TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13131473
Played Sep 14Finished
Matyas Navedla
Home
1.73
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
1191131113116––
Libor Prikasky
Away
2.00
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
How it is goingMatyas Navedla above · Libor Prikasky below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 11-3
Set 3 · 11-13
Set 4 · 11-6
Point 75 set 4, 11-6
75 points played in total.
H2H Matyas Navedla 21–10 Libor Prikasky Libor Prikasky has won 10 of their 31 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
Same-day rematch · 2h before this match
Navedla beat Prikasky 3-1.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Navedla)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Navedla form (20%) is below what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsNavedla 1.73 / Prikasky 2.00
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Navedla)+0.3pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13131473
Navedla1.73
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite59% won 42 of 71
Up 2–0, closes it90% 26 of 29
Up 1–0, closes it64% 28 of 44
Prikasky2.00
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog45% won 82 of 184
Down 0–1, comes back24% 24 of 101
Down 0–2, comes back9% 5 of 56
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeNavedla5wins
AwayPrikasky5wins
5 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeNavedla55.6%5 of 9
AwayPrikaskyn = 1, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Navedla9Prikasky1n = 10Navedla took 9 of 10
S2Navedla2Prikasky8n = 10Prikasky took 8 of 10
S3Navedla7Prikasky3n = 10Navedla took 7 of 10
S4Navedla4Prikasky3n = 7Navedla took 4 of 7
S5Navedla1Prikasky4n = 5Prikasky took 4 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away440%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricNavedlaPrikaskyN − PBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set91+8of 10Avg pointsper match38.937.0+1.9per matchSweeps21+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricNavedlaPrikaskyBasisWin rate · lifetime366 / 770 vs 254 / 45647.5%55.7%366 / 770 vs 254 / 456Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.637.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
NavedlaNavedla 1.73/Prikasky 2.00
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Navedla · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Navedla won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 14 · 19:30M. Navedla43111011113L. Prikasky27612451
WSep 5 · 09:00M. Navedla4311813113L. Prikasky356111171
WSep 5 · 06:30M. Navedla521111118113L. Prikasky4791351192
LSep 4 · 14:30M. Navedla44116124112L. Prikasky461111011133
LSep 4 · 13:00M. Navedla4011751252L. Prikasky529111110113
LSep 4 · 11:00M. Navedla4111761162L. Prikasky45511117113
WAug 26 · 14:30M. Navedla331111113L. Prikasky238690
LAug 26 · 12:58M. Navedla206860L. Prikasky331111113
WAug 26 · 11:30M. Navedla341112113L. Prikasky1931060
LAug 10 · 07:00M. Navedla3911511842L. Prikasky43211811113
M. Navedla10
LSep 14 · 20:00M. Navedla2.251213581T. Dousek1.57101511113WSep 14 · 19:30L. Prikasky1.91612451M. Navedla1.80111011113LSep 14 · 18:00M. Navedla1.8357111152R. Niezgoda1.83111188113LSep 13 · 17:02M. Navedla1.83741191P. Wawrosz1.8311115113LSep 13 · 16:30M. Navedla2.005117101J. Pilch1.7311811123LSep 13 · 15:00M. Navedla1.83771151R. Revay1.8311116113WSep 13 · 14:00P. Wawrosz1.67111151482M. Navedla2.104131112113LSep 10 · 13:00M. Navedla2.25111514862J. Pilch1.579171211113WSep 10 · 12:00R. Polasek1.61101340M. Navedla2.201215113LSep 10 · 11:00O. Paril1.44811193123M. Navedla2.631141711102
L. Prikasky10
LSep 14 · 20:30R. Niezgoda1.731111113L. Prikasky2.003750LSep 14 · 19:30L. Prikasky1.91612451M. Navedla1.80111011113WSep 14 · 18:30T. Dousek1.73811111082L. Prikasky2.00113912113LSep 12 · 09:30L. Prikasky1.9171191112L. Velebil1.80117116113WSep 12 · 08:30L. Prikasky2.1011811113L. Velebil1.67711971WSep 12 · 07:00L. Prikasky1.9181112113J. Pilch1.801191061WSep 12 · 06:00P. Wawrosz1.809111191L. Prikasky1.9111136113WSep 9 · 17:00M. Skotnica1.61101111852L. Prikasky2.20129611113LSep 9 · 16:30L. Prikasky2.0391350R. Polasek1.621115113LSep 9 · 15:00L. Prikasky1.83541381M. Grundel1.83111111113
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