TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13138968
Starts 04:20 PMScheduled
Jerzy Pelka
Home
2.03
At publish
Won last 28–2Last 10Won last 2
Head to head
7 – 2
All 9 meetings · 77.8%
Last 9 · 7–2Same side
Pawel Kurek
Away
1.64
At publish
Lost last 15–5Last 10Lost last 1
Same-day rematch · 10h before this match
Pelka beat Kurek 3-1.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPelka 2.03 / Kurek 1.64
TT Elite Series · #13138968
Pelka2.03
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog47% won 78 of 167
Down 0–1, comes back17% 13 of 76
Down 0–2, comes back2% 1 of 45
Kurek1.64
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite66% won 208 of 317
Up 2–0, closes it94% 96 of 102
Up 1–0, closes it84% 144 of 171
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 9 meetings
HomePelka7wins
AwayKurek2wins
3 of 9 to a deciderPelka leads 7–2, and 3 of those 9 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomePelka85.7%6 of 7
AwayKurekn = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 9 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Pelka7Kurek2n = 9Pelka took 7 of 9
S2Pelka6Kurek3n = 9Pelka took 6 of 9
S3Pelka5Kurek4n = 9Pelka took 5 of 9
S4Pelka6Kurek1n = 7Pelka took 6 of 7
S5Pelka1Kurek2n = 3Kurek took 2 of 3
How those 9 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 9 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home222%
3–1Four sets, home444%
3–2Decider, home111%
2–3Decider, away222%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 9 meetings
MetricPelkaKurekP − KBasisWins72+5in 9 meetingsFirst set72+5of 9Avg pointsper match40.133.9+6.2per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPelkaKurekBasisWin rate · lifetime433 / 924 vs 407 / 80946.9%50.3%433 / 924 vs 407 / 809Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.137.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match WinnerForecastThe edge lives in the pick, one screen up
No price history
Neither player has a record at this price yet, so there is no odds range to publish.
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record9
WSep 16 · 06:45J. Pelka4411139113P. Kurek399111181
WAug 25 · 15:55J. Pelka3511112113P. Kurek31791141
LAug 25 · 09:55J. Pelka45118115102P. Kurek46711511123
LJul 22 · 18:45J. Pelka3793111132P. Kurek42111154113
WJun 23 · 06:25J. Pelka3811115113P. Kurek33781171
WFeb 1 · 06:55J. Pelka331111113P. Kurek197750
WJan 25 · 07:25J. Pelka541191211113P. Kurek3931114562
WDec 6 · 07:00J. Pelka361213113P. Kurek27101160
WNov 19 · 04:35J. Pelka3961111113P. Kurek29118641
J. Pelka10
WSep 16 · 06:45P. Kurek1.809111181J. Pelka1.9111139113WSep 16 · 05:55J. Pelka2.601111113K. Hetnar1.414680LSep 11 · 14:20J. Pelka1.531731361P. Slosarczyk2.38191111113WSep 11 · 12:40M. Baron1.73711111172J. Pelka2.00111376113WSep 11 · 11:50Z. Sobkow1.7391271192J. Pelka2.001110119113LSep 11 · 11:00J. Pelka1.50861111112O. Sokolowski2.50111148133WSep 11 · 09:50J. Pelka2.7511611113O. Jadach1.40311891WSep 11 · 08:10J. Pelka1.53513119113P. Slosarczyk2.38111181182WSep 11 · 06:30M. Baron1.73912211102J. Pelka2.001110119123WSep 11 · 05:40O. Jadach1.50612781J. Pelka2.50111011113
P. Kurek10
LSep 16 · 06:45P. Kurek1.809111181J. Pelka1.9111139113WSep 16 · 05:30P. Kurek1.571111113M. Sikon2.257960WSep 14 · 13:55M. Sikon2.50411981P. Kurek1.5011511113WSep 14 · 13:05J. Kaczmarek2.386980P. Kurek1.531111113WSep 14 · 12:15P. Kurek2.38811114113L. Oracz1.5311871162LSep 14 · 10:35P. Kurek2.63101111992K. Slawinski1.44129311113LSep 14 · 09:50P. Przewlocki2.1015916153P. Kurek1.67131114131WSep 14 · 08:35P. Kurek2.381411123L. Oracz1.53124100LSep 14 · 06:55P. Kurek1.4491050J. Kaczmarek2.631112113LSep 14 · 05:40P. Kurek1.73771181P. Przewlocki2.0011113113
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