TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13116872
Played Sep 12Finished
Pavel Plakushchyi
Home
2.38
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
911118411411––
Oleg Gavryshko
Away
1.53
At publish
Won last 4Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 4
The read, and what happenedsealed at 21:05 and never touched — 60.5% is still 60.5%
Graded at full timeOleg Gavryshko to win
60.5%
60.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingPavel Plakushchyi above · Oleg Gavryshko below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 4-11
Set 4 · 4-11
Point 69 set 4, 4-11 — our read held Oleg Gavryshko at 60.5%
69 points played in total.
H2H Pavel Plakushchyi 47–54 Oleg Gavryshko Pavel Plakushchyi has won 47 of their 101 meetings.
The pickConfirm
Sealed 21:05What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.53 (61%)
Gavryshko
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
47-54 in 101
Gavryshko
Correct
gap of 7 in 101, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Plakushchyi 1616 vs Gavryshko 1779
Gavryshko
Correct
both rated, 163 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Plakushchyi 40% vs Gavryshko 80%
Gavryshko
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Plakushchyi 60% vs Gavryshko 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Plakushchyi -1 · Gavryshko +4
Gavryshko
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and the gate let it through as Confirm.
Signal confidence: 64% — Clear lean (leans Gavryshko) · live re-read · sealed at 61% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Gavryshko form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (65%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPlakushchyi 2.38 / Gavryshko 1.53
Signal prob.36% / 64%
Edge (Gavryshko)+2.8pp
Setka Cup · #13116872
Plakushchyi2.38
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog34% won 87 of 254
Down 0–1, comes back16% 24 of 155
Down 0–2, comes back2% 2 of 88
Gavryshko1.53
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 4
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite57% won 81 of 141
Up 2–0, closes it96% 45 of 47
Up 1–0, closes it83% 69 of 83
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomePlakushchyi4wins
AwayGavryshko6wins
2 of 10 to a deciderGavryshko leads 6–4, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomePlakushchyi40%2 of 5
AwayGavryshko60%3 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Plakushchyi5Gavryshko5n = 10split evenly
S2Plakushchyi3Gavryshko7n = 10Gavryshko took 7 of 10
S3Plakushchyi5Gavryshko5n = 10split evenly
S4Plakushchyi2Gavryshko3n = 5Gavryshko took 3 of 5
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricPlakushchyiGavryshkoP − GBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match33.534.0−0.5per matchSweeps23−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPlakushchyiGavryshkoBasisWin rate · lifetime307 / 693 vs 330 / 62444.3%52.9%307 / 693 vs 330 / 624Avg sets wonper match1.82.0per matchAvg pointsper match35.436.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
GavryshkoPlakushchyi 2.38/Gavryshko 1.53
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
63.6%
Gavryshko · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Gavryshko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 11 · 16:55P. Plakushchyi4111811562O. Gavryshko41711111113
LSep 4 · 15:55P. Plakushchyi25101050O. Gavryshko351212113
WAug 7 · 18:55P. Plakushchyi43731111113O. Gavryshko4211117672
LJul 24 · 21:55P. Plakushchyi28113771O. Gavryshko3521111113
LJul 13 · 03:25P. Plakushchyi2486100O. Gavryshko341111123
LJul 12 · 04:25P. Plakushchyi411191471O. Gavryshko4351116113
WJul 6 · 03:25P. Plakushchyi331111113O. Gavryshko247890
WJul 5 · 04:25P. Plakushchyi44111111113O. Gavryshko33137851
WJun 22 · 03:25P. Plakushchyi331111113O. Gavryshko195680
LJun 20 · 22:25P. Plakushchyi2371060O. Gavryshko341112113
P. Plakushchyi10
LSep 11 · 20:25A. Chepurnyi1.57119711113P. Plakushchyi2.2571111662WSep 11 · 18:55P. Plakushchyi1.7311116113O. Mishchenko2.00581151LSep 11 · 16:55O. Gavryshko1.61711111113P. Plakushchyi2.2011811562LSep 11 · 14:55O. Dukhovenko1.111111113P. Plakushchyi6.008850WSep 11 · 13:55I. Demchenko1.44111191192P. Plakushchyi2.63361113113WSep 10 · 03:55O. Kovalchuk2.508680P. Plakushchyi1.501111113LSep 10 · 02:55O. Mishchenko2.10117115113P. Plakushchyi1.6761141172WSep 10 · 01:25V. Kovalenko2.001211811122P. Plakushchyi1.73144116143WSep 9 · 23:25E. Rubtsov2.751181251P. Plakushchyi1.4061114113WSep 9 · 21:25V. Panasenko1.839580P. Plakushchyi1.831111113
O. Gavryshko10
WSep 11 · 19:55O. Gavryshko1.3612811113O. Mishchenko3.001011971WSep 11 · 17:55O. Dukhovenko1.50211151272O. Gavryshko2.501181710113WSep 11 · 16:55O. Gavryshko1.61711111113P. Plakushchyi2.2011811562WSep 11 · 15:55I. Demchenko3.001390O. Gavryshko1.361111113LSep 11 · 14:25O. Gavryshko1.836740A. Chepurnyi1.831111113LSep 7 · 03:25O. Gavryshko1.404125101O. Mishchenko2.75111011123WSep 7 · 01:55O. Gavryshko1.3661111123I. Demchenko3.001198101LSep 7 · 24:25O. Gavryshko1.83147111292A. Chepurnyi1.831211814113LSep 6 · 22:55O. Gavryshko1.7325670M. Makienko2.002711113LSep 6 · 21:25O. Gavryshko2.50981191O. Dukhovenko1.5011118113
Upcoming Matches
P. Plakushchyi
Sep 12 · 23:55P. Plakushchyi1.73O. Mishchenko2.00—Sep 13 · 01:25P. Plakushchyi2.25A. Chepurnyi1.57—Sep 13 · 02:25P. Plakushchyi3.40Y. Kryvorotko1.30—Sep 13 · 03:25P. Plakushchyi6.00O. Dukhovenko1.11—Sep 13 · 21:25P. Plakushchyi3.40Y. Kryvorotko1.30—Sep 13 · 23:25P. Plakushchyi2.10A. Chepurnyi1.67—Sep 14 · 01:25P. Plakushchyi1.73O. Mishchenko2.00—Sep 14 · 03:55P. Plakushchyi6.00O. Dukhovenko1.11—
O. Gavryshko
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