TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13117413
Played Sep 12Finished
Oleksandr Mishchenko
Home
4.33
At publish
Lost last 4Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 4
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
9111151171513––
Yevhenii Kryvorotko
Away
1.20
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 22:32 and never touched — 82.7% is still 82.7%
Graded at full timeYevhenii Kryvorotko to win
82.7%
82.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingOleksandr Mishchenko above · Yevhenii Kryvorotko below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 11-5
Set 3 · 11-7
Set 4 · 15-13
Point 82 set 4, 15-13 — our read held Yevhenii Kryvorotko at 82.7%
82 points played in total.
H2H Oleksandr Mishchenko 25–71 Yevhenii Kryvorotko Oleksandr Mishchenko has won 25 of their 96 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 22:32What took a side5 for · 1 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.20 (78%)
Kryvorotko
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
25-71 in 96
Kryvorotko
Wrong
gap of 46 in 96, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Mishchenko 1576 vs Kryvorotko 1777
Kryvorotko
Wrong
both rated, 200 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Mishchenko 20% vs Kryvorotko 40%
Kryvorotko
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Mishchenko 30% vs Kryvorotko 50%
Kryvorotko
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Mishchenko -4 · Kryvorotko -1
Mishchenko
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 83% — Strong (leans Kryvorotko)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kryvorotko form (40%) is below what odds imply (83%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMishchenko 4.33 / Kryvorotko 1.20
Signal prob.17% / 83%
Edge (Kryvorotko)+4.4pp
Setka Cup · #13117413
Mishchenko4.33
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 4
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog38% won 95 of 251
Down 0–1, comes back13% 18 of 139
Down 0–2, comes back4% 3 of 76
Kryvorotko1.20
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite62% won 128 of 205
Up 2–0, closes it93% 51 of 55
Up 1–0, closes it80% 82 of 102
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeMishchenko2wins
AwayKryvorotko8wins
2 of 10 to a deciderKryvorotko leads 8–2, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMishchenkon = 2, below the 3 needed
AwayKryvorotko75%6 of 8
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Mishchenko2Kryvorotko8n = 10Kryvorotko took 8 of 10
S2Mishchenko3Kryvorotko7n = 10Kryvorotko took 7 of 10
S3Mishchenko2Kryvorotko8n = 10Kryvorotko took 8 of 10
S4Mishchenko2Kryvorotko3n = 5Kryvorotko took 3 of 5
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away550%
These 10 meetings
MetricMishchenkoKryvorotkoM − KBasisWins28−6in 10 meetingsFirst set28−6of 10Avg pointsper match30.938.7−7.8per matchSweeps05−53–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMishchenkoKryvorotkoBasisWin rate · lifetime497 / 1062 vs 320 / 50046.8%64%497 / 1062 vs 320 / 500Avg sets wonper match1.92.3per matchAvg pointsper match36.738.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KryvorotkoMishchenko 4.33/Kryvorotko 1.20
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
82.7%
Kryvorotko · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Mishchenko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 12 · 22:25O. Mishchenko4691111153Y. Kryvorotko361157131
LSep 4 · 15:25O. Mishchenko175840Y. Kryvorotko331111113
LAug 30 · 01:25O. Mishchenko32711771Y. Kryvorotko3911611113
LAug 28 · 15:25O. Mishchenko30515100Y. Kryvorotko401117123
LAug 22 · 23:25O. Mishchenko184950Y. Kryvorotko331111113
LJul 19 · 02:25O. Mishchenko226880Y. Kryvorotko331111113
LJul 17 · 20:25O. Mishchenko28117461Y. Kryvorotko4071111113
LJun 28 · 03:55O. Mishchenko4011612562Y. Kryvorotko529111011113
LJun 14 · 03:25O. Mishchenko2494110Y. Kryvorotko351111133
WJun 5 · 18:55O. Mishchenko52911911123Y. Kryvorotko46117117102
O. Mishchenko10
LSep 11 · 19:55O. Gavryshko1.3612811113O. Mishchenko3.001011971LSep 11 · 18:55P. Plakushchyi1.7311116113O. Mishchenko2.00581151LSep 11 · 17:25I. Demchenko1.5711134113O. Mishchenko2.258111171LSep 11 · 15:25A. Chepurnyi1.5381111113O. Mishchenko2.38114391WSep 11 · 13:25O. Dukhovenko1.50139781O. Mishchenko2.50111111113LSep 10 · 04:25E. Rubtsov3.40111011123O. Mishchenko1.309128101WSep 10 · 02:55O. Mishchenko2.10117115113P. Plakushchyi1.6761141172LSep 10 · 24:55O. Kovalchuk2.2011911113O. Mishchenko1.61511531WSep 9 · 22:55V. Panasenko1.737127121O. Mishchenko2.00111011143LSep 9 · 21:55V. Kovalenko1.9111611113O. Mishchenko1.80311761
Y. Kryvorotko10
LSep 6 · 03:25Y. Kryvorotko1.80119981O. Dukhovenko1.9181111113WSep 6 · 01:55Y. Kryvorotko1.611311113A. Chepurnyi2.2011820LSep 6 · 24:25Y. Kryvorotko1.6111561272O. Gavryshko2.205111110113WSep 5 · 22:55Y. Kryvorotko1.4011611113I. Demchenko2.75911781LSep 5 · 21:25Y. Kryvorotko1.8081113972M. Makienko1.911181111113LSep 4 · 20:25Y. Kryvorotko1.61118251A. Chepurnyi2.2061111113WSep 4 · 18:25P. Plakushchyi3.50411116122Y. Kryvorotko1.28115311143WSep 4 · 16:25O. Dukhovenko1.9111146572Y. Kryvorotko1.804121111113WSep 4 · 15:25Y. Kryvorotko1.221111113O. Mishchenko4.005840LSep 4 · 14:25O. Gavryshko2.251111123Y. Kryvorotko1.5777100
Upcoming Matches
O. Mishchenko
Sep 12 · 23:55O. Mishchenko2.00P. Plakushchyi1.73—Sep 13 · 24:55O. Mishchenko3.00O. Gavryshko1.36—Sep 13 · 01:55O. Mishchenko2.50O. Dukhovenko1.50—Sep 13 · 03:55O. Mishchenko2.50A. Chepurnyi1.50—Sep 13 · 21:55O. Mishchenko2.50I. Demchenko1.50—Sep 13 · 23:55O. Mishchenko2.25O. Dukhovenko1.57—Sep 14 · 01:25O. Mishchenko2.00P. Plakushchyi1.73—Sep 14 · 02:25O. Mishchenko2.25A. Chepurnyi1.57—Sep 14 · 03:25O. Mishchenko4.33Y. Kryvorotko1.20—
Y. Kryvorotko
Sep 12 · 23:25Y. Kryvorotko1.57A. Chepurnyi2.25—Sep 13 · 24:25Y. Kryvorotko1.67O. Dukhovenko2.10—Sep 13 · 02:25Y. Kryvorotko1.30P. Plakushchyi3.40—Sep 13 · 04:25Y. Kryvorotko1.67O. Gavryshko2.10—Sep 13 · 21:25Y. Kryvorotko1.30P. Plakushchyi3.40—Sep 13 · 22:55Y. Kryvorotko1.40I. Demchenko2.75—Sep 14 · 01:55Y. Kryvorotko1.67O. Dukhovenko2.10—Sep 14 · 03:25Y. Kryvorotko1.20O. Mishchenko4.33—
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