TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13114724
Played Sep 12Finished
Libor Prikasky
Home
1.91
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 2
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
8111191210116––
Jakub Pilch
Away
1.80
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 12:08 and never touched — 54.2% is still 54.2%
Graded at full timeJakub Pilch to win
54.2%
54.2%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingLibor Prikasky above · Jakub Pilch below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 12-10
Set 4 · 11-6
Point 78 set 4, 11-6 — our read held Jakub Pilch at 54.2%
78 points played in total.
H2H Libor Prikasky 4–3 Jakub Pilch Jakub Pilch has won 3 of their 7 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 12:08What took a side2 for · 0 against · 4 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Pilch
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
4-3 in 7
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Prikasky 1757 vs Pilch 1783
Pilch
Wrong
both rated, 26 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Prikasky 40% vs Pilch 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Prikasky 40% vs Pilch 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Prikasky +2 · Pilch -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 4 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Pilch)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Pilch form (40%) is below what odds imply (56%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPrikasky 1.91 / Pilch 1.80
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Pilch)+2.5pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13114724
Prikasky1.91
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog42% won 84 of 198
Down 0–1, comes back22% 25 of 113
Down 0–2, comes back8% 5 of 63
Pilch1.80
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite54% won 55 of 102
Up 2–0, closes it100% 23 of 23
Up 1–0, closes it71% 36 of 51
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 7 meetings
HomePrikasky4wins
AwayPilch3wins
2 of 7 to a deciderPrikasky leads 4–3, and 2 of those 7 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomePrikaskyn = 0, below the 3 needed
AwayPilch42.9%3 of 7
Set by set, in these 7 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Prikasky0Pilch7n = 7Pilch took 7 of 7
S2Prikasky4Pilch3n = 7Prikasky took 4 of 7
S3Prikasky4Pilch3n = 7Prikasky took 4 of 7
S4Prikasky3Pilch2n = 5Prikasky took 3 of 5
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 7 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 7 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home229%
3–2Decider, home229%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away114%
0–3Straight, away229%
These 7 meetings
MetricPrikaskyPilchPrikasky − PilchBasisWins43+1in 7 meetingsFirst set07−7of 7Avg pointsper match35.138.0−2.9per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPrikaskyPilchBasisWin rate · lifetime252 / 451 vs 222 / 43855.9%50.7%252 / 451 vs 222 / 438Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.137.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PilchPrikasky 1.91/Pilch 1.80
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Pilch · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Prikasky won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record7
WSep 12 · 07:00L. Prikasky—81112113J. Pilch—1191061
LAug 2 · 10:30L. Prikasky—10580J. Pilch—1211113
WJul 20 · 14:30L. Prikasky—711115113J. Pilch—11591152
LJun 18 · 17:00L. Prikasky—5711101J. Pilch—11118123
WJun 18 · 14:30L. Prikasky—7111011113J. Pilch—11712882
LJun 16 · 09:00L. Prikasky—1580J. Pilch—1111113
WJun 16 · 06:00L. Prikasky—61111113J. Pilch—118691
L. Prikasky10
WSep 12 · 06:00P. Wawrosz1.809111191L. Prikasky1.9111136113WSep 9 · 17:00M. Skotnica1.61101111852L. Prikasky2.20129611113LSep 9 · 16:30L. Prikasky2.0391350R. Polasek1.621115113LSep 9 · 15:00L. Prikasky1.83541381M. Grundel1.83111111113LSep 9 · 14:00M. Skotnica1.618111110113L. Prikasky2.2011561252LSep 5 · 09:00M. Navedla1.8311813113L. Prikasky1.836111171WSep 5 · 08:30P. Wawrosz1.73771161L. Prikasky2.0011115113LSep 5 · 07:30L. Prikasky1.8391180M. Vavrecka1.831113113LSep 5 · 06:30M. Navedla1.911111118113L. Prikasky1.8091351192WSep 4 · 17:31M. Skotnica1.67912118102L. Prikasky2.101110711123
J. Pilch10
LSep 12 · 06:30J. Pilch1.67116112132L. Velebil2.10711711153WSep 10 · 13:00M. Navedla2.25111514862J. Pilch1.579171211113LSep 10 · 12:30O. Paril1.73111110113J. Pilch2.00251261LSep 10 · 11:30J. Pilch2.251151381R. Polasek1.5741115113WSep 10 · 10:30M. Navedla2.007460J. Pilch1.731111113LSep 10 · 09:30J. Pilch2.384860R. Revay1.531111113WSep 10 · 08:30M. Navedla2.0081090J. Pilch1.731112113WSep 10 · 07:30J. Pilch2.001361111113M. Vavrecka1.73111181342LSep 10 · 06:30R. Revay1.501061111113J. Pilch2.5012115942LSep 8 · 08:58J. Pilch1.8091190M. Navedla1.911113113
Upcoming Matches
L. Prikasky
J. Pilch
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