TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13131789
Played Sep 16Finished
Pavel Plakushchyi
Home
1.73
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
116119611116––
Volodymyr Panasenko
Away
2.00
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 22:23 and never touched — 55.8% is still 55.8%
Graded at full timePavel Plakushchyi to win
55.8%
55.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingPavel Plakushchyi above · Volodymyr Panasenko below
Set 1 · 11-6
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 6-11
Set 4 · 11-6
Point 71 set 4, 11-6 — our read held Pavel Plakushchyi at 55.8%
71 points played in total.
H2H Pavel Plakushchyi 2–0 Volodymyr Panasenko Volodymyr Panasenko has won 0 of their 2 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 22:23What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Plakushchyi
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
2-0 in 2
—
Too close
2 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Plakushchyi 1674 vs Panasenko 1583
Plakushchyi
Correct
both rated, 91 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Plakushchyi 60% vs Panasenko 20%
Plakushchyi
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Plakushchyi 50% vs Panasenko 30%
Plakushchyi
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Plakushchyi -1 · Panasenko +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Plakushchyi) · live re-read · sealed at 56% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Panasenko form (20%) is below what odds imply (50%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPlakushchyi 1.73 / Panasenko 2.00
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Plakushchyi)+0.3pp
Setka Cup · #13131789
Plakushchyi1.73
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite57% won 48 of 85
Up 2–0, closes it100% 18 of 18
Up 1–0, closes it85% 34 of 40
Panasenko2.00
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog
Fewer than 10 matches in this role
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 2 meetings
HomePlakushchyi2wins
AwayPanasenko0wins
1 of 2 to a deciderPlakushchyi leads 2–0, and 1 of those 2 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 2 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 2 finishedn = 2, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home1
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home1
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
These 2 meetings
MetricPlakushchyiPanasenkoPlakushchyi − PanasenkoBasisWins20+2in 2 meetingsFirst set20+2of 2Avg pointsper match46.038.0+8.0per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPlakushchyiPanasenkoBasisWin rate · lifetime308 / 693 vs 31 / 5644.4%55.4%308 / 693 vs 31 / 56Avg sets wonper match1.82.2per matchAvg pointsper match35.339.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PlakushchyiPlakushchyi 1.73/Panasenko 2.00
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Plakushchyi · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Plakushchyi won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record2
WSep 9 · 21:25P. Plakushchyi331111113V. Panasenko229580
WSep 8 · 23:55P. Plakushchyi591116119123V. Panasenko54918611102
P. Plakushchyi10
LSep 15 · 22:55P. Plakushchyi1.67881181O. Mishchenko2.1011116113LSep 14 · 03:55O. Dukhovenko1.101111113P. Plakushchyi6.507950WSep 14 · 02:55I. Demchenko1.577760P. Plakushchyi2.251111113LSep 14 · 01:25O. Mishchenko2.001111133P. Plakushchyi1.7389110WSep 13 · 23:25A. Chepurnyi1.6112560P. Plakushchyi2.201411113WSep 13 · 21:25Y. Kryvorotko1.306590P. Plakushchyi3.401111113LSep 13 · 03:25O. Dukhovenko1.111111123P. Plakushchyi6.0094100WSep 13 · 02:25P. Plakushchyi3.4091111113Y. Kryvorotko1.30119571LSep 13 · 01:25P. Plakushchyi2.257370A. Chepurnyi1.571111113WSep 12 · 23:55P. Plakushchyi1.7311711113O. Mishchenko2.00811891
V. Panasenko10
LSep 16 · 01:25V. Panasenko1.67811511102E. Rubtsov2.10117112123LSep 16 · 24:55O. Kovalchuk1.911112113V. Panasenko1.8071060WSep 15 · 21:55V. Panasenko1.831181111113O. Mishchenko1.8391161382LSep 10 · 03:25V. Panasenko1.838980V. Kovalenko1.831111113LSep 10 · 01:55V. Panasenko1.57411551O. Kovalchuk2.2511711113LSep 10 · 24:25V. Panasenko1.4451190E. Rubtsov2.631113113LSep 9 · 22:55V. Panasenko1.737127121O. Mishchenko2.00111011143LSep 9 · 21:25V. Panasenko1.839580P. Plakushchyi1.831111113LSep 9 · 03:25O. Dukhovenko1.5311111113113V. Panasenko2.3813651572WSep 9 · 02:25V. Panasenko1.8311911113O. Mishchenko1.83711961
Upcoming Matches
P. Plakushchyi
V. Panasenko
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.