TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13116953
Played Sep 13Finished
Oleksandr Dukhovenko
Home
1.50
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
115911811114114
Oleksandr Mishchenko
Away
2.50
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 21:13 and never touched — 62.1% is still 62.1%
Graded at full timeOleksandr Dukhovenko to win
62.1%
62.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingOleksandr Dukhovenko above · Oleksandr Mishchenko below
Set 1 · 11-5
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 8-11
Set 4 · 11-4
Set 5 · 11-4
Point 85 set 5, 11-4 — our read held Oleksandr Dukhovenko at 62.1%
85 points played in total.
H2H Oleksandr Dukhovenko 88–85 Oleksandr Mishchenko Oleksandr Mishchenko has won 85 of their 173 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 21:13What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.50 (63%)
Dukhovenko
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
88-85 in 173
Dukhovenko
Correct
gap of 3 in 173, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Dukhovenko 1862 vs Mishchenko 1541
Dukhovenko
Correct
both rated, 321 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Dukhovenko 40% vs Mishchenko 20%
Dukhovenko
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Dukhovenko 60% vs Mishchenko 30%
Dukhovenko
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Dukhovenko +1 · Mishchenko -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 66% — Clear lean (leans Dukhovenko) · live re-read · sealed at 62% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Mishchenko form (20%) is below what odds imply (40%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsDukhovenko 1.50 / Mishchenko 2.50
Signal prob.66% / 34%
Edge (Dukhovenko)+3.2pp
Setka Cup · #13116953
Dukhovenko1.50
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite74% won 211 of 287
Up 2–0, closes it98% 132 of 135
Up 1–0, closes it91% 164 of 181
Mishchenko2.50
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As underdog36% won 85 of 238
Down 0–1, comes back13% 18 of 137
Down 0–2, comes back4% 3 of 74
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeDukhovenko4wins
AwayMishchenko6wins
1 of 10 to a deciderMishchenko leads 6–4, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeDukhovenko66.7%4 of 6
AwayMishchenko100%4 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Dukhovenko6Mishchenko4n = 10Dukhovenko took 6 of 10
S2Dukhovenko5Mishchenko5n = 10split evenly
S3Dukhovenko3Mishchenko7n = 10Mishchenko took 7 of 10
S4Dukhovenko3Mishchenko4n = 7Mishchenko took 4 of 7
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricDukhovenkoMishchenkoD − MBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match36.235.2+1.0per matchSweeps12−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricDukhovenkoMishchenkoBasisWin rate · lifetime538 / 859 vs 496 / 106262.6%46.7%538 / 859 vs 496 / 1062Avg sets wonper match2.21.9per matchAvg pointsper match36.436.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
DukhovenkoDukhovenko 1.50/Mishchenko 2.50
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
65.7%
Dukhovenko · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Dukhovenko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 11 · 13:25O. Dukhovenko37139781O. Mishchenko44111111113
LSep 9 · 24:25O. Dukhovenko43111110111O. Mishchenko4713912133
WSep 7 · 01:25O. Dukhovenko4111811113O. Mishchenko33611881
LSep 4 · 13:25O. Dukhovenko3911511482O. Mishchenko44611511113
WAug 29 · 23:55O. Dukhovenko3911116113O. Mishchenko29391161
WAug 28 · 13:25O. Dukhovenko4211119113O. Mishchenko23271131
LAug 23 · 24:25O. Dukhovenko2798100O. Mishchenko341111123
LAug 17 · 02:25O. Dukhovenko258890O. Mishchenko331111113
WAug 10 · 24:25O. Dukhovenko331111113O. Mishchenko228770
LAug 8 · 21:25O. Dukhovenko365111191O. Mishchenko4311813113
O. Dukhovenko10
WSep 13 · 24:25O. Dukhovenko2.101111113Y. Kryvorotko1.675830LSep 12 · 22:55O. Dukhovenko1.4411761362O. Gavryshko2.637111111113LSep 12 · 21:25O. Dukhovenko1.5391441182A. Chepurnyi2.381112115113WSep 11 · 19:25O. Dukhovenko1.28111183I. Demchenko3.503540LSep 11 · 17:55O. Dukhovenko1.50211151272O. Gavryshko2.501181710113WSep 11 · 16:25O. Dukhovenko1.441111113A. Chepurnyi2.635690WSep 11 · 14:55O. Dukhovenko1.111111113P. Plakushchyi6.008850LSep 11 · 13:25O. Dukhovenko1.50139781O. Mishchenko2.50111111113WSep 9 · 03:25O. Dukhovenko1.5311111113113V. Panasenko2.3813651572WSep 9 · 01:55O. Dukhovenko1.131111113P. Plakushchyi5.502860
O. Mishchenko10
LSep 13 · 24:55O. Mishchenko3.00591151O. Gavryshko1.3611117113LSep 12 · 23:55P. Plakushchyi1.7311711113O. Mishchenko2.00811891WSep 12 · 22:25O. Mishchenko4.3391111153Y. Kryvorotko1.201157131LSep 11 · 19:55O. Gavryshko1.3612811113O. Mishchenko3.001011971LSep 11 · 18:55P. Plakushchyi1.7311116113O. Mishchenko2.00581151LSep 11 · 17:25I. Demchenko1.5711134113O. Mishchenko2.258111171LSep 11 · 15:25A. Chepurnyi1.5381111113O. Mishchenko2.38114391WSep 11 · 13:25O. Dukhovenko1.50139781O. Mishchenko2.50111111113LSep 10 · 04:25E. Rubtsov3.40111011123O. Mishchenko1.309128101WSep 10 · 02:55O. Mishchenko2.10117115113P. Plakushchyi1.6761141172
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