TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13131537
Played Sep 15Finished
Volodymyr Panasenko
Home
1.83
At publish
Lost last 6Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 6
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
1198111161113118
Oleksandr Mishchenko
Away
1.83
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 21:24 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeVolodymyr Panasenko to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingVolodymyr Panasenko above · Oleksandr Mishchenko below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 11-6
Set 4 · 11-13
Set 5 · 11-8
Point 99 set 5, 11-8 — our read held Volodymyr Panasenko at 54.0%
99 points played in total.
H2H Volodymyr Panasenko 1–1 Oleksandr Mishchenko Dead even across their 2 meetings.
Last 2 · 1–1Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 21:24What took a side2 for · 2 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Mishchenko
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-1 in 2
—
Too close
2 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Panasenko 1572 vs Mishchenko 1553
Panasenko
Correct
both rated, 19 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Panasenko 0% vs Mishchenko 40%
Mishchenko
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Panasenko 30% vs Mishchenko 30%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Panasenko -5 · Mishchenko -2
Panasenko
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Panasenko)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Mishchenko form (40%) is below what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPanasenko 1.83 / Mishchenko 1.83
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Panasenko)+4.0pp
Setka Cup · #13131537
Panasenko1.83
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 6
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
Mishchenko1.83
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 2 meetings
HomePanasenko1wins
AwayMishchenko1wins
Level at 1–1.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 2 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 2 finishedn = 2, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home1
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away1
0–3Straight, away0
These 2 meetings
MetricPanasenkoMishchenkoP − MBasisWins110in 2 meetingsFirst set110of 2Avg pointsper match40.039.5+0.5per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPanasenkoMishchenkoBasisWin rate · lifetime30 / 55 vs 497 / 106254.6%46.8%30 / 55 vs 497 / 1062Avg sets wonper match2.21.9per matchAvg pointsper match39.136.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PanasenkoPanasenko 1.83/Mishchenko 1.83
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Panasenko · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Panasenko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record2
LSep 9 · 22:55V. Panasenko387127121O. Mishchenko46111011143
WSep 9 · 02:25V. Panasenko4211911113O. Mishchenko33711961
V. Panasenko10
LSep 16 · 03:25P. Plakushchyi1.7311116113V. Panasenko2.00691161LSep 16 · 01:25V. Panasenko1.67811511102E. Rubtsov2.10117112123LSep 16 · 24:55O. Kovalchuk1.911112113V. Panasenko1.8071060LSep 10 · 03:25V. Panasenko1.838980V. Kovalenko1.831111113LSep 10 · 01:55V. Panasenko1.57411551O. Kovalchuk2.2511711113LSep 10 · 24:25V. Panasenko1.4451190E. Rubtsov2.631113113LSep 9 · 22:55V. Panasenko1.737127121O. Mishchenko2.00111011143LSep 9 · 21:25V. Panasenko1.839580P. Plakushchyi1.831111113LSep 9 · 03:25O. Dukhovenko1.5311111113113V. Panasenko2.3813651572WSep 9 · 02:25V. Panasenko1.8311911113O. Mishchenko1.83711961
O. Mishchenko10
WSep 16 · 24:55O. Kovalchuk2.3812990O. Mishchenko1.531411113WSep 15 · 22:55P. Plakushchyi1.67881181O. Mishchenko2.1011116113LSep 14 · 03:25Y. Kryvorotko1.2291111113O. Mishchenko4.00118271LSep 14 · 02:25O. Mishchenko2.631181581A. Chepurnyi1.44131113113WSep 14 · 01:25O. Mishchenko2.001111133P. Plakushchyi1.7389110LSep 13 · 23:55O. Mishchenko2.255850O. Dukhovenko1.571111113WSep 13 · 21:55O. Mishchenko2.501111113I. Demchenko1.507950LSep 13 · 03:55O. Mishchenko2.636720A. Chepurnyi1.441111113WSep 9 · 22:55V. Panasenko1.737127121O. Mishchenko2.00111011143LSep 9 · 02:25V. Panasenko1.8311911113O. Mishchenko1.83711961
Upcoming Matches
V. Panasenko
O. Mishchenko
Sep 16 · 02:55O. Mishchenko1.33E. Rubtsov3.25—Sep 16 · 04:25O. Mishchenko1.85V. Kovalenko1.85—Sep 16 · 22:25O. Mishchenko1.53O. Kovalchuk2.38—Sep 16 · 23:25O. Mishchenko1.91V. Panasenko1.80—Sep 17 · 24:25O. Mishchenko1.83V. Kovalenko1.83—Sep 17 · 02:25O. Mishchenko2.10P. Plakushchyi1.67—Sep 17 · 04:25O. Mishchenko1.33E. Rubtsov3.25—
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