TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13122356
Played Sep 13Finished
Oleksandr Mishchenko
Home
2.25
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
2–8Last 10Won last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
511811511––––
Oleksandr Dukhovenko
Away
1.57
At publish
Won last 4Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 4
The read, and what happenedsealed at 22:51 and never touched — 62.1% is still 62.1%
Graded at full timeOleksandr Dukhovenko to win
62.1%
62.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingOleksandr Mishchenko above · Oleksandr Dukhovenko below
Set 1 · 5-11
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 5-11
Point 51 set 3, 5-11 — our read held Oleksandr Dukhovenko at 62.1%
51 points played in total.
H2H Oleksandr Mishchenko 85–89 Oleksandr Dukhovenko Oleksandr Mishchenko has won 85 of their 174 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 22:51What took a side6 for · 0 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.57 (59%)
Dukhovenko
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
85-89 in 174
Dukhovenko
Correct
gap of 4 in 174, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Mishchenko 1545 vs Dukhovenko 1895
Dukhovenko
Correct
both rated, 350 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Mishchenko 20% vs Dukhovenko 80%
Dukhovenko
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Mishchenko 20% vs Dukhovenko 70%
Dukhovenko
Correct
50pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Mishchenko +1 · Dukhovenko +4
Dukhovenko
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
6 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 62% — Clear lean (leans Dukhovenko)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Dukhovenko form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (64%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMishchenko 2.25 / Dukhovenko 1.57
Signal prob.38% / 62%
Edge (Dukhovenko)+3.2pp
Setka Cup · #13122356
Mishchenko2.25
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As underdog35% won 85 of 241
Down 0–1, comes back13% 18 of 140
Down 0–2, comes back4% 3 of 76
Dukhovenko1.57
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 4
oldest → newest80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As favourite74% won 213 of 289
Up 2–0, closes it98% 133 of 136
Up 1–0, closes it91% 166 of 183
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeMishchenko5wins
AwayDukhovenko5wins
2 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMishchenko100%3 of 3
AwayDukhovenko71.4%5 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Mishchenko3Dukhovenko7n = 10Dukhovenko took 7 of 10
S2Mishchenko6Dukhovenko4n = 10Mishchenko took 6 of 10
S3Mishchenko7Dukhovenko3n = 10Mishchenko took 7 of 10
S4Mishchenko3Dukhovenko4n = 7Dukhovenko took 4 of 7
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricMishchenkoDukhovenkoM − DBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match34.437.6−3.2per matchSweeps21+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMishchenkoDukhovenkoBasisWin rate · lifetime496 / 1059 vs 536 / 85546.8%62.7%496 / 1059 vs 536 / 855Avg sets wonper match1.92.2per matchAvg pointsper match36.636.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
DukhovenkoMishchenko 2.25/Dukhovenko 1.57
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
62.1%
Dukhovenko · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Dukhovenko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 13 · 01:55O. Mishchenko3551111442O. Dukhovenko50119811113
WSep 11 · 13:25O. Mishchenko44111111113O. Dukhovenko37139781
WSep 9 · 24:25O. Mishchenko4713912133O. Dukhovenko43111110111
LSep 7 · 01:25O. Mishchenko33611881O. Dukhovenko4111811113
WSep 4 · 13:25O. Mishchenko44611511113O. Dukhovenko3911511482
LAug 29 · 23:55O. Mishchenko29391161O. Dukhovenko3911116113
LAug 28 · 13:25O. Mishchenko23271131O. Dukhovenko4211119113
WAug 23 · 24:25O. Mishchenko341111123O. Dukhovenko2798100
WAug 17 · 02:25O. Mishchenko331111113O. Dukhovenko258890
LAug 10 · 24:25O. Mishchenko228770O. Dukhovenko331111113
O. Mishchenko10
WSep 13 · 21:55O. Mishchenko2.501111113I. Demchenko1.507950LSep 13 · 03:55O. Mishchenko2.636720A. Chepurnyi1.441111113LSep 13 · 01:55O. Dukhovenko1.50119811113O. Mishchenko2.5051111442LSep 13 · 24:55O. Mishchenko3.00591151O. Gavryshko1.3611117113LSep 12 · 23:55P. Plakushchyi1.7311711113O. Mishchenko2.00811891WSep 12 · 22:25O. Mishchenko4.3391111153Y. Kryvorotko1.201157131LSep 11 · 19:55O. Gavryshko1.3612811113O. Mishchenko3.001011971LSep 11 · 18:55P. Plakushchyi1.7311116113O. Mishchenko2.00581151LSep 11 · 17:25I. Demchenko1.5711134113O. Mishchenko2.258111171LSep 11 · 15:25A. Chepurnyi1.5381111113O. Mishchenko2.38114391
O. Dukhovenko10
WSep 13 · 22:25O. Dukhovenko1.401111123A. Chepurnyi2.7544100WSep 13 · 03:25O. Dukhovenko1.111111123P. Plakushchyi6.0094100WSep 13 · 01:55O. Dukhovenko1.50119811113O. Mishchenko2.5051111442WSep 13 · 24:25O. Dukhovenko2.101111113Y. Kryvorotko1.675830LSep 12 · 22:55O. Dukhovenko1.4411761362O. Gavryshko2.637111111113LSep 12 · 21:25O. Dukhovenko1.5391441182A. Chepurnyi2.381112115113WSep 11 · 19:25O. Dukhovenko1.28111183I. Demchenko3.503540LSep 11 · 17:55O. Dukhovenko1.50211151272O. Gavryshko2.501181710113WSep 11 · 16:25O. Dukhovenko1.441111113A. Chepurnyi2.635690WSep 11 · 14:55O. Dukhovenko1.111111113P. Plakushchyi6.008850
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