TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13117039
Played Sep 13Finished
Pavel Plakushchyi
Home
3.40
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
911119115117––
Yevhenii Kryvorotko
Away
1.30
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 21:32 and never touched — 76.3% is still 76.3%
Graded at full timeYevhenii Kryvorotko to win
76.3%
76.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingPavel Plakushchyi above · Yevhenii Kryvorotko below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 11-5
Set 4 · 11-7
Point 74 set 4, 11-7 — our read held Yevhenii Kryvorotko at 76.3%
74 points played in total.
H2H Pavel Plakushchyi 20–41 Yevhenii Kryvorotko Pavel Plakushchyi has won 20 of their 61 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 21:32What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.30 (72%)
Kryvorotko
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
20-41 in 61
Kryvorotko
Wrong
gap of 21 in 61, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Plakushchyi 1622 vs Kryvorotko 1768
Kryvorotko
Wrong
both rated, 147 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Plakushchyi 40% vs Kryvorotko 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Plakushchyi 40% vs Kryvorotko 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Plakushchyi -1 · Kryvorotko -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 76% — Strong (leans Kryvorotko)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kryvorotko form (40%) is below what odds imply (77%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPlakushchyi 3.40 / Kryvorotko 1.30
Signal prob.24% / 76%
Edge (Kryvorotko)+4.0pp
Setka Cup · #13117039
Plakushchyi3.40
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog34% won 81 of 239
Down 0–1, comes back16% 24 of 148
Down 0–2, comes back3% 2 of 81
Kryvorotko1.30
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As favourite62% won 128 of 207
Up 2–0, closes it93% 52 of 56
Up 1–0, closes it80% 82 of 103
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomePlakushchyi3wins
AwayKryvorotko7wins
2 of 10 to a deciderKryvorotko leads 7–3, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomePlakushchyi40%2 of 5
AwayKryvorotko80%4 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Plakushchyi5Kryvorotko5n = 10split evenly
S2Plakushchyi6Kryvorotko4n = 10Plakushchyi took 6 of 10
S3Plakushchyi3Kryvorotko7n = 10Kryvorotko took 7 of 10
S4Plakushchyi3Kryvorotko5n = 8Kryvorotko took 5 of 8
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away440%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricPlakushchyiKryvorotkoP − KBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match36.339.6−3.3per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPlakushchyiKryvorotkoBasisWin rate · lifetime307 / 693 vs 320 / 50144.3%63.9%307 / 693 vs 320 / 501Avg sets wonper match1.82.3per matchAvg pointsper match35.338.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KryvorotkoPlakushchyi 3.40/Kryvorotko 1.30
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
76.3%
Kryvorotko · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Plakushchyi won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LJul 25 · 02:25P. Plakushchyi26115641Y. Kryvorotko4181111113
LJul 18 · 21:55P. Plakushchyi351177101Y. Kryvorotko4281111123
WJul 17 · 14:25P. Plakushchyi4112117113Y. Kryvorotko331071151
WJul 11 · 22:55P. Plakushchyi391117113Y. Kryvorotko2761560
LJul 4 · 22:55P. Plakushchyi144550Y. Kryvorotko331111113
WJun 20 · 23:55P. Plakushchyi4071111113Y. Kryvorotko32117681
LJun 19 · 15:25P. Plakushchyi531181111122Y. Kryvorotko51811135143
LJun 13 · 21:55P. Plakushchyi4391111392Y. Kryvorotko48119611113
LMay 24 · 24:25P. Plakushchyi371215551Y. Kryvorotko49141311113
LMay 22 · 15:25P. Plakushchyi356118101Y. Kryvorotko4011611123
P. Plakushchyi10
LSep 13 · 01:25P. Plakushchyi2.257370A. Chepurnyi1.571111113WSep 12 · 23:55P. Plakushchyi1.7311711113O. Mishchenko2.00811891LSep 12 · 21:55P. Plakushchyi2.38911441O. Gavryshko1.5311811113LSep 11 · 20:25A. Chepurnyi1.57119711113P. Plakushchyi2.2571111662WSep 11 · 18:55P. Plakushchyi1.7311116113O. Mishchenko2.00581151LSep 11 · 16:55O. Gavryshko1.61711111113P. Plakushchyi2.2011811562LSep 11 · 14:55O. Dukhovenko1.111111113P. Plakushchyi6.008850WSep 11 · 13:55I. Demchenko1.44111191192P. Plakushchyi2.63361113113WSep 10 · 03:55O. Kovalchuk2.508680P. Plakushchyi1.501111113LSep 10 · 02:55O. Mishchenko2.10117115113P. Plakushchyi1.6761141172
Y. Kryvorotko10
LSep 13 · 24:25O. Dukhovenko2.101111113Y. Kryvorotko1.675830WSep 12 · 23:25Y. Kryvorotko1.571111113A. Chepurnyi2.257960LSep 12 · 22:25O. Mishchenko4.3391111153Y. Kryvorotko1.201157131LSep 6 · 03:25Y. Kryvorotko1.80119981O. Dukhovenko1.9181111113WSep 6 · 01:55Y. Kryvorotko1.611311113A. Chepurnyi2.2011820LSep 6 · 24:25Y. Kryvorotko1.6111561272O. Gavryshko2.205111110113WSep 5 · 22:55Y. Kryvorotko1.4011611113I. Demchenko2.75911781LSep 5 · 21:25Y. Kryvorotko1.8081113972M. Makienko1.911181111113LSep 4 · 20:25Y. Kryvorotko1.61118251A. Chepurnyi2.2061111113WSep 4 · 18:25P. Plakushchyi3.50411116122Y. Kryvorotko1.28115311143
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