TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13103410
Played Sep 10Finished
Volodymyr Panasenko
Home
1.83
At publish
Lost last 5Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 5
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
811911811––––
Viacheslav Kovalenko
Away
1.83
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 10:07 and never touched — 54.4% is still 54.4%
Graded at full timeVolodymyr Panasenko to win
54.4%
54.4%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingVolodymyr Panasenko above · Viacheslav Kovalenko below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 8-11
Point 58 set 3, 8-11 — our read held Volodymyr Panasenko at 54.4%
58 points played in total.
H2H Volodymyr Panasenko 0–1 Viacheslav Kovalenko Volodymyr Panasenko has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 10:07What took a side1 for · 4 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Kovalenko
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
0-1 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Panasenko 1572 vs Kovalenko 1589
Kovalenko
Correct
both rated, 17 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Panasenko 0% vs Kovalenko 60%
Kovalenko
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Panasenko 30% vs Kovalenko 70%
Kovalenko
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Panasenko -5 · Kovalenko +1
Panasenko
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Kovalenko) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Panasenko form (0%) is below what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPanasenko 1.83 / Kovalenko 1.83
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Kovalenko)+4.0pp
Setka Cup · #13103410
Panasenko1.83
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 5
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
Kovalenko1.83
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomePanasenko0wins
AwayKovalenko1wins
Kovalenko leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away1
This 1 meeting
MetricPanasenkoKovalenkoP − KBasisWins01−1in 1 meetingFirst set01−1of 1Avg pointsper match25.033.0−8.0per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPanasenkoKovalenkoBasisWin rate · lifetime30 / 55 vs 178 / 40654.6%43.8%30 / 55 vs 178 / 406Avg sets wonper match2.21.9per matchAvg pointsper match39.137.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KovalenkoPanasenko 1.83/Kovalenko 1.83
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Kovalenko · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Kovalenko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
LSep 10 · 03:25V. Panasenko—8980V. Kovalenko—1111113
V. Panasenko10
LSep 10 · 01:55V. Panasenko1.57411551O. Kovalchuk2.2511711113LSep 10 · 24:25V. Panasenko1.4451190E. Rubtsov2.631113113LSep 9 · 22:55V. Panasenko1.737127121O. Mishchenko2.00111011143LSep 9 · 21:25V. Panasenko1.839580P. Plakushchyi1.831111113LSep 9 · 03:25O. Dukhovenko1.5311111113113V. Panasenko2.3813651572WSep 9 · 02:25V. Panasenko1.8311911113O. Mishchenko1.83711961WSep 9 · 01:25V. Panasenko1.731112113E. Rubtsov2.0051050LSep 8 · 23:55V. Panasenko1.91918611102P. Plakushchyi1.801116119123WSep 8 · 21:55V. Panasenko1.73951111113O. Kovalchuk2.0011118532LSep 2 · 03:25V. Khamurda3.4011114113V. Panasenko1.30771161
V. Kovalenko10
WSep 10 · 02:25V. Kovalenko1.571111123E. Rubtsov2.2593100LSep 10 · 01:25V. Kovalenko2.001211811122P. Plakushchyi1.73144116143LSep 9 · 23:55V. Kovalenko1.83711461O. Kovalchuk1.8311611113WSep 9 · 21:55V. Kovalenko1.9111611113O. Mishchenko1.80311761WSep 3 · 03:25E. Rubtsov2.209480V. Kovalenko1.611111113LSep 3 · 02:25V. Kovalenko1.9171171182O. Mishchenko1.80117113113WSep 3 · 01:25V. Kovalenko1.9111611133O. Kovalchuk1.809118111WSep 2 · 23:55V. Kovalenko2.109111211113P. Plakushchyi1.6711514482WSep 2 · 21:55V. Kovalenko6.0011128123S. Ponomarenko1.1181011101WAug 28 · 03:25V. Kovalenko1.401111113V. Khamurda2.758780
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