnar
Correct
gap of 2 in 6, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Sikon 1360 vs Hetnar 1497
Hetnar
Correct
both rated, 137 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Sikon 40% vs Hetnar 80%
Hetnar
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Sikon 20% vs Hetnar 60%
Hetnar
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Sikon -1 · Hetnar +3
Hetnar
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
6 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 70% — Strong (leans Hetnar) · live re-read · sealed at 71% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSikon 2.75 / Hetnar 1.40
Signal prob.30% / 70%
Edge (Hetnar)+4.0pp
TT Elite Series · #13129059
Sikon2.75
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog34% won 94 of 279
Down 0–1, comes back15% 26 of 176
Down 0–2, comes back3% 3 of 109
Hetnar1.40
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite69% won 266 of 385
Up 2–0, closes it98% 147 of 150
Up 1–0, closes it85% 216 of 253
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 6 meetings
HomeSikon2wins
AwayHetnar4wins
3 of 6 to a deciderHetnar leads 4–2, and 3 of those 6 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSikonn = 2, below the 3 needed
AwayHetnar75%3 of 4
Set by set, in these 6 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Sikon2Hetnar4n = 6Hetnar took 4 of 6
S2Sikon4Hetnar2n = 6Sikon took 4 of 6
S3Sikon2Hetnar4n = 6Hetnar took 4 of 6
S4Sikon2Hetnar3n = 5Hetnar took 3 of 5
S5Sikon1Hetnar2n = 3Hetnar took 2 of 3
How those 6 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 6 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home117%
3–2Decider, home117%
2–3Decider, away233%
1–3Four sets, away117%
0–3Straight, away117%
These 6 meetings
MetricSikonHetnarS − HBasisWins24−2in 6 meetingsFirst set24−2of 6Avg pointsper match36.743.7−7.0per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSikonHetnarBasisWin rate · lifetime156 / 410 vs 719 / 117238.1%61.4%156 / 410 vs 719 / 1172Avg sets wonper match1.72.3per matchAvg pointsper match36.338.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
HetnarSikon 2.75/Hetnar 1.40
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
70.3%
Hetnar · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Hetnar won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record6
WAug 26 · 14:40M. Sikon4151111143K. Hetnar381178121
LAug 26 · 06:05M. Sikon45711111242K. Hetnar50117714113
LAug 17 · 10:35M. Sikon2564150K. Hetnar391111173
LAug 17 · 03:00M. Sikon30912541K. Hetnar43111011113
WJul 20 · 10:35M. Sikon42111235113K. Hetnar46710111172
LJul 20 · 03:00M. Sikon3711941122K. Hetnar46511118113
M. Sikon10
WSep 15 · 10:10M. Baron1.8311714992M. Sikon1.837111211113LSep 15 · 07:45M. Sikon1.83146111272M. Baron1.831611710113WSep 15 · 06:30M. Sikon1.7316817113P. Przewlocki2.0014111591LSep 15 · 05:15M. Sikon3.25117791K. Slawinski1.3341111113WSep 15 · 04:10P. Gumulinski1.3311891162M. Sikon3.25711115113LSep 15 · 03:25M. Sikon3.001161041K. Hetnar1.3691112113LSep 14 · 13:55M. Sikon2.50411981P. Kurek1.5011511113LSep 14 · 12:40M. Sikon1.83961191P. Przewlocki1.8311115113LSep 14 · 11:25M. Sikon2.7568100K. Slawinski1.401111123LSep 14 · 10:10J. Kaczmarek1.83811119123M. Sikon1.83116811102
K. Hetnar10
WSep 15 · 08:35P. Gumulinski2.107780K. Hetnar1.671111113WSep 15 · 07:20K. Hetnar1.9171111123K. Slawinski1.801167101WSep 15 · 06:05M. Baron2.505850K. Hetnar1.501111113LSep 15 · 04:55P. Przewlocki2.38514113113K. Hetnar1.53111271192WSep 15 · 03:25M. Sikon3.001161041K. Hetnar1.3691112113LSep 10 · 17:05K. Hetnar1.8611119592O. Jadach1.80451111113LSep 10 · 15:30K. Hetnar1.85611911152K. Adamus1.80119114173LSep 10 · 14:20K. Hetnar1.429780J. Pelka2.551111113WSep 10 · 12:45K. Hetnar1.34771111113W. Glanowski2.8511113652WSep 10 · 11:30K. Hetnar1.6011116113K. Jablonski2.15941161
Upcoming Matches
M. Sikon
K. Hetnar
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.