TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13116599
Played Sep 13Finished
Oleg Gavryshko
Home
1.83
At publish
Won last 7Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 7
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
115911711811––
Artem Chepurnyi
Away
1.83
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:13 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeOleg Gavryshko to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingOleg Gavryshko above · Artem Chepurnyi below
Set 1 · 11-5
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 7-11
Set 4 · 8-11
Point 73 set 4, 8-11 — our read held Oleg Gavryshko at 54.0%
73 points played in total.
H2H Oleg Gavryshko 47–54 Artem Chepurnyi Oleg Gavryshko has won 47 of their 101 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 20:13What took a side3 for · 2 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Chepurnyi
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
47-54 in 101
Chepurnyi
Correct
gap of 7 in 101, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Gavryshko 1813 vs Chepurnyi 1806
Gavryshko
Wrong
both rated, 7 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Gavryshko 100% vs Chepurnyi 60%
Gavryshko
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Gavryshko 80% vs Chepurnyi 70%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Gavryshko +5 · Chepurnyi +1
Gavryshko
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Gavryshko)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Gavryshko form (100%) outperforms what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsGavryshko 1.83 / Chepurnyi 1.83
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Gavryshko)+4.0pp
Setka Cup · #13116599
Gavryshko1.83
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Won last 7
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
Chepurnyi1.83
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeGavryshko7wins
AwayChepurnyi3wins
5 of 10 to a deciderGavryshko leads 7–3, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeGavryshko83.3%5 of 6
AwayChepurnyi50%2 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Gavryshko6Chepurnyi4n = 10Gavryshko took 6 of 10
S2Gavryshko4Chepurnyi6n = 10Chepurnyi took 6 of 10
S3Gavryshko8Chepurnyi2n = 10Gavryshko took 8 of 10
S4Gavryshko4Chepurnyi4n = 8split evenly
S5Gavryshko3Chepurnyi2n = 5Gavryshko took 3 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricGavryshkoChepurnyiG − CBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match42.040.8+1.2per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricGavryshkoChepurnyiBasisWin rate · lifetime333 / 624 vs 560 / 94253.4%59.5%333 / 624 vs 560 / 942Avg sets wonper match2.02.2per matchAvg pointsper match36.237.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
GavryshkoGavryshko 1.83/Chepurnyi 1.83
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Gavryshko · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Chepurnyi won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 11 · 14:25O. Gavryshko176740A. Chepurnyi331111113
LSep 7 · 24:25O. Gavryshko53147111292A. Chepurnyi561211814113
WSep 5 · 22:25O. Gavryshko351113113A. Chepurnyi2791170
LSep 4 · 16:55O. Gavryshko49911118102A. Chepurnyi50119711123
WAug 29 · 22:55O. Gavryshko43111110113A. Chepurnyi38981291
WAug 28 · 15:55O. Gavryshko51128119113A. Chepurnyi49101181192
WAug 16 · 21:25O. Gavryshko4211911113A. Chepurnyi30811381
WAug 15 · 23:25O. Gavryshko3611311113A. Chepurnyi36911791
WAug 14 · 19:55O. Gavryshko521171112113A. Chepurnyi50131181082
WAug 9 · 21:55O. Gavryshko42411115113A. Chepurnyi3911541182
O. Gavryshko10
WSep 13 · 24:55O. Mishchenko3.00591151O. Gavryshko1.3611117113WSep 12 · 22:55O. Dukhovenko1.4411761362O. Gavryshko2.637111111113WSep 12 · 21:55P. Plakushchyi2.38911441O. Gavryshko1.5311811113WSep 11 · 19:55O. Gavryshko1.3612811113O. Mishchenko3.001011971WSep 11 · 17:55O. Dukhovenko1.50211151272O. Gavryshko2.501181710113WSep 11 · 16:55O. Gavryshko1.61711111113P. Plakushchyi2.2011811562WSep 11 · 15:55I. Demchenko3.001390O. Gavryshko1.361111113LSep 11 · 14:25O. Gavryshko1.836740A. Chepurnyi1.831111113LSep 7 · 03:25O. Gavryshko1.404125101O. Mishchenko2.75111011123WSep 7 · 01:55O. Gavryshko1.3661111123I. Demchenko3.001198101
A. Chepurnyi10
WSep 13 · 03:55O. Mishchenko2.636720A. Chepurnyi1.441111113WSep 13 · 01:25P. Plakushchyi2.257370A. Chepurnyi1.571111113LSep 12 · 23:25Y. Kryvorotko1.571111113A. Chepurnyi2.257960WSep 12 · 21:25O. Dukhovenko1.5391441182A. Chepurnyi2.381112115113WSep 11 · 20:25A. Chepurnyi1.57119711113P. Plakushchyi2.2571111662LSep 11 · 18:25I. Demchenko2.631111812113A. Chepurnyi1.4484111492LSep 11 · 16:25O. Dukhovenko1.441111113A. Chepurnyi2.635690WSep 11 · 15:25A. Chepurnyi1.5381111113O. Mishchenko2.38114391WSep 11 · 14:25O. Gavryshko1.836740A. Chepurnyi1.831111113WSep 7 · 04:25A. Chepurnyi2.2051111113M. Makienko1.61117661
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