TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13138678
Starts 02:20 PMScheduled
Maksymilian Rus
Home
1.99
At publish
Lost last 14–6Last 10Lost last 1
Head to head
22 – 20
All 42 meetings · 52.4%
Last 10 · 5–5
Boguslaw Madej
Away
1.67
At publish
Lost last 71–9Last 10Lost last 7
Neither player arrives off a win — both lost their last one. The streak signal has nobody to back here.
Compare playersSame-day rematch · 8h before this match
Rus beat Madej 3-1.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsRus 1.99 / Madej 1.67
TT Elite Series · #13138678
Rus1.99
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog30% won 71 of 238
Down 0–1, comes back15% 23 of 157
Down 0–2, comes back3% 3 of 98
Madej1.67
10%won 1 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 7
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite36% won 9 of 25
Up 2–0, closes it83% 5 of 6
Up 1–0, closes it58% 7 of 12
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeRus5wins
AwayMadej5wins
6 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 6 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeRus75%3 of 4
AwayMadej66.7%4 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Rus4Madej6n = 10Madej took 6 of 10
S2Rus6Madej4n = 10Rus took 6 of 10
S3Rus3Madej7n = 10Madej took 7 of 10
S4Rus6Madej3n = 9Rus took 6 of 9
S5Rus3Madej3n = 6split evenly
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricRusMadejR − MBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match45.245.8−0.6per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricRusMadejBasisWin rate · lifetime128 / 398 vs 137 / 38732.2%35.4%128 / 398 vs 137 / 387Avg sets wonper match1.61.6per matchAvg pointsper match36.536.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match WinnerForecastThe edge lives in the pick, one screen up
No price history
Neither player has a record at this price yet, so there is no odds range to publish.
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 16 · 06:20M. Rus3911116113B. Madej37981191
WSep 9 · 14:20M. Rus55912149113B. Madej491110121152
WSep 9 · 06:20M. Rus4011116123B. Madej377911101
LSep 2 · 14:20M. Rus421691161B. Madej49141113113
WSep 2 · 06:20M. Rus50911711123B. Madej44117115102
LAug 25 · 12:45M. Rus5612111111112B. Madej58149913133
LAug 25 · 06:20M. Rus45911101142B. Madej50117129113
LAug 18 · 14:20M. Rus54810171182B. Madej571112158113
LAug 18 · 06:20M. Rus187380B. Madej331111113
WJul 28 · 14:20M. Rus531111911113B. Madej4491311742
M. Rus10
LSep 16 · 07:10M. Rus2.60711115142M. Sikon1.41115911163WSep 16 · 06:20B. Madej1.74981191M. Rus1.9511116113LSep 9 · 17:05M. Rus3.85510100K. Adamus1.191112123LSep 9 · 15:30M. Rus2.557950W. Buczynski1.411111113WSep 9 · 14:20M. Rus1.92912149113B. Madej1.731110121152WSep 9 · 12:45M. Rus2.701113123S. Juzek1.37811100LSep 9 · 11:30M. Rus2.9011440W. Urban1.331311113LSep 9 · 10:20S. Juzek1.41811911153M. Rus2.60114113132LSep 9 · 09:30K. Adamus1.21111197113M. Rus3.7096111192WSep 9 · 08:45M. Rus2.5561111113W. Buczynski1.41118981
B. Madej10
LSep 16 · 07:30B. Madej4.10711481K. Hetnar1.1711711113LSep 16 · 06:20B. Madej1.74981191M. Rus1.9511116113LSep 9 · 16:40B. Madej2.7569100W. Urban1.361111123LSep 9 · 15:05S. Juzek1.551111113B. Madej2.257570LSep 9 · 14:20M. Rus1.92912149113B. Madej1.731110121152LSep 9 · 13:30B. Madej3.20115131182K. Adamus1.305111113113LSep 9 · 12:20B. Madej2.4461171192W. Buczynski1.45114115113WSep 9 · 10:40B. Madej2.3511115133W. Urban1.524911111LSep 9 · 09:05S. Juzek1.501311123B. Madej2.40117100LSep 9 · 08:20K. Adamus1.231711113B. Madej3.5015120
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