TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13117324
Played Sep 13Finished
Oleksandr Dukhovenko
Home
2.10
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
115118113––––
Yevhenii Kryvorotko
Away
1.67
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 22:02 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeYevhenii Kryvorotko to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingOleksandr Dukhovenko above · Yevhenii Kryvorotko below
Set 1 · 11-5
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 11-3
Point 49 set 3, 11-3 — our read held Yevhenii Kryvorotko at 54.0%
49 points played in total.
H2H Oleksandr Dukhovenko 64–89 Yevhenii Kryvorotko Oleksandr Dukhovenko has won 64 of their 153 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 22:02What took a side2 for · 1 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Kryvorotko
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
64-89 in 153
Kryvorotko
Wrong
gap of 25 in 153, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Dukhovenko 1850 vs Kryvorotko 1780
Dukhovenko
Correct
both rated, 70 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Dukhovenko 40% vs Kryvorotko 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Dukhovenko 50% vs Kryvorotko 50%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Dukhovenko -2 · Kryvorotko +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Kryvorotko)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kryvorotko form (40%) is below what odds imply (60%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsDukhovenko 2.10 / Kryvorotko 1.67
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Kryvorotko)-1.8pp (anti-value)
Setka Cup · #13117324
Dukhovenko2.10
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog33% won 17 of 51
Down 0–1, comes back21% 6 of 28
Down 0–2, comes back7% 1 of 15
Kryvorotko1.67
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As favourite62% won 128 of 205
Up 2–0, closes it93% 51 of 55
Up 1–0, closes it80% 82 of 102
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeDukhovenko5wins
AwayKryvorotko5wins
7 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 7 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeDukhovenko25%1 of 4
AwayKryvorotko33.3%2 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Dukhovenko4Kryvorotko6n = 10Kryvorotko took 6 of 10
S2Dukhovenko6Kryvorotko4n = 10Dukhovenko took 6 of 10
S3Dukhovenko5Kryvorotko5n = 10split evenly
S4Dukhovenko5Kryvorotko3n = 8Dukhovenko took 5 of 8
S5Dukhovenko3Kryvorotko4n = 7Kryvorotko took 4 of 7
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away440%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricDukhovenkoKryvorotkoD − KBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match42.542.4+0.1per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricDukhovenkoKryvorotkoBasisWin rate · lifetime538 / 859 vs 320 / 50162.6%63.9%538 / 859 vs 320 / 501Avg sets wonper match2.22.3per matchAvg pointsper match36.438.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KryvorotkoDukhovenko 2.10/Kryvorotko 1.67
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Kryvorotko · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Dukhovenko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 13 · 24:25O. Dukhovenko331111113Y. Kryvorotko165830
WSep 6 · 03:25O. Dukhovenko4181111113Y. Kryvorotko37119981
LSep 4 · 16:25O. Dukhovenko4311146572Y. Kryvorotko494121111113
LAug 30 · 03:55O. Dukhovenko1510230Y. Kryvorotko341211113
WAug 28 · 16:25O. Dukhovenko50516711113Y. Kryvorotko47111411382
WAug 23 · 01:55O. Dukhovenko527131011113Y. Kryvorotko49111112872
LAug 21 · 17:25O. Dukhovenko53121291192Y. Kryvorotko551410119113
LAug 15 · 23:55O. Dukhovenko4211611862Y. Kryvorotko48711811113
LAug 14 · 14:55O. Dukhovenko4213911722Y. Kryvorotko491111511113
WAug 2 · 03:25O. Dukhovenko549101111133Y. Kryvorotko40111242112
O. Dukhovenko10
LSep 12 · 22:55O. Dukhovenko1.4411761362O. Gavryshko2.637111111113LSep 12 · 21:25O. Dukhovenko1.5391441182A. Chepurnyi2.381112115113WSep 11 · 19:25O. Dukhovenko1.28111183I. Demchenko3.503540LSep 11 · 17:55O. Dukhovenko1.50211151272O. Gavryshko2.501181710113WSep 11 · 16:25O. Dukhovenko1.441111113A. Chepurnyi2.635690WSep 11 · 14:55O. Dukhovenko1.111111113P. Plakushchyi6.008850LSep 11 · 13:25O. Dukhovenko1.50139781O. Mishchenko2.50111111113WSep 9 · 03:25O. Dukhovenko1.5311111113113V. Panasenko2.3813651572WSep 9 · 01:55O. Dukhovenko1.131111113P. Plakushchyi5.502860LSep 9 · 24:25O. Dukhovenko1.57111110111O. Mishchenko2.2513912133
Y. Kryvorotko10
WSep 12 · 23:25Y. Kryvorotko1.571111113A. Chepurnyi2.257960LSep 12 · 22:25O. Mishchenko4.3391111153Y. Kryvorotko1.201157131LSep 6 · 03:25Y. Kryvorotko1.80119981O. Dukhovenko1.9181111113WSep 6 · 01:55Y. Kryvorotko1.611311113A. Chepurnyi2.2011820LSep 6 · 24:25Y. Kryvorotko1.6111561272O. Gavryshko2.205111110113WSep 5 · 22:55Y. Kryvorotko1.4011611113I. Demchenko2.75911781LSep 5 · 21:25Y. Kryvorotko1.8081113972M. Makienko1.911181111113LSep 4 · 20:25Y. Kryvorotko1.61118251A. Chepurnyi2.2061111113WSep 4 · 18:25P. Plakushchyi3.50411116122Y. Kryvorotko1.28115311143WSep 4 · 16:25O. Dukhovenko1.9111146572Y. Kryvorotko1.804121111113
Upcoming Matches
O. Dukhovenko
Sep 13 · 01:55O. Dukhovenko1.50O. Mishchenko2.50—Sep 13 · 03:25O. Dukhovenko1.11P. Plakushchyi6.00—Sep 13 · 22:25O. Dukhovenko1.40A. Chepurnyi2.75—Sep 13 · 23:55O. Dukhovenko1.57O. Mishchenko2.25—Sep 14 · 24:55O. Dukhovenko1.28I. Demchenko3.50—Sep 14 · 01:55O. Dukhovenko2.10Y. Kryvorotko1.67—Sep 14 · 03:55O. Dukhovenko1.11P. Plakushchyi6.00—
Y. Kryvorotko
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.