TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13116976
Played Sep 13Finished
Oleksandr Mishchenko
Home
3.00
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
511911117511––
Oleg Gavryshko
Away
1.36
At publish
Won last 6Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 6
The read, and what happenedsealed at 21:13 and never touched — 67.7% is still 67.7%
Graded at full timeOleg Gavryshko to win
67.7%
67.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingOleksandr Mishchenko above · Oleg Gavryshko below
Set 1 · 5-11
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 11-7
Set 4 · 5-11
Point 70 set 4, 5-11 — our read held Oleg Gavryshko at 67.7%
70 points played in total.
H2H Oleksandr Mishchenko 31–53 Oleg Gavryshko Oleksandr Mishchenko has won 31 of their 84 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 21:13What took a side6 for · 0 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.36 (69%)
Gavryshko
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
31-53 in 84
Gavryshko
Correct
gap of 22 in 84, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Mishchenko 1555 vs Gavryshko 1799
Gavryshko
Correct
both rated, 244 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Mishchenko 20% vs Gavryshko 100%
Gavryshko
Correct
80pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Mishchenko 30% vs Gavryshko 70%
Gavryshko
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Mishchenko -1 · Gavryshko +5
Gavryshko
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
6 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 72% — Strong (leans Gavryshko) · live re-read · sealed at 68% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Gavryshko form (100%) outperforms what odds imply (73%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMishchenko 3.00 / Gavryshko 1.36
Signal prob.28% / 72%
Edge (Gavryshko)+3.2pp
Setka Cup · #13116976
Mishchenko3.00
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As underdog38% won 95 of 251
Down 0–1, comes back13% 18 of 139
Down 0–2, comes back4% 3 of 76
Gavryshko1.36
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 6
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite57% won 81 of 141
Up 2–0, closes it96% 45 of 47
Up 1–0, closes it83% 69 of 83
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeMishchenko2wins
AwayGavryshko8wins
4 of 10 to a deciderGavryshko leads 8–2, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMishchenko66.7%2 of 3
AwayGavryshko100%7 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Mishchenko3Gavryshko7n = 10Gavryshko took 7 of 10
S2Mishchenko5Gavryshko5n = 10split evenly
S3Mishchenko4Gavryshko6n = 10Gavryshko took 6 of 10
S4Mishchenko4Gavryshko4n = 8split evenly
S5Mishchenko0Gavryshko4n = 4Gavryshko took 4 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away440%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricMishchenkoGavryshkoM − GBasisWins28−6in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match39.641.5−1.9per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMishchenkoGavryshkoBasisWin rate · lifetime497 / 1062 vs 332 / 62546.8%53.1%497 / 1062 vs 332 / 625Avg sets wonper match1.92.0per matchAvg pointsper match36.736.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
GavryshkoMishchenko 3.00/Gavryshko 1.36
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
72%
Gavryshko · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Gavryshko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 11 · 19:55O. Mishchenko371011971O. Gavryshko4212811113
WSep 7 · 03:25O. Mishchenko44111011123O. Gavryshko314125101
LSep 4 · 19:55O. Mishchenko34591191O. Gavryshko3511112113
LAug 30 · 03:25O. Mishchenko4991111992O. Gavryshko50118911113
WAug 28 · 19:55O. Mishchenko3811124113O. Gavryshko367101181
LAug 17 · 03:25O. Mishchenko32137120O. Gavryshko401511143
LAug 10 · 03:25O. Mishchenko4681111882O. Gavryshko44117411113
LAug 9 · 02:55O. Mishchenko238780O. Gavryshko331111113
LAug 3 · 03:25O. Mishchenko50811812112O. Gavryshko531181110133
LJul 15 · 22:25O. Mishchenko4311981142O. Gavryshko51911119113
O. Mishchenko10
LSep 13 · 01:55O. Dukhovenko1.50119811113O. Mishchenko2.5051111442LSep 12 · 23:55P. Plakushchyi1.7311711113O. Mishchenko2.00811891WSep 12 · 22:25O. Mishchenko4.3391111153Y. Kryvorotko1.201157131LSep 11 · 19:55O. Gavryshko1.3612811113O. Mishchenko3.001011971LSep 11 · 18:55P. Plakushchyi1.7311116113O. Mishchenko2.00581151LSep 11 · 17:25I. Demchenko1.5711134113O. Mishchenko2.258111171LSep 11 · 15:25A. Chepurnyi1.5381111113O. Mishchenko2.38114391WSep 11 · 13:25O. Dukhovenko1.50139781O. Mishchenko2.50111111113LSep 10 · 04:25E. Rubtsov3.40111011123O. Mishchenko1.309128101WSep 10 · 02:55O. Mishchenko2.10117115113P. Plakushchyi1.6761141172
O. Gavryshko10
WSep 12 · 22:55O. Dukhovenko1.4411761362O. Gavryshko2.637111111113WSep 12 · 21:55P. Plakushchyi2.38911441O. Gavryshko1.5311811113WSep 11 · 19:55O. Gavryshko1.3612811113O. Mishchenko3.001011971WSep 11 · 17:55O. Dukhovenko1.50211151272O. Gavryshko2.501181710113WSep 11 · 16:55O. Gavryshko1.61711111113P. Plakushchyi2.2011811562WSep 11 · 15:55I. Demchenko3.001390O. Gavryshko1.361111113LSep 11 · 14:25O. Gavryshko1.836740A. Chepurnyi1.831111113LSep 7 · 03:25O. Gavryshko1.404125101O. Mishchenko2.75111011123WSep 7 · 01:55O. Gavryshko1.3661111123I. Demchenko3.001198101LSep 7 · 24:25O. Gavryshko1.83147111292A. Chepurnyi1.831211814113
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