TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13121781
Played Sep 14Finished
Yevhenii Kryvorotko
Home
1.22
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 2
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
911118112117––
Oleksandr Mishchenko
Away
4.00
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:48 and never touched — 82.7% is still 82.7%
Graded at full timeYevhenii Kryvorotko to win
82.7%
82.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingYevhenii Kryvorotko above · Oleksandr Mishchenko below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 11-2
Set 4 · 11-7
Point 70 set 4, 11-7 — our read held Yevhenii Kryvorotko at 82.7%
70 points played in total.
H2H Yevhenii Kryvorotko 71–25 Oleksandr Mishchenko Oleksandr Mishchenko has won 25 of their 96 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 20:48What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.22 (77%)
Kryvorotko
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
71-25 in 96
Kryvorotko
Correct
gap of 46 in 96, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kryvorotko 1708 vs Mishchenko 1561
Kryvorotko
Correct
both rated, 147 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kryvorotko 20% vs Mishchenko 40%
Mishchenko
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kryvorotko 20% vs Mishchenko 30%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Kryvorotko -2 · Mishchenko -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 81% — Strong (leans Kryvorotko) · live re-read · sealed at 83% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Mishchenko form (40%) outperforms what odds imply (25%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKryvorotko 1.22 / Mishchenko 4.00
Signal prob.81% / 19%
Edge (Kryvorotko)+4.4pp
Setka Cup · #13121781
Kryvorotko1.22
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite62% won 128 of 208
Up 2–0, closes it93% 52 of 56
Up 1–0, closes it79% 82 of 104
Mishchenko4.00
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As underdog35% won 85 of 241
Down 0–1, comes back13% 18 of 140
Down 0–2, comes back4% 3 of 76
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKryvorotko8wins
AwayMishchenko2wins
2 of 10 to a deciderKryvorotko leads 8–2, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKryvorotko75%6 of 8
AwayMishchenkon = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kryvorotko8Mishchenko2n = 10Kryvorotko took 8 of 10
S2Kryvorotko7Mishchenko3n = 10Kryvorotko took 7 of 10
S3Kryvorotko8Mishchenko2n = 10Kryvorotko took 8 of 10
S4Kryvorotko3Mishchenko2n = 5Kryvorotko took 3 of 5
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home550%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricKryvorotkoMishchenkoK − MBasisWins82+6in 10 meetingsFirst set82+6of 10Avg pointsper match38.730.9+7.8per matchSweeps50+53–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKryvorotkoMishchenkoBasisWin rate · lifetime315 / 500 vs 497 / 106163%46.8%315 / 500 vs 497 / 1061Avg sets wonper match2.31.9per matchAvg pointsper match38.836.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KryvorotkoKryvorotko 1.22/Mishchenko 4.00
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
81%
Kryvorotko · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Kryvorotko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 12 · 22:25Y. Kryvorotko361157131O. Mishchenko4691111153
WSep 4 · 15:25Y. Kryvorotko331111113O. Mishchenko175840
WAug 30 · 01:25Y. Kryvorotko3911611113O. Mishchenko32711771
WAug 28 · 15:25Y. Kryvorotko401117123O. Mishchenko30515100
WAug 22 · 23:25Y. Kryvorotko331111113O. Mishchenko184950
WJul 19 · 02:25Y. Kryvorotko331111113O. Mishchenko226880
WJul 17 · 20:25Y. Kryvorotko4071111113O. Mishchenko28117461
WJun 28 · 03:55Y. Kryvorotko529111011113O. Mishchenko4011612562
WJun 14 · 03:25Y. Kryvorotko351111133O. Mishchenko2494110
LJun 5 · 18:55Y. Kryvorotko46117117102O. Mishchenko52911911123
Y. Kryvorotko10
LSep 14 · 01:55Y. Kryvorotko1.671111831O. Dukhovenko2.1013611113LSep 14 · 24:25Y. Kryvorotko1.57711131172A. Chepurnyi2.251113114113WSep 13 · 22:55Y. Kryvorotko1.4051111123I. Demchenko2.751194101LSep 13 · 21:25Y. Kryvorotko1.306590P. Plakushchyi3.401111113LSep 13 · 04:25Y. Kryvorotko1.67481111132O. Gavryshko2.10111177153LSep 13 · 02:25P. Plakushchyi3.4091111113Y. Kryvorotko1.30119571LSep 13 · 24:25O. Dukhovenko2.101111113Y. Kryvorotko1.675830WSep 12 · 23:25Y. Kryvorotko1.571111113A. Chepurnyi2.257960LSep 12 · 22:25O. Mishchenko4.3391111153Y. Kryvorotko1.201157131LSep 6 · 03:25Y. Kryvorotko1.80119981O. Dukhovenko1.9181111113
O. Mishchenko10
LSep 14 · 02:25O. Mishchenko2.631181581A. Chepurnyi1.44131113113WSep 14 · 01:25O. Mishchenko2.001111133P. Plakushchyi1.7389110LSep 13 · 23:55O. Mishchenko2.255850O. Dukhovenko1.571111113WSep 13 · 21:55O. Mishchenko2.501111113I. Demchenko1.507950LSep 13 · 03:55O. Mishchenko2.636720A. Chepurnyi1.441111113LSep 13 · 01:55O. Dukhovenko1.50119811113O. Mishchenko2.5051111442LSep 13 · 24:55O. Mishchenko3.00591151O. Gavryshko1.3611117113LSep 12 · 23:55P. Plakushchyi1.7311711113O. Mishchenko2.00811891WSep 12 · 22:25O. Mishchenko4.3391111153Y. Kryvorotko1.201157131LSep 11 · 19:55O. Gavryshko1.3612811113O. Mishchenko3.001011971
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