TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13131504
Played Sep 14Finished
Premysl Rucky
Home
1.53
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
6111171141210––
Roman Merkl
Away
2.38
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
How it is goingPremysl Rucky above · Roman Merkl below
Set 1 · 6-11
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 11-4
Set 4 · 12-10
Point 72 set 4, 12-10
72 points played in total.
H2H Premysl Rucky 3–0 Roman Merkl Roman Merkl has won 0 of their 3 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 2h before this match
Rucky beat Merkl 3-2.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Signal confidence: 61% — Slight lean (leans Rucky)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Rucky form (40%) is below what odds imply (65%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsRucky 1.53 / Merkl 2.38
Signal prob.61% / 39%
Edge (Rucky)+0.0pp
Setka Cup · #13131504
Rucky1.53
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite46% won 13 of 28
Up 1–0, closes it86% 6 of 7
Merkl2.38
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog49% won 85 of 172
Down 0–1, comes back39% 40 of 103
Down 0–2, comes back18% 8 of 45
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 3 meetings
HomeRucky3wins
AwayMerkl0wins
2 of 3 to a deciderRucky leads 3–0, and 2 of those 3 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 3 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Rucky2Merkl1n = 3Rucky took 2 of 3
S2Rucky2Merkl1n = 3Rucky took 2 of 3
S3Rucky2Merkl1n = 3Rucky took 2 of 3
S4Rucky1Merkl2n = 3Merkl took 2 of 3
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 3 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 3 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home133%
3–2Decider, home267%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 3 meetings
MetricRuckyMerklR − MBasisWins30+3in 3 meetingsFirst set21+1of 3Avg pointsper match45.039.7+5.3per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricRuckyMerklBasisWin rate · lifetime31 / 67 vs 275 / 56246.3%48.9%31 / 67 vs 275 / 562Avg sets wonper match1.92.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.039.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
RuckyRucky 1.53/Merkl 2.38
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
60.8%
Rucky · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Rucky won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record3
WSep 14 · 19:00P. Rucky46111149113R. Merkl4485111192
WJun 25 · 17:30P. Rucky44118113113R. Merkl3981151142
WMay 29 · 17:15P. Rucky45121111113R. Merkl36149941
P. Rucky10
LSep 14 · 20:00J. Jnr1.53111113143P. Rucky2.3813411121WSep 14 · 19:00R. Merkl2.2585111192P. Rucky1.57111149113WSep 14 · 17:30S. Kalensky2.631118151P. Rucky1.4481111173LSep 4 · 21:03P. Hala2.1011128113P. Rucky1.675101161LSep 4 · 19:30P. Rucky2.1083111152P. Orlowski1.67111153113LSep 4 · 18:30P. Rucky2.00611781D. Brichacek1.7311811113WSep 4 · 17:30P. Rucky1.611513118113P. Hala2.20131561192WAug 25 · 20:48P. Rucky1.7351114113T. Hanke2.001151281LAug 25 · 19:45T. Hanke2.25117511113P. Rucky1.5731111852LAug 25 · 18:45P. Orlowski2.101111113P. Rucky1.677590
R. Merkl10
WSep 14 · 19:30S. Kalensky1.83611591R. Merkl1.8311811113LSep 14 · 19:00R. Merkl2.2585111192P. Rucky1.57111149113WSep 14 · 18:00R. Merkl2.001112123J. Jnr1.73610100LSep 13 · 08:35L. Kolman1.8351111113R. Merkl1.83114991LSep 13 · 07:30L. Provaznik1.401115113R. Merkl2.7541380WSep 13 · 07:00R. Merkl2.20117118113L. Kolman1.6141191182WSep 13 · 06:00R. Merkl2.25121174113P. Hala1.57105111172LSep 8 · 20:14J. Juppa1.80114911113R. Merkl1.9181111882LSep 8 · 19:15P. Maly2.001111113R. Merkl1.739770WSep 8 · 18:45R. Merkl1.9111118113J. Juppa1.80891181
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.