TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13102563
Played Sep 9Finished
Maksymilian Rus
Home
2.55
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
711911511––––
Witold Buczynski
Away
1.41
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 06:23 and never touched — 63.2% is still 63.2%
Graded at full timeMaksymilian Rus to win
63.2%
63.2%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
54 points played in total.
Set by set
711911511––––
H2H Maksymilian Rus 9–4 Witold Buczynski Witold Buczynski has won 4 of their 13 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 7h before this match
Rus beat Buczynski 3-1.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 06:23What took a side2 for · 3 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.41 (64%)
Buczynski
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
9-4 in 13
Rus
Wrong
gap of 5 in 13, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Rus 1174 vs Buczynski 1327
Buczynski
Correct
both rated, 153 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Rus 40% vs Buczynski 60%
Buczynski
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Rus 60% vs Buczynski 30%
Rus
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Rus +2 · Buczynski -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 68% — Clear lean (leans Buczynski) · live re-read · sealed at 37% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Buczynski form (60%) is below what odds imply (71%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsRus 2.55 / Buczynski 1.41
Signal prob.33% / 68%
Edge (Buczynski)+3.1pp
TT Elite Series · #13102563
Rus2.55
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog30% won 71 of 237
Down 0–1, comes back15% 23 of 157
Down 0–2, comes back3% 3 of 94
Buczynski1.41
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite44% won 41 of 94
Up 2–0, closes it92% 23 of 25
Up 1–0, closes it64% 30 of 47
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeRus6wins
AwayBuczynski4wins
4 of 10 to a deciderRus leads 6–4, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeRus42.9%3 of 7
AwayBuczynski0%0 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Rus7Buczynski3n = 10Rus took 7 of 10
S2Rus5Buczynski5n = 10split evenly
S3Rus6Buczynski4n = 10Rus took 6 of 10
S4Rus4Buczynski5n = 9Buczynski took 5 of 9
S5Rus2Buczynski2n = 4split evenly
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricRusBuczynskiR − BBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match40.340.6−0.3per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricRusBuczynskiBasisWin rate · lifetime127 / 394 vs 437 / 113132.2%38.6%127 / 394 vs 437 / 1131Avg sets wonper match1.61.8per matchAvg pointsper match36.536.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
BuczynskiRus 2.55/Buczynski 1.41
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
67.5%
Buczynski · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Buczynski won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 9 · 08:45M. Rus—61111113W. Buczynski—118981
WSep 2 · 17:05M. Rus—1111113W. Buczynski—7890
WSep 2 · 08:45M. Rus—41111113W. Buczynski—115871
WJun 9 · 14:20M. Rus—12311113W. Buczynski—1011871
WJun 9 · 06:20M. Rus—411116113W. Buczynski—11871162
LMay 12 · 16:40M. Rus—1111111192W. Buczynski—513913113
LMay 12 · 10:40M. Rus—11117952W. Buczynski—681111113
WApr 14 · 12:20M. Rus—127513113W. Buczynski—1011111172
LApr 14 · 08:20M. Rus—1111671W. Buczynski—71311113
LDec 31 · 12:55M. Rus—1138131W. Buczynski—91111153
M. Rus10
WSep 9 · 14:20M. Rus1.92912149113B. Madej1.731110121152WSep 9 · 12:45M. Rus2.701113123S. Juzek1.37811100LSep 9 · 11:30M. Rus2.9011440W. Urban1.331311113LSep 9 · 10:20S. Juzek1.41811911153M. Rus2.60114113132LSep 9 · 09:30K. Adamus1.21111197113M. Rus3.7096111192WSep 9 · 08:45M. Rus2.5561111113W. Buczynski1.41118981WSep 9 · 07:10M. Rus2.9011115113W. Urban1.33991181WSep 9 · 06:20B. Madej1.857911101M. Rus1.8511116123WSep 2 · 17:05M. Rus2.701111113W. Buczynski1.377890LSep 2 · 15:30M. Rus3.1510990R. Gajda1.301211113
W. Buczynski10
LSep 9 · 14:45W. Buczynski2.601031181K. Adamus1.4112115113WSep 9 · 13:10W. Buczynski2.0571111113W. Urban1.66119491WSep 9 · 12:20B. Madej2.4461171192W. Buczynski1.45114115113WSep 9 · 11:05K. Adamus1.42111111772W. Buczynski2.55513611113LSep 9 · 09:55W. Buczynski1.85121251132W. Urban1.8010101113113LSep 9 · 08:45M. Rus2.5561111113W. Buczynski1.41118981LSep 9 · 07:30B. Madej2.4471111113W. Buczynski1.45114751LSep 9 · 05:55S. Juzek1.80141112113W. Buczynski1.901241491LSep 8 · 16:40O. Vincenec1.9571111113W. Buczynski1.70114561LSep 2 · 17:05M. Rus2.701111113W. Buczynski1.377890
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