TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13138684
Starts 01:30 PMScheduled
Boguslaw Madej
Home
4.10
At publish
Lost last 71–9Last 10Lost last 7
Head to head
5 – 8
All 13 meetings · 38.5%
Last 10 · 3–7Same side
Krzysztof Hetnar
Away
1.17
At publish
Won last 16–4Last 10Won last 1
Boguslaw Madej arrives off 7 straight losses. The streak is one of the signals the engine reads.
Compare playersSame-day rematch · 6h before this match
Hetnar beat Madej 3-1.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMadej 4.10 / Hetnar 1.17
TT Elite Series · #13138684
Madej4.10
10%won 1 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 7
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog32% won 42 of 132
Down 0–1, comes back20% 16 of 82
Down 0–2, comes back2% 1 of 48
Hetnar1.17
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite69% won 264 of 385
Up 2–0, closes it98% 146 of 149
Up 1–0, closes it85% 215 of 253
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeMadej3wins
AwayHetnar7wins
2 of 10 to a deciderHetnar leads 7–3, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMadej60%3 of 5
AwayHetnar100%5 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Madej5Hetnar5n = 10split evenly
S2Madej5Hetnar5n = 10split evenly
S3Madej1Hetnar9n = 10Hetnar took 9 of 10
S4Madej5Hetnar3n = 8Madej took 5 of 8
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricMadejHetnarM − HBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match36.239.6−3.4per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMadejHetnarBasisWin rate · lifetime137 / 387 vs 717 / 117235.4%61.2%137 / 387 vs 717 / 1172Avg sets wonper match1.62.3per matchAvg pointsper match36.938.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match WinnerForecastThe edge lives in the pick, one screen up
No price history
Neither player has a record at this price yet, so there is no odds range to publish.
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 16 · 07:30B. Madej30711481K. Hetnar4011711113
LMay 5 · 16:40B. Madej199640K. Hetnar331111113
WMay 5 · 10:40B. Madej3711114113K. Hetnar35961191
WFeb 17 · 14:55B. Madej3911116113K. Hetnar30571171
LFeb 17 · 08:55B. Madej2475120K. Hetnar361111143
LNov 4 · 17:25B. Madej361196101K. Hetnar3951111123
LNov 4 · 10:55B. Madej5013961752K. Hetnar5911111115113
WOct 28 · 13:45B. Madej43111110113K. Hetnar32861261
LOct 28 · 11:20B. Madej4181110121K. Hetnar4211512143
LAug 28 · 12:45B. Madej4369111252K. Hetnar501111710113
B. Madej10
LSep 16 · 07:30B. Madej4.10711481K. Hetnar1.1711711113LSep 16 · 06:20B. Madej1.74981191M. Rus1.9511116113LSep 9 · 16:40B. Madej2.7569100W. Urban1.361111123LSep 9 · 15:05S. Juzek1.551111113B. Madej2.257570LSep 9 · 14:20M. Rus1.92912149113B. Madej1.731110121152LSep 9 · 13:30B. Madej3.20115131182K. Adamus1.305111113113LSep 9 · 12:20B. Madej2.4461171192W. Buczynski1.45114115113WSep 9 · 10:40B. Madej2.3511115133W. Urban1.524911111LSep 9 · 09:05S. Juzek1.501311123B. Madej2.40117100LSep 9 · 08:20K. Adamus1.231711113B. Madej3.5015120
K. Hetnar10
WSep 16 · 07:30B. Madej4.10711481K. Hetnar1.1711711113LSep 16 · 05:55J. Pelka2.601111113K. Hetnar1.414680LSep 15 · 14:40M. Baron2.631111113K. Hetnar1.448850LSep 15 · 13:30K. Hetnar2.0011711632K. Slawinski1.73311811113LSep 15 · 12:15P. Gumulinski1.8311811113K. Hetnar1.83811681WSep 15 · 11:00P. Przewlocki2.384440K. Hetnar1.531111113WSep 15 · 09:25M. Sikon2.7534110K. Hetnar1.401111133WSep 15 · 08:35P. Gumulinski2.107780K. Hetnar1.671111113WSep 15 · 07:20K. Hetnar1.9171111123K. Slawinski1.801167101WSep 15 · 06:05M. Baron2.505850K. Hetnar1.501111113
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