TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13122218
Played Sep 14Finished
Oleksandr Mishchenko
Home
2.63
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
11138111513811––
Artem Chepurnyi
Away
1.44
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 22:03 and never touched — 62.5% is still 62.5%
Graded at full timeArtem Chepurnyi to win
62.5%
62.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingOleksandr Mishchenko above · Artem Chepurnyi below
Set 1 · 11-13
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 15-13
Set 4 · 8-11
Point 90 set 4, 8-11 — our read held Artem Chepurnyi at 62.5%
90 points played in total.
H2H Oleksandr Mishchenko 87–115 Artem Chepurnyi Oleksandr Mishchenko has won 87 of their 202 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 22:03What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.44 (65%)
Chepurnyi
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
87-115 in 202
Chepurnyi
Correct
gap of 28 in 202, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Mishchenko 1561 vs Chepurnyi 1799
Chepurnyi
Correct
both rated, 238 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Mishchenko 40% vs Chepurnyi 60%
Chepurnyi
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Mishchenko 30% vs Chepurnyi 60%
Chepurnyi
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Mishchenko +1 · Chepurnyi +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 68% — Clear lean (leans Chepurnyi) · live re-read · sealed at 63% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMishchenko 2.63 / Chepurnyi 1.44
Signal prob.32% / 68%
Edge (Chepurnyi)+3.6pp
Setka Cup · #13122218
Mishchenko2.63
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As underdog35% won 85 of 241
Down 0–1, comes back13% 18 of 140
Down 0–2, comes back4% 3 of 76
Chepurnyi1.44
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite67% won 167 of 251
Up 2–0, closes it93% 82 of 88
Up 1–0, closes it83% 129 of 156
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeMishchenko4wins
AwayChepurnyi6wins
1 of 10 to a deciderChepurnyi leads 6–4, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMishchenko66.7%4 of 6
AwayChepurnyi100%4 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Mishchenko6Chepurnyi4n = 10Mishchenko took 6 of 10
S2Mishchenko4Chepurnyi6n = 10Chepurnyi took 6 of 10
S3Mishchenko3Chepurnyi7n = 10Chepurnyi took 7 of 10
S4Mishchenko1Chepurnyi4n = 5Chepurnyi took 4 of 5
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricMishchenkoChepurnyiM − CBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match32.035.3−3.3per matchSweeps23−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMishchenkoChepurnyiBasisWin rate · lifetime497 / 1061 vs 564 / 94846.8%59.5%497 / 1061 vs 564 / 948Avg sets wonper match1.92.2per matchAvg pointsper match36.637.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ChepurnyiMishchenko 2.63/Chepurnyi 1.44
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
68.1%
Chepurnyi · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Chepurnyi won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 11 · 15:25O. Mishchenko27114391A. Chepurnyi4181111113
LSep 7 · 02:25O. Mishchenko27111060A. Chepurnyi361312113
LSep 4 · 18:55O. Mishchenko229850A. Chepurnyi331111113
WAug 29 · 21:55O. Mishchenko47111294113A. Chepurnyi46810111162
LAug 28 · 17:25O. Mishchenko2151060A. Chepurnyi341112113
LAug 23 · 21:25O. Mishchenko345111171A. Chepurnyi4411913113
WAug 23 · 01:25O. Mishchenko331111113A. Chepurnyi197750
LAug 17 · 01:25O. Mishchenko34119591A. Chepurnyi3961111113
WAug 9 · 22:55O. Mishchenko4212811113A. Chepurnyi391011991
WAug 9 · 01:25O. Mishchenko331111113A. Chepurnyi224990
O. Mishchenko10
WSep 14 · 01:25O. Mishchenko2.001111133P. Plakushchyi1.7389110LSep 13 · 23:55O. Mishchenko2.255850O. Dukhovenko1.571111113WSep 13 · 21:55O. Mishchenko2.501111113I. Demchenko1.507950LSep 13 · 03:55O. Mishchenko2.636720A. Chepurnyi1.441111113LSep 13 · 01:55O. Dukhovenko1.50119811113O. Mishchenko2.5051111442LSep 13 · 24:55O. Mishchenko3.00591151O. Gavryshko1.3611117113LSep 12 · 23:55P. Plakushchyi1.7311711113O. Mishchenko2.00811891WSep 12 · 22:25O. Mishchenko4.3391111153Y. Kryvorotko1.201157131LSep 11 · 19:55O. Gavryshko1.3612811113O. Mishchenko3.001011971LSep 11 · 18:55P. Plakushchyi1.7311116113O. Mishchenko2.00581151
A. Chepurnyi10
WSep 14 · 24:25Y. Kryvorotko1.57711131172A. Chepurnyi2.251113114113LSep 13 · 23:25A. Chepurnyi1.6112560P. Plakushchyi2.201411113LSep 13 · 22:25O. Dukhovenko1.401111123A. Chepurnyi2.7544100WSep 13 · 03:55O. Mishchenko2.636720A. Chepurnyi1.441111113WSep 13 · 02:55O. Gavryshko1.83119781A. Chepurnyi1.8351111113WSep 13 · 01:25P. Plakushchyi2.257370A. Chepurnyi1.571111113LSep 12 · 23:25Y. Kryvorotko1.571111113A. Chepurnyi2.257960WSep 12 · 21:25O. Dukhovenko1.5391441182A. Chepurnyi2.381112115113WSep 11 · 20:25A. Chepurnyi1.57119711113P. Plakushchyi2.2571111662LSep 11 · 18:25I. Demchenko2.631111812113A. Chepurnyi1.4484111492
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