TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13104694
Played Sep 10Finished
Ondrej Paril
Home
1.73
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
1121151012116––
Jakub Pilch
Away
2.00
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 14:39 and never touched — 64.0% is still 64.0%
Graded at full timeOndrej Paril to win
64.0%
64.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingOndrej Paril above · Jakub Pilch below
Set 1 · 11-2
Set 2 · 11-5
Set 3 · 10-12
Set 4 · 11-6
Point 68 set 4, 11-6 — our read held Ondrej Paril at 64.0%
68 points played in total.
H2H Ondrej Paril 9–7 Jakub Pilch Jakub Pilch has won 7 of their 16 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 14:39What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Paril
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
9-7 in 16
Paril
Correct
gap of 2 in 16, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Paril 1886 vs Pilch 1793
Paril
Correct
both rated, 93 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Paril 80% vs Pilch 60%
Paril
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Paril 60% vs Pilch 40%
Paril
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Paril +1 · Pilch -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 57% — Slight lean (leans Paril) · live re-read · sealed at 64% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Paril form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsParil 1.73 / Pilch 2.00
Signal prob.57% / 43%
Edge (Paril)+3.2pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13104694
Paril1.73
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite55% won 185 of 335
Up 2–0, closes it91% 84 of 92
Up 1–0, closes it76% 140 of 185
Pilch2.00
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog46% won 33 of 72
Down 0–1, comes back30% 11 of 37
Down 0–2, comes back6% 1 of 18
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeParil5wins
AwayPilch5wins
3 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeParil75%3 of 4
AwayPilch66.7%4 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Paril4Pilch6n = 10Pilch took 6 of 10
S2Paril5Pilch5n = 10split evenly
S3Paril2Pilch8n = 10Pilch took 8 of 10
S4Paril4Pilch2n = 6Paril took 4 of 6
S5Paril2Pilch1n = 3Paril took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away440%
These 10 meetings
MetricParilPilchParil − PilchBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match34.535.7−1.2per matchSweeps04−43–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricParilPilchBasisWin rate · lifetime504 / 969 vs 221 / 43852%50.5%504 / 969 vs 221 / 438Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.937.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ParilParil 1.73/Pilch 2.00
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
56.9%
Paril · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Paril won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 2 · 13:30O. Paril—11590J. Pilch—1311113
LAug 2 · 11:30O. Paril—7640J. Pilch—1111113
WAug 1 · 15:30O. Paril—61111113J. Pilch—119301
WJul 1 · 10:00O. Paril—11111113J. Pilch—551161
WApr 28 · 07:00O. Paril—11117113J. Pilch—991161
WJan 29 · 09:00O. Paril—711812113J. Pilch—117111072
LJan 22 · 14:30O. Paril—93110J. Pilch—1111133
LJan 22 · 11:00O. Paril—111195122J. Pilch—851111143
WJan 20 · 13:30O. Paril—1181110113J. Pilch—41151282
LDec 20 · 11:00O. Paril—21070J. Pilch—1112113
O. Paril10
WSep 10 · 11:00O. Paril1.44811193123M. Navedla2.631141711102LSep 10 · 10:00R. Polasek1.8311118113O. Paril1.83981191WSep 9 · 09:30O. Paril1.80111110113R. Polasek1.90891281WSep 9 · 08:30O. Paril1.73116128123R. Revay2.007111011102WSep 9 · 07:00O. Paril1.80711112113R. Polasek1.9111781192WSep 9 · 06:00M. Vavrecka2.20731491O. Paril1.61111112113WSep 7 · 21:00T. Dousek1.7310990O. Paril2.001211113LSep 7 · 20:00O. Paril2.75761171D. Opanasiuk1.4011118113LSep 7 · 19:30T. Dousek1.80111179113O. Paril1.9159111162LSep 7 · 18:00O. Paril1.61116971M. Vavrecka2.2051111113
J. Pilch10
LSep 10 · 11:30J. Pilch2.251151381R. Polasek1.5741115113WSep 10 · 10:30M. Navedla2.007460J. Pilch1.731111113LSep 10 · 09:30J. Pilch2.384860R. Revay1.531111113WSep 10 · 08:30M. Navedla2.0081090J. Pilch1.731112113WSep 10 · 07:30J. Pilch2.001361111113M. Vavrecka1.73111181342LSep 10 · 06:30R. Revay1.501061111113J. Pilch2.5012115942LSep 8 · 08:58J. Pilch1.8091190M. Navedla1.911113113WSep 8 · 08:30J. Pilch1.80811711113M. Navedla1.9111511952LSep 8 · 07:00J. Pilch1.73551171P. Wawrosz2.0011116113LSep 8 · 06:00R. Polasek1.57111175113J. Pilch2.2576111132
Upcoming Matches
O. Paril2 of 4 neutral
J. Pilch
Nothing scheduled
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