TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13132139
Played Sep 16Finished
Oleksandr V Kovalchuk
Home
2.38
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
1214911911––––
Oleksandr Mishchenko
Away
1.53
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 23:14 and never touched — 62.4% is still 62.4%
Graded at full timeOleksandr Mishchenko to win
62.4%
62.4%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingOleksandr V Kovalchuk above · Oleksandr Mishchenko below
Set 1 · 12-14
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 9-11
Point 66 set 3, 9-11 — our read held Oleksandr Mishchenko at 62.4%
66 points played in total.
H2H Oleksandr V Kovalchuk 71–98 Oleksandr Mishchenko Oleksandr V Kovalchuk has won 71 of their 169 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 23:14What took a side4 for · 2 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.53 (61%)
Mishchenko
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
71-98 in 169
Mishchenko
Correct
gap of 27 in 169, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kovalchuk 1503 vs Mishchenko 1542
Mishchenko
Correct
both rated, 39 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kovalchuk 80% vs Mishchenko 20%
Kovalchuk
Wrong
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kovalchuk 60% vs Mishchenko 20%
Kovalchuk
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Kovalchuk -1 · Mishchenko -3
Mishchenko
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 62% — Clear lean (leans Mishchenko)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Mishchenko form (20%) is below what odds imply (65%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKovalchuk 2.38 / Mishchenko 1.53
Signal prob.38% / 62%
Edge (Mishchenko)+1.6pp
Setka Cup · #13132139
Kovalchuk2.38
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog35% won 76 of 220
Down 0–1, comes back18% 23 of 125
Down 0–2, comes back5% 4 of 79
Mishchenko1.53
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite59% won 115 of 196
Up 2–0, closes it88% 76 of 86
Up 1–0, closes it84% 98 of 117
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKovalchuk7wins
AwayMishchenko3wins
5 of 10 to a deciderKovalchuk leads 7–3, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKovalchuk83.3%5 of 6
AwayMishchenko50%2 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kovalchuk6Mishchenko4n = 10Kovalchuk took 6 of 10
S2Kovalchuk4Mishchenko6n = 10Mishchenko took 6 of 10
S3Kovalchuk5Mishchenko5n = 10split evenly
S4Kovalchuk5Mishchenko3n = 8Kovalchuk took 5 of 8
S5Kovalchuk4Mishchenko1n = 5Kovalchuk took 4 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home440%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricKovalchukMishchenkoK − MBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match38.837.6+1.2per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKovalchukMishchenkoBasisWin rate · lifetime329 / 781 vs 494 / 105842.1%46.7%329 / 781 vs 494 / 1058Avg sets wonper match1.81.9per matchAvg pointsper match36.936.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MishchenkoKovalchuk 2.38/Mishchenko 1.53
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
62.4%
Mishchenko · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Mishchenko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 10 · 24:55O. Kovalchuk4211911113O. Mishchenko24511531
WSep 3 · 15:25O. Kovalchuk46811511113O. Mishchenko4611911962
WSep 2 · 23:25O. Kovalchuk3911512113O. Mishchenko314111061
WAug 26 · 20:25O. Kovalchuk361312113O. Mishchenko28111070
LAug 26 · 02:55O. Kovalchuk4491111492O. Mishchenko49117911113
WAug 20 · 15:25O. Kovalchuk47111177113O. Mishchenko4176111162
WAug 19 · 01:55O. Kovalchuk49791111113O. Mishchenko4511118872
LAug 13 · 20:25O. Kovalchuk27116551O. Mishchenko4181111113
LAug 13 · 02:25O. Kovalchuk165470O. Mishchenko331111113
WAug 12 · 03:55O. Kovalchuk42114511113O. Mishchenko3861111732
O. Kovalchuk10
WSep 16 · 03:55O. Kovalchuk1.8011118153E. Rubtsov1.919611131WSep 16 · 24:55O. Kovalchuk1.911112113V. Panasenko1.8071060LSep 10 · 03:55O. Kovalchuk2.508680P. Plakushchyi1.501111113WSep 10 · 01:55V. Panasenko1.57411551O. Kovalchuk2.2511711113WSep 10 · 24:55O. Kovalchuk2.2011911113O. Mishchenko1.61511531WSep 9 · 23:55V. Kovalenko1.83711461O. Kovalchuk1.8311611113WSep 9 · 22:25O. Kovalchuk1.83111177113E. Rubtsov1.8345111182LSep 9 · 04:25O. Mishchenko1.5061O. Kovalchuk2.5030WSep 9 · 02:55O. Kovalchuk1.731111113E. Rubtsov2.007460WSep 9 · 24:55P. Plakushchyi1.574760O. Kovalchuk2.251111113
O. Mishchenko10
WSep 16 · 02:55O. Mishchenko1.3311119113E. Rubtsov3.25551161WSep 15 · 22:55P. Plakushchyi1.67881181O. Mishchenko2.1011116113LSep 15 · 21:55V. Panasenko1.831181111113O. Mishchenko1.8391161382LSep 14 · 03:25Y. Kryvorotko1.2291111113O. Mishchenko4.00118271LSep 14 · 02:25O. Mishchenko2.631181581A. Chepurnyi1.44131113113WSep 14 · 01:25O. Mishchenko2.001111133P. Plakushchyi1.7389110LSep 13 · 23:55O. Mishchenko2.255850O. Dukhovenko1.571111113WSep 13 · 21:55O. Mishchenko2.501111113I. Demchenko1.507950LSep 10 · 24:55O. Kovalchuk2.2011911113O. Mishchenko1.61511531WSep 9 · 04:25O. Mishchenko1.5061O. Kovalchuk2.5030
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