TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13123033
Played Sep 14Finished
Yevhenii Kryvorotko
Home
1.57
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
71111131311114711
Artem Chepurnyi
Away
2.25
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 02:23 and never touched — 59.3% is still 59.3%
Graded at full timeYevhenii Kryvorotko to win
59.3%
59.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingYevhenii Kryvorotko above · Artem Chepurnyi below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 11-13
Set 3 · 13-11
Set 4 · 11-4
Set 5 · 7-11
Point 99 set 5, 7-11 — our read held Yevhenii Kryvorotko at 59.3%
99 points played in total.
H2H Yevhenii Kryvorotko 69–47 Artem Chepurnyi Artem Chepurnyi has won 47 of their 116 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 02:23What took a side2 for · 3 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.57 (59%)
Kryvorotko
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
69-47 in 116
Kryvorotko
Wrong
gap of 22 in 116, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kryvorotko 1724 vs Chepurnyi 1784
Chepurnyi
Correct
both rated, 61 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kryvorotko 20% vs Chepurnyi 60%
Chepurnyi
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kryvorotko 30% vs Chepurnyi 50%
Chepurnyi
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Kryvorotko +1 · Chepurnyi -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 59% — Slight lean (leans Kryvorotko)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Chepurnyi form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (44%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKryvorotko 1.57 / Chepurnyi 2.25
Signal prob.59% / 41%
Edge (Kryvorotko)+0.4pp
Setka Cup · #13123033
Kryvorotko1.57
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite62% won 128 of 208
Up 2–0, closes it93% 52 of 56
Up 1–0, closes it79% 82 of 104
Chepurnyi2.25
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog40% won 44 of 111
Down 0–1, comes back20% 12 of 61
Down 0–2, comes back5% 2 of 37
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKryvorotko6wins
AwayChepurnyi4wins
4 of 10 to a deciderKryvorotko leads 6–4, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKryvorotko85.7%6 of 7
AwayChepurnyi100%3 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kryvorotko7Chepurnyi3n = 10Kryvorotko took 7 of 10
S2Kryvorotko4Chepurnyi6n = 10Chepurnyi took 6 of 10
S3Kryvorotko3Chepurnyi7n = 10Chepurnyi took 7 of 10
S4Kryvorotko4Chepurnyi2n = 6Kryvorotko took 4 of 6
S5Kryvorotko3Chepurnyi1n = 4Kryvorotko took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricKryvorotkoChepurnyiK − CBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match37.336.6+0.7per matchSweeps2203–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKryvorotkoChepurnyiBasisWin rate · lifetime315 / 499 vs 563 / 94763.1%59.5%315 / 499 vs 563 / 947Avg sets wonper match2.32.2per matchAvg pointsper match38.837.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KryvorotkoKryvorotko 1.57/Chepurnyi 2.25
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
59.3%
Kryvorotko · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Chepurnyi won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 14 · 24:25Y. Kryvorotko49711131172A. Chepurnyi501113114113
WSep 12 · 23:25Y. Kryvorotko331111113A. Chepurnyi227960
WSep 6 · 01:55Y. Kryvorotko351311113A. Chepurnyi2111820
LSep 4 · 20:25Y. Kryvorotko26118251A. Chepurnyi3961111113
WAug 30 · 02:55Y. Kryvorotko47119511113A. Chepurnyi3961111562
LAug 28 · 18:25Y. Kryvorotko2869130A. Chepurnyi371111153
WAug 22 · 22:25Y. Kryvorotko4111118113A. Chepurnyi36991171
WAug 21 · 16:25Y. Kryvorotko46111257113A. Chepurnyi47710111182
WAug 16 · 02:25Y. Kryvorotko491151111113A. Chepurnyi4271113562
LAug 14 · 18:55Y. Kryvorotko195950A. Chepurnyi331111113
Y. Kryvorotko10
LSep 14 · 01:55Y. Kryvorotko1.671111831O. Dukhovenko2.1013611113WSep 13 · 22:55Y. Kryvorotko1.4051111123I. Demchenko2.751194101LSep 13 · 21:25Y. Kryvorotko1.306590P. Plakushchyi3.401111113LSep 13 · 04:25Y. Kryvorotko1.67481111132O. Gavryshko2.10111177153LSep 13 · 02:25P. Plakushchyi3.4091111113Y. Kryvorotko1.30119571LSep 13 · 24:25O. Dukhovenko2.101111113Y. Kryvorotko1.675830WSep 12 · 23:25Y. Kryvorotko1.571111113A. Chepurnyi2.257960LSep 12 · 22:25O. Mishchenko4.3391111153Y. Kryvorotko1.201157131LSep 6 · 03:25Y. Kryvorotko1.80119981O. Dukhovenko1.9181111113WSep 6 · 01:55Y. Kryvorotko1.611311113A. Chepurnyi2.2011820
A. Chepurnyi10
WSep 14 · 02:25O. Mishchenko2.631181581A. Chepurnyi1.44131113113LSep 13 · 23:25A. Chepurnyi1.6112560P. Plakushchyi2.201411113LSep 13 · 22:25O. Dukhovenko1.401111123A. Chepurnyi2.7544100WSep 13 · 03:55O. Mishchenko2.636720A. Chepurnyi1.441111113WSep 13 · 02:55O. Gavryshko1.83119781A. Chepurnyi1.8351111113WSep 13 · 01:25P. Plakushchyi2.257370A. Chepurnyi1.571111113LSep 12 · 23:25Y. Kryvorotko1.571111113A. Chepurnyi2.257960WSep 12 · 21:25O. Dukhovenko1.5391441182A. Chepurnyi2.381112115113WSep 11 · 20:25A. Chepurnyi1.57119711113P. Plakushchyi2.2571111662LSep 6 · 01:55Y. Kryvorotko1.611311113A. Chepurnyi2.2011820
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