TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13111030
Played Sep 11Finished
Oleksandr Dukhovenko
Home
1.50
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 2
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
21111815171210711
Oleg Gavryshko
Away
2.50
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:03 and never touched — 62.9% is still 62.9%
Graded at full timeOleksandr Dukhovenko to win
62.9%
62.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingOleksandr Dukhovenko above · Oleg Gavryshko below
Set 1 · 2-11
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 15-17
Set 4 · 12-10
Set 5 · 7-11
Point 104 set 5, 7-11 — our read held Oleksandr Dukhovenko at 62.9%
104 points played in total.
H2H Oleksandr Dukhovenko 87–56 Oleg Gavryshko Oleg Gavryshko has won 56 of their 143 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 19:03What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.50 (63%)
Dukhovenko
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
87-56 in 143
Dukhovenko
Wrong
gap of 31 in 143, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Dukhovenko 1863 vs Gavryshko 1759
Dukhovenko
Wrong
both rated, 104 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Dukhovenko 80% vs Gavryshko 60%
Dukhovenko
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Dukhovenko 70% vs Gavryshko 30%
Dukhovenko
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Dukhovenko +2 · Gavryshko +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 64% — Clear lean (leans Dukhovenko) · live re-read · sealed at 63% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Gavryshko form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (40%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsDukhovenko 1.50 / Gavryshko 2.50
Signal prob.64% / 36%
Edge (Dukhovenko)+1.2pp
Setka Cup · #13111030
Dukhovenko1.50
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite74% won 208 of 281
Up 2–0, closes it98% 129 of 132
Up 1–0, closes it92% 161 of 176
Gavryshko2.50
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As underdog41% won 66 of 161
Down 0–1, comes back21% 18 of 87
Down 0–2, comes back12% 7 of 57
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeDukhovenko6wins
AwayGavryshko4wins
4 of 10 to a deciderDukhovenko leads 6–4, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeDukhovenko100%4 of 4
AwayGavryshko66.7%4 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Dukhovenko4Gavryshko6n = 10Gavryshko took 6 of 10
S2Dukhovenko8Gavryshko2n = 10Dukhovenko took 8 of 10
S3Dukhovenko4Gavryshko6n = 10Gavryshko took 6 of 10
S4Dukhovenko5Gavryshko2n = 7Dukhovenko took 5 of 7
S5Dukhovenko2Gavryshko2n = 4split evenly
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricDukhovenkoGavryshkoD − GBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match40.539.3+1.2per matchSweeps21+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricDukhovenkoGavryshkoBasisWin rate · lifetime537 / 856 vs 328 / 62262.7%52.7%537 / 856 vs 328 / 622Avg sets wonper match2.22.0per matchAvg pointsper match36.436.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
DukhovenkoDukhovenko 1.50/Gavryshko 2.50
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
63.7%
Dukhovenko · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Gavryshko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 6 · 21:25O. Dukhovenko4111118113O. Gavryshko37981191
WSep 6 · 02:25O. Dukhovenko48111169113O. Gavryshko4459111182
WSep 4 · 17:55O. Dukhovenko3731112113O. Gavryshko331141081
WAug 30 · 01:55O. Dukhovenko361411113O. Gavryshko2612950
WAug 28 · 17:55O. Dukhovenko331111113O. Gavryshko259790
LAug 17 · 24:25O. Dukhovenko2394100O. Gavryshko341111123
LAug 16 · 03:55O. Dukhovenko461011101142O. Gavryshko47129123113
LAug 14 · 17:55O. Dukhovenko501011811102O. Gavryshko52128119123
LAug 10 · 02:25O. Dukhovenko411312881O. Gavryshko47151011113
WAug 8 · 22:55O. Dukhovenko505111211113O. Gavryshko48111310862
O. Dukhovenko10
WSep 11 · 19:25O. Dukhovenko1.28111183I. Demchenko3.503540WSep 11 · 16:25O. Dukhovenko1.441111113A. Chepurnyi2.635690WSep 11 · 14:55O. Dukhovenko1.111111113P. Plakushchyi6.008850LSep 11 · 13:25O. Dukhovenko1.50139781O. Mishchenko2.50111111113WSep 9 · 03:25O. Dukhovenko1.5311111113113V. Panasenko2.3813651572WSep 9 · 01:55O. Dukhovenko1.131111113P. Plakushchyi5.502860LSep 9 · 24:25O. Dukhovenko1.57111110111O. Mishchenko2.2513912133WSep 8 · 22:55O. Dukhovenko1.171111113O. Kovalchuk4.508660WSep 8 · 21:25O. Dukhovenko1.061111113E. Rubtsov8.007550LSep 7 · 03:55I. Demchenko3.7511611113O. Dukhovenko1.25911921
O. Gavryshko10
WSep 11 · 19:55O. Gavryshko1.3612811113O. Mishchenko3.001011971WSep 11 · 16:55O. Gavryshko1.61711111113P. Plakushchyi2.2011811562WSep 11 · 15:55I. Demchenko3.001390O. Gavryshko1.361111113LSep 11 · 14:25O. Gavryshko1.836740A. Chepurnyi1.831111113LSep 7 · 03:25O. Gavryshko1.404125101O. Mishchenko2.75111011123WSep 7 · 01:55O. Gavryshko1.3661111123I. Demchenko3.001198101LSep 7 · 24:25O. Gavryshko1.83147111292A. Chepurnyi1.831211814113LSep 6 · 22:55O. Gavryshko1.7325670M. Makienko2.002711113LSep 6 · 21:25O. Gavryshko2.50981191O. Dukhovenko1.5011118113LSep 6 · 04:25O. Gavryshko1.30127110I. Demchenko3.401411133
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