TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13136505
Played Sep 16Finished
Pawel Kurek
Home
1.80
At publish
Won last 4Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 4
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
9111113119811––
Jerzy Pelka
Away
1.91
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:45 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timePawel Kurek to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
83 points played in total.
Set by set
9111113119811––
H2H Pawel Kurek 2–7 Jerzy Pelka Pawel Kurek has won 2 of their 9 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 19:45What took a side3 for · 3 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Kurek
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
2-7 in 9
Pelka
Correct
gap of 5 in 9, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kurek 1423 vs Pelka 1436
Pelka
Correct
both rated, 13 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kurek 80% vs Pelka 60%
Kurek
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kurek 60% vs Pelka 80%
Pelka
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Kurek +4 · Pelka +1
Kurek
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Pelka) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kurek form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (56%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKurek 1.80 / Pelka 1.91
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Pelka)+5.5pp
TT Elite Series · #13136505
Kurek1.80
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 4
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite66% won 208 of 317
Up 2–0, closes it94% 96 of 102
Up 1–0, closes it84% 144 of 171
Pelka1.91
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog47% won 78 of 167
Down 0–1, comes back17% 13 of 76
Down 0–2, comes back2% 1 of 45
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 9 meetings
HomeKurek2wins
AwayPelka7wins
3 of 9 to a deciderPelka leads 7–2, and 3 of those 9 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKurekn = 2, below the 3 needed
AwayPelka85.7%6 of 7
Set by set, in these 9 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kurek2Pelka7n = 9Pelka took 7 of 9
S2Kurek3Pelka6n = 9Pelka took 6 of 9
S3Kurek4Pelka5n = 9Pelka took 5 of 9
S4Kurek1Pelka6n = 7Pelka took 6 of 7
S5Kurek2Pelka1n = 3Kurek took 2 of 3
How those 9 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 9 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home222%
2–3Decider, away111%
1–3Four sets, away444%
0–3Straight, away222%
These 9 meetings
MetricKurekPelkaK − PBasisWins27−5in 9 meetingsFirst set27−5of 9Avg pointsper match33.940.1−6.2per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKurekPelkaBasisWin rate · lifetime407 / 809 vs 433 / 92450.3%46.9%407 / 809 vs 433 / 924Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.438.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PelkaKurek 1.80/Pelka 1.91
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Pelka · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Pelka won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record9
LSep 16 · 06:45P. Kurek399111181J. Pelka4411139113
LAug 25 · 15:55P. Kurek31791141J. Pelka3511112113
WAug 25 · 09:55P. Kurek46711511123J. Pelka45118115102
WJul 22 · 18:45P. Kurek42111154113J. Pelka3793111132
LJun 23 · 06:25P. Kurek33781171J. Pelka3811115113
LFeb 1 · 06:55P. Kurek197750J. Pelka331111113
LJan 25 · 07:25P. Kurek3931114562J. Pelka541191211113
LDec 6 · 07:00P. Kurek27101160J. Pelka361213113
LNov 19 · 04:35P. Kurek29118641J. Pelka3961111113
P. Kurek10
WSep 16 · 05:30P. Kurek1.571111113M. Sikon2.257960WSep 14 · 13:55M. Sikon2.50411981P. Kurek1.5011511113WSep 14 · 13:05J. Kaczmarek2.386980P. Kurek1.531111113WSep 14 · 12:15P. Kurek2.38811114113L. Oracz1.5311871162LSep 14 · 10:35P. Kurek2.63101111992K. Slawinski1.44129311113LSep 14 · 09:50P. Przewlocki2.1015916153P. Kurek1.67131114131WSep 14 · 08:35P. Kurek2.381411123L. Oracz1.53124100LSep 14 · 06:55P. Kurek1.4491050J. Kaczmarek2.631112113LSep 14 · 05:40P. Kurek1.73771181P. Przewlocki2.0011113113WSep 14 · 04:10P. Kurek1.50101211113M. Sikon2.501210281
J. Pelka10
WSep 16 · 05:55J. Pelka2.601111113K. Hetnar1.414680LSep 11 · 14:20J. Pelka1.531731361P. Slosarczyk2.38191111113WSep 11 · 12:40M. Baron1.73711111172J. Pelka2.00111376113WSep 11 · 11:50Z. Sobkow1.7391271192J. Pelka2.001110119113LSep 11 · 11:00J. Pelka1.50861111112O. Sokolowski2.50111148133WSep 11 · 09:50J. Pelka2.7511611113O. Jadach1.40311891WSep 11 · 08:10J. Pelka1.53513119113P. Slosarczyk2.38111181182WSep 11 · 06:30M. Baron1.73912211102J. Pelka2.001110119123WSep 11 · 05:40O. Jadach1.50612781J. Pelka2.50111011113WSep 11 · 04:55J. Pelka1.671211113O. Sokolowski2.1010690
Upcoming Matches
P. Kurek
Sep 16 · 08:20P. Kurek1.31B. Madej2.95—Sep 16 · 09:30P. Kurek1.26M. Rus3.25—Sep 16 · 11:05P. Kurek2.32K. Hetnar1.49—Sep 16 · 12:20P. Kurek1.29B. Madej3.10—Sep 16 · 13:10P. Kurek1.54M. Sikon2.21—Sep 16 · 14:45P. Kurek2.32K. Hetnar1.49—Sep 16 · 15:30P. Kurek1.24M. Rus3.40—Sep 16 · 16:20P. Kurek1.64J. Pelka2.03—
J. Pelka
Sep 16 · 07:55J. Pelka1.67M. Sikon2.00—Sep 16 · 09:05J. Pelka1.39B. Madej2.65—Sep 16 · 10:20J. Pelka1.32M. Rus2.90—Sep 16 · 11:55J. Pelka2.60K. Hetnar1.41—Sep 16 · 12:45J. Pelka1.30M. Rus3.00—Sep 16 · 13:55J. Pelka1.67M. Sikon2.00—Sep 16 · 15:05J. Pelka1.39B. Madej2.65—Sep 16 · 16:20J. Pelka2.03P. Kurek1.64—
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.