TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13131478
Played Sep 16Finished
Volodymyr Panasenko
Home
1.67
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
8111175111121012
Eduard Rubtsov
Away
2.10
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 21:04 and never touched — 58.6% is still 58.6%
Graded at full timeVolodymyr Panasenko to win
58.6%
58.6%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingVolodymyr Panasenko above · Eduard Rubtsov below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 5-11
Set 4 · 11-2
Set 5 · 10-12
Point 88 set 5, 10-12 — our read held Volodymyr Panasenko at 58.6%
88 points played in total.
H2H Volodymyr Panasenko 1–1 Eduard Rubtsov Dead even across their 2 meetings.
Last 2 · 1–1Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 21:04What took a side2 for · 1 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Panasenko
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-1 in 2
—
Too close
2 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Panasenko 1573 vs Rubtsov 1432
Panasenko
Wrong
both rated, 142 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Panasenko 20% vs Rubtsov 40%
Rubtsov
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Panasenko 30% vs Rubtsov 30%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Panasenko +1 · Rubtsov +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 59% — Slight lean (leans Panasenko)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Panasenko form (20%) is below what odds imply (60%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPanasenko 1.67 / Rubtsov 2.10
Signal prob.59% / 41%
Edge (Panasenko)+2.8pp
Setka Cup · #13131478
Panasenko1.67
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite59% won 26 of 44
Up 2–0, closes it94% 15 of 16
Up 1–0, closes it81% 21 of 26
Rubtsov2.10
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog35% won 97 of 281
Down 0–1, comes back14% 22 of 158
Down 0–2, comes back9% 11 of 117
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 2 meetings
HomePanasenko1wins
AwayRubtsov1wins
Level at 1–1.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 2 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 2 finishedn = 2, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home1
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away1
These 2 meetings
MetricPanasenkoRubtsovP − RBasisWins110in 2 meetingsFirst set110of 2Avg pointsper match29.527.5+2.0per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPanasenkoRubtsovBasisWin rate · lifetime31 / 57 vs 291 / 76154.4%38.2%31 / 57 vs 291 / 761Avg sets wonper match2.21.7per matchAvg pointsper match39.235.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PanasenkoPanasenko 1.67/Rubtsov 2.10
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
58.6%
Panasenko · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Rubtsov won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record2
LSep 10 · 24:25V. Panasenko2551190E. Rubtsov351113113
WSep 9 · 01:25V. Panasenko341112113E. Rubtsov2051050
V. Panasenko10
LSep 16 · 03:25P. Plakushchyi1.7311116113V. Panasenko2.00691161LSep 16 · 24:55O. Kovalchuk1.911112113V. Panasenko1.8071060WSep 15 · 21:55V. Panasenko1.831181111113O. Mishchenko1.8391161382LSep 10 · 03:25V. Panasenko1.838980V. Kovalenko1.831111113LSep 10 · 01:55V. Panasenko1.57411551O. Kovalchuk2.2511711113LSep 10 · 24:25V. Panasenko1.4451190E. Rubtsov2.631113113LSep 9 · 22:55V. Panasenko1.737127121O. Mishchenko2.00111011143LSep 9 · 21:25V. Panasenko1.839580P. Plakushchyi1.831111113LSep 9 · 03:25O. Dukhovenko1.5311111113113V. Panasenko2.3813651572WSep 9 · 02:25V. Panasenko1.8311911113O. Mishchenko1.83711961
E. Rubtsov10
LSep 16 · 03:55O. Kovalchuk1.8011118153E. Rubtsov1.919611131LSep 16 · 02:55O. Mishchenko1.3311119113E. Rubtsov3.25551161WSep 10 · 04:25E. Rubtsov3.40111011123O. Mishchenko1.309128101LSep 10 · 02:25V. Kovalenko1.571111123E. Rubtsov2.2593100WSep 10 · 24:25V. Panasenko1.4451190E. Rubtsov2.631113113LSep 9 · 23:25E. Rubtsov2.751181251P. Plakushchyi1.4061114113LSep 9 · 22:25O. Kovalchuk1.83111177113E. Rubtsov1.8345111182LSep 9 · 03:55P. Plakushchyi1.40711311113E. Rubtsov2.7511711792LSep 9 · 02:55O. Kovalchuk1.731111113E. Rubtsov2.007460LSep 9 · 01:25V. Panasenko1.731112113E. Rubtsov2.0051050
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