TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13122303
Played Sep 13Finished
Yevhenii Kryvorotko
Home
1.30
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 3
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
611511911––––
Pavel Plakushchyi
Away
3.40
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 22:32 and never touched — 76.3% is still 76.3%
Graded at full timeYevhenii Kryvorotko to win
76.3%
76.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingYevhenii Kryvorotko above · Pavel Plakushchyi below
Set 1 · 6-11
Set 2 · 5-11
Set 3 · 9-11
Point 53 set 3, 9-11 — our read held Yevhenii Kryvorotko at 76.3%
53 points played in total.
H2H Yevhenii Kryvorotko 42–21 Pavel Plakushchyi Pavel Plakushchyi has won 21 of their 63 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 22:32What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.30 (72%)
Kryvorotko
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
42-21 in 63
Kryvorotko
Wrong
gap of 21 in 63, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kryvorotko 1742 vs Plakushchyi 1626
Kryvorotko
Wrong
both rated, 116 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kryvorotko 20% vs Plakushchyi 40%
Plakushchyi
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kryvorotko 30% vs Plakushchyi 40%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Kryvorotko -3 · Plakushchyi -1
Kryvorotko
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 76% — Strong (leans Kryvorotko)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Plakushchyi form (40%) outperforms what odds imply (29%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKryvorotko 1.30 / Plakushchyi 3.40
Signal prob.76% / 24%
Edge (Kryvorotko)+4.0pp
Setka Cup · #13122303
Kryvorotko1.30
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite62% won 128 of 208
Up 2–0, closes it93% 52 of 56
Up 1–0, closes it79% 82 of 104
Plakushchyi3.40
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog34% won 82 of 242
Down 0–1, comes back17% 25 of 151
Down 0–2, comes back2% 2 of 83
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKryvorotko6wins
AwayPlakushchyi4wins
3 of 10 to a deciderKryvorotko leads 6–4, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKryvorotko60%3 of 5
AwayPlakushchyi40%2 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kryvorotko5Plakushchyi5n = 10split evenly
S2Kryvorotko4Plakushchyi6n = 10Plakushchyi took 6 of 10
S3Kryvorotko5Plakushchyi5n = 10split evenly
S4Kryvorotko4Plakushchyi4n = 8split evenly
S5Kryvorotko3Plakushchyi0n = 3Kryvorotko took 3 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricKryvorotkoPlakushchyiK − PBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match38.337.7+0.6per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKryvorotkoPlakushchyiBasisWin rate · lifetime318 / 501 vs 307 / 69463.5%44.2%318 / 501 vs 307 / 694Avg sets wonper match2.31.8per matchAvg pointsper match38.835.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KryvorotkoKryvorotko 1.30/Plakushchyi 3.40
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
76.3%
Kryvorotko · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Plakushchyi won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 13 · 02:25Y. Kryvorotko32119571P. Plakushchyi4291111113
WSep 4 · 18:25Y. Kryvorotko44115311143P. Plakushchyi44411116122
WJul 25 · 02:25Y. Kryvorotko4181111113P. Plakushchyi26115641
WJul 18 · 21:55Y. Kryvorotko4281111123P. Plakushchyi351177101
LJul 17 · 14:25Y. Kryvorotko331071151P. Plakushchyi4112117113
LJul 11 · 22:55Y. Kryvorotko2761560P. Plakushchyi391117113
WJul 4 · 22:55Y. Kryvorotko331111113P. Plakushchyi144550
LJun 20 · 23:55Y. Kryvorotko32117681P. Plakushchyi4071111113
WJun 19 · 15:25Y. Kryvorotko51811135143P. Plakushchyi531181111122
WJun 13 · 21:55Y. Kryvorotko48119611113P. Plakushchyi4391111392
Y. Kryvorotko10
LSep 13 · 04:25Y. Kryvorotko1.67481111132O. Gavryshko2.10111177153LSep 13 · 02:25P. Plakushchyi3.4091111113Y. Kryvorotko1.30119571LSep 13 · 24:25O. Dukhovenko2.101111113Y. Kryvorotko1.675830WSep 12 · 23:25Y. Kryvorotko1.571111113A. Chepurnyi2.257960LSep 12 · 22:25O. Mishchenko4.3391111153Y. Kryvorotko1.201157131LSep 6 · 03:25Y. Kryvorotko1.80119981O. Dukhovenko1.9181111113WSep 6 · 01:55Y. Kryvorotko1.611311113A. Chepurnyi2.2011820LSep 6 · 24:25Y. Kryvorotko1.6111561272O. Gavryshko2.205111110113WSep 5 · 22:55Y. Kryvorotko1.4011611113I. Demchenko2.75911781LSep 5 · 21:25Y. Kryvorotko1.8081113972M. Makienko1.911181111113
P. Plakushchyi10
LSep 13 · 03:25O. Dukhovenko1.111111123P. Plakushchyi6.0094100WSep 13 · 02:25P. Plakushchyi3.4091111113Y. Kryvorotko1.30119571LSep 13 · 01:25P. Plakushchyi2.257370A. Chepurnyi1.571111113WSep 12 · 23:55P. Plakushchyi1.7311711113O. Mishchenko2.00811891LSep 12 · 21:55P. Plakushchyi2.38911441O. Gavryshko1.5311811113LSep 11 · 20:25A. Chepurnyi1.57119711113P. Plakushchyi2.2571111662WSep 11 · 18:55P. Plakushchyi1.7311116113O. Mishchenko2.00581151LSep 11 · 16:55O. Gavryshko1.61711111113P. Plakushchyi2.2011811562LSep 11 · 14:55O. Dukhovenko1.111111113P. Plakushchyi6.008850WSep 11 · 13:55I. Demchenko1.44111191192P. Plakushchyi2.63361113113
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