TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13136501
Played Sep 16Finished
Maksymilian Rus
Home
2.60
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
7111151195111416
Mateusz Sikon
Away
1.41
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:46 and never touched — 68.4% is still 68.4%
Graded at full timeMateusz Sikon to win
68.4%
68.4%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
100 points played in total.
Set by set
7111151195111416
H2H Maksymilian Rus 0–2 Mateusz Sikon Maksymilian Rus has won 0 of their 2 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 19:46What took a side2 for · 0 against · 4 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.41 (65%)
Sikon
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
0-2 in 2
—
Too close
2 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Rus 1159 vs Sikon 1368
Sikon
Correct
both rated, 210 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Rus 60% vs Sikon 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Rus 50% vs Sikon 50%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Rus +1 · Sikon -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 4 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 68% — Clear lean (leans Sikon) · live re-read · sealed at 68% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Sikon form (60%) is below what odds imply (71%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsRus 2.60 / Sikon 1.41
Signal prob.32% / 68%
Edge (Sikon)+2.8pp
TT Elite Series · #13136501
Rus2.60
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog30% won 71 of 238
Down 0–1, comes back15% 23 of 157
Down 0–2, comes back3% 3 of 98
Sikon1.41
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite53% won 54 of 102
Up 2–0, closes it83% 20 of 24
Up 1–0, closes it78% 35 of 45
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 2 meetings
HomeRus0wins
AwaySikon2wins
2 of 2 to a deciderSikon leads 2–0, and 2 of those 2 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 2 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 2 finishedn = 2, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away2
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
These 2 meetings
MetricRusSikonR − SBasisWins02−2in 2 meetingsFirst set02−2of 2Avg pointsper match49.552.5−3.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricRusSikonBasisWin rate · lifetime128 / 398 vs 160 / 41732.2%38.4%128 / 398 vs 160 / 417Avg sets wonper match1.61.7per matchAvg pointsper match36.536.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SikonRus 2.60/Sikon 1.41
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
67.6%
Sikon · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Sikon won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record2
LSep 16 · 07:10M. Rus48711115142M. Sikon52115911163
LAug 18 · 10:20M. Rus51991111112M. Sikon53111199133
M. Rus10
WSep 16 · 06:20B. Madej1.74981191M. Rus1.9511116113LSep 9 · 17:05M. Rus3.85510100K. Adamus1.191112123LSep 9 · 15:30M. Rus2.557950W. Buczynski1.411111113WSep 9 · 14:20M. Rus1.92912149113B. Madej1.731110121152WSep 9 · 12:45M. Rus2.701113123S. Juzek1.37811100LSep 9 · 11:30M. Rus2.9011440W. Urban1.331311113LSep 9 · 10:20S. Juzek1.41811911153M. Rus2.60114113132LSep 9 · 09:30K. Adamus1.21111197113M. Rus3.7096111192WSep 9 · 08:45M. Rus2.5561111113W. Buczynski1.41118981WSep 9 · 07:10M. Rus2.9011115113W. Urban1.33991181
M. Sikon10
WSep 16 · 07:55J. Pelka1.72111110662M. Sikon2.00151211113LSep 16 · 05:30P. Kurek1.571111113M. Sikon2.257960LSep 15 · 13:55M. Sikon2.75281271P. Gumulinski1.40111110113WSep 15 · 12:40M. Sikon2.101131211113P. Przewlocki1.6791114592WSep 15 · 11:25M. Sikon3.251110119113K. Slawinski1.3391251192WSep 15 · 10:10M. Baron1.8311714992M. Sikon1.837111211113LSep 15 · 09:25M. Sikon2.7534110K. Hetnar1.401111133LSep 15 · 07:45M. Sikon1.83146111272M. Baron1.831611710113WSep 15 · 06:30M. Sikon1.7316817113P. Przewlocki2.0014111591LSep 15 · 05:15M. Sikon3.25117791K. Slawinski1.3341111113
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