TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13116975
Played Sep 12Finished
Oleksandr Dukhovenko
Home
1.53
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
9111412411115811
Artem Chepurnyi
Away
2.38
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 21:13 and never touched — 63.2% is still 63.2%
Graded at full timeOleksandr Dukhovenko to win
63.2%
63.2%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingOleksandr Dukhovenko above · Artem Chepurnyi below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 14-12
Set 3 · 4-11
Set 4 · 11-5
Set 5 · 8-11
Point 96 set 5, 8-11 — our read held Oleksandr Dukhovenko at 63.2%
96 points played in total.
H2H Oleksandr Dukhovenko 136–59 Artem Chepurnyi Artem Chepurnyi has won 59 of their 195 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 21:13What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.53 (61%)
Dukhovenko
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
136-59 in 195
Dukhovenko
Wrong
gap of 77 in 195, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Dukhovenko 1864 vs Chepurnyi 1801
Dukhovenko
Wrong
both rated, 63 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Dukhovenko 60% vs Chepurnyi 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Dukhovenko 70% vs Chepurnyi 70%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Dukhovenko +1 · Chepurnyi +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 63% — Clear lean (leans Dukhovenko)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Chepurnyi form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (42%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsDukhovenko 1.53 / Chepurnyi 2.38
Signal prob.63% / 37%
Edge (Dukhovenko)+2.4pp
Setka Cup · #13116975
Dukhovenko1.53
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite74% won 211 of 286
Up 2–0, closes it98% 132 of 135
Up 1–0, closes it91% 164 of 180
Chepurnyi2.38
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog40% won 46 of 115
Down 0–1, comes back20% 13 of 64
Down 0–2, comes back5% 2 of 38
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeDukhovenko6wins
AwayChepurnyi4wins
3 of 10 to a deciderDukhovenko leads 6–4, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeDukhovenko71.4%5 of 7
AwayChepurnyi66.7%2 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Dukhovenko7Chepurnyi3n = 10Dukhovenko took 7 of 10
S2Dukhovenko4Chepurnyi6n = 10Chepurnyi took 6 of 10
S3Dukhovenko5Chepurnyi5n = 10split evenly
S4Dukhovenko3Chepurnyi3n = 6split evenly
S5Dukhovenko2Chepurnyi1n = 3Dukhovenko took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricDukhovenkoChepurnyiD − CBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match36.836.2+0.6per matchSweeps2203–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricDukhovenkoChepurnyiBasisWin rate · lifetime538 / 858 vs 558 / 93962.7%59.4%538 / 858 vs 558 / 939Avg sets wonper match2.22.2per matchAvg pointsper match36.437.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
DukhovenkoDukhovenko 1.53/Chepurnyi 2.38
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
63.2%
Dukhovenko · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Chepurnyi won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 15 · 22:25O. Dukhovenko48111511113A. Chepurnyi427131391
LAug 14 · 13:25O. Dukhovenko146260A. Chepurnyi331111113
LAug 10 · 04:25O. Dukhovenko4813691192A. Chepurnyi491111115113
WAug 9 · 03:25O. Dukhovenko4281112113A. Chepurnyi311151051
WAug 7 · 19:25O. Dukhovenko33131193A. Chepurnyi2511860
WAug 3 · 03:55O. Dukhovenko43124115113A. Chepurnyi45101151182
LAug 1 · 21:25O. Dukhovenko236890A. Chepurnyi331111113
WJul 25 · 19:25O. Dukhovenko501110117113A. Chepurnyi4391221192
LJul 19 · 23:25O. Dukhovenko34135881A. Chepurnyi44111111113
WJun 29 · 02:55O. Dukhovenko331111113A. Chepurnyi176470
O. Dukhovenko10
WSep 11 · 19:25O. Dukhovenko1.28111183I. Demchenko3.503540LSep 11 · 17:55O. Dukhovenko1.50211151272O. Gavryshko2.501181710113WSep 11 · 16:25O. Dukhovenko1.441111113A. Chepurnyi2.635690WSep 11 · 14:55O. Dukhovenko1.111111113P. Plakushchyi6.008850LSep 11 · 13:25O. Dukhovenko1.50139781O. Mishchenko2.50111111113WSep 9 · 03:25O. Dukhovenko1.5311111113113V. Panasenko2.3813651572WSep 9 · 01:55O. Dukhovenko1.131111113P. Plakushchyi5.502860LSep 9 · 24:25O. Dukhovenko1.57111110111O. Mishchenko2.2513912133WSep 8 · 22:55O. Dukhovenko1.171111113O. Kovalchuk4.508660WSep 8 · 21:25O. Dukhovenko1.061111113E. Rubtsov8.007550
A. Chepurnyi10
WSep 11 · 20:25A. Chepurnyi1.57119711113P. Plakushchyi2.2571111662LSep 11 · 18:25I. Demchenko2.631111812113A. Chepurnyi1.4484111492LSep 11 · 16:25O. Dukhovenko1.441111113A. Chepurnyi2.635690WSep 11 · 15:25A. Chepurnyi1.5381111113O. Mishchenko2.38114391WSep 11 · 14:25O. Gavryshko1.836740A. Chepurnyi1.831111113WSep 7 · 04:25A. Chepurnyi2.2051111113M. Makienko1.61117661WSep 7 · 02:25O. Mishchenko2.20111060A. Chepurnyi1.611312113WSep 7 · 24:25O. Gavryshko1.83147111292A. Chepurnyi1.831211814113LSep 6 · 23:25A. Chepurnyi2.50811851O. Dukhovenko1.5011811113WSep 6 · 22:25I. Demchenko2.501113751A. Chepurnyi1.5071511113
Upcoming Matches
O. Dukhovenko
Sep 13 · 24:25O. Dukhovenko2.10Y. Kryvorotko1.67—Sep 13 · 01:55O. Dukhovenko1.50O. Mishchenko2.50—Sep 13 · 03:25O. Dukhovenko1.11P. Plakushchyi6.00—Sep 13 · 22:25O. Dukhovenko1.53A. Chepurnyi2.38—Sep 13 · 23:55O. Dukhovenko1.57O. Mishchenko2.25—Sep 14 · 24:55O. Dukhovenko1.28I. Demchenko3.50—Sep 14 · 01:55O. Dukhovenko2.10Y. Kryvorotko1.67—Sep 14 · 03:55O. Dukhovenko1.11P. Plakushchyi6.00—
A. Chepurnyi
Sep 12 · 23:25A. Chepurnyi2.25Y. Kryvorotko1.57—Sep 13 · 01:25A. Chepurnyi1.57P. Plakushchyi2.25—Sep 13 · 02:55A. Chepurnyi1.83O. Gavryshko1.83—Sep 13 · 03:55A. Chepurnyi1.50O. Mishchenko2.50—Sep 13 · 22:25A. Chepurnyi2.38O. Dukhovenko1.53—Sep 13 · 23:25A. Chepurnyi1.67P. Plakushchyi2.10—Sep 14 · 02:25A. Chepurnyi1.57O. Mishchenko2.25—Sep 14 · 04:25A. Chepurnyi1.50I. Demchenko2.50—
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