TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13128976
Played Sep 15Finished
Mateusz Sikon
Home
2.75
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 3
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
2118111210711––
Piotr Gumulinski
Away
1.40
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 11:10 and never touched — 73.3% is still 73.3%
Graded at full timePiotr Gumulinski to win
73.3%
73.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingMateusz Sikon above · Piotr Gumulinski below
Set 1 · 2-11
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 12-10
Set 4 · 7-11
Point 72 set 4, 7-11 — our read held Piotr Gumulinski at 73.3%
72 points played in total.
H2H Mateusz Sikon 4–13 Piotr Gumulinski Mateusz Sikon has won 4 of their 17 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 11:10What took a side2 for · 3 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.40 (66%)
Gumulinski
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
4-13 in 17
Gumulinski
Correct
gap of 9 in 17, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Sikon 1387 vs Gumulinski 1379
Sikon
Wrong
both rated, 8 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Sikon 60% vs Gumulinski 40%
Sikon
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Sikon 50% vs Gumulinski 40%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Sikon +3 · Gumulinski +2
Sikon
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 69% — Clear lean (leans Gumulinski) · live re-read · sealed at 73% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Gumulinski form (40%) is below what odds imply (71%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSikon 2.75 / Gumulinski 1.40
Signal prob.31% / 69%
Edge (Gumulinski)+2.4pp
TT Elite Series · #13128976
Sikon2.75
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog34% won 94 of 279
Down 0–1, comes back15% 26 of 176
Down 0–2, comes back3% 3 of 109
Gumulinski1.40
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite61% won 344 of 562
Up 2–0, closes it94% 156 of 166
Up 1–0, closes it76% 233 of 305
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSikon4wins
AwayGumulinski6wins
2 of 10 to a deciderGumulinski leads 6–4, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSikon66.7%2 of 3
AwayGumulinski71.4%5 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Sikon3Gumulinski7n = 10Gumulinski took 7 of 10
S2Sikon3Gumulinski7n = 10Gumulinski took 7 of 10
S3Sikon6Gumulinski4n = 10Sikon took 6 of 10
S4Sikon3Gumulinski4n = 7Gumulinski took 4 of 7
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricSikonGumulinskiS − GBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match36.241.0−4.8per matchSweeps03−33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSikonGumulinskiBasisWin rate · lifetime159 / 414 vs 1025 / 182938.4%56%159 / 414 vs 1025 / 1829Avg sets wonper match1.72.1per matchAvg pointsper match36.339.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
GumulinskiSikon 2.75/Gumulinski 1.40
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
68.7%
Gumulinski · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Gumulinski won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 2 · 07:35M. Sikon4316114123P. Gumulinski4214711101
WSep 1 · 21:10M. Sikon3961111113P. Gumulinski33119851
LAug 30 · 23:10M. Sikon24261151P. Gumulinski4211119113
WAug 30 · 17:10M. Sikon482111113113P. Gumulinski5011791582
LAug 18 · 01:50M. Sikon53141811642P. Gumulinski591220511113
WAug 8 · 11:25M. Sikon49111114133P. Gumulinski4041312111
LAug 8 · 05:15M. Sikon218580P. Gumulinski331111113
LJul 28 · 02:10M. Sikon408141171P. Gumulinski4111163113
LJul 27 · 23:05M. Sikon2991370P. Gumulinski371115113
LJul 14 · 01:10M. Sikon164570P. Gumulinski331111113
M. Sikon10
WSep 15 · 12:40M. Sikon2.101131211113P. Przewlocki1.6791114592WSep 15 · 11:25M. Sikon3.251110119113K. Slawinski1.3391251192WSep 15 · 10:10M. Baron1.8311714992M. Sikon1.837111211113LSep 15 · 09:25M. Sikon2.7534110K. Hetnar1.401111133LSep 15 · 07:45M. Sikon1.83146111272M. Baron1.831611710113WSep 15 · 06:30M. Sikon1.7316817113P. Przewlocki2.0014111591LSep 15 · 05:15M. Sikon3.25117791K. Slawinski1.3341111113WSep 15 · 04:10P. Gumulinski1.3311891162M. Sikon3.25711115113LSep 15 · 03:25M. Sikon3.001161041K. Hetnar1.3691112113LSep 14 · 13:55M. Sikon2.50411981P. Kurek1.5011511113
P. Gumulinski10
WSep 15 · 13:05M. Baron1.83116111192P. Gumulinski1.83711139113WSep 15 · 12:15P. Gumulinski1.8311811113K. Hetnar1.83811681LSep 15 · 10:35P. Gumulinski1.91761321K. Slawinski1.80111111113LSep 15 · 09:50P. Przewlocki2.75137912113P. Gumulinski1.401111111072LSep 15 · 08:35P. Gumulinski2.107780K. Hetnar1.671111113WSep 15 · 06:55P. Gumulinski1.83139426133M. Baron1.8311111124112LSep 15 · 05:40P. Gumulinski1.40581191P. Przewlocki2.7511119113LSep 15 · 04:10P. Gumulinski1.3311891162M. Sikon3.25711115113LSep 15 · 03:00P. Gumulinski1.911011561K. Slawinski1.8012911113WSep 9 · 14:20P. Kurek2.38711261P. Gumulinski1.5311311113
Upcoming Matches
M. Sikon
P. Gumulinski
Sep 16 · 03:00P. Gumulinski1.22I. Szymanski4.00—Sep 16 · 04:30P. Gumulinski1.57P. Przewlocki2.25—Sep 16 · 05:15P. Gumulinski1.61R. Gajda2.20—Sep 16 · 07:20P. Gumulinski1.67W. Urban2.10—Sep 16 · 08:10P. Gumulinski1.73K. Adamus2.00—Sep 16 · 09:00P. Gumulinski1.57P. Przewlocki2.25—Sep 16 · 10:35P. Gumulinski1.22I. Szymanski4.00—Sep 16 · 11:25P. Gumulinski1.61R. Gajda2.20—Sep 16 · 13:30P. Gumulinski1.67W. Urban2.10—Sep 16 · 14:20P. Gumulinski1.73K. Adamus2.00—
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.