TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13104101
Played Sep 10Finished
Jakub Pilch
Home
2.00
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 2
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
13116111181113114
Michal Vavrecka
Away
1.73
At publish
Lost last 6Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 6
The read, and what happenedsealed at 12:59 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeMichal Vavrecka to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
99 points played in total.
Set by set
13116111181113114
H2H Jakub Pilch 3–6 Michal Vavrecka Jakub Pilch has won 3 of their 9 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 12:59What took a side3 for · 2 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Vavrecka
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
3-6 in 9
Vavrecka
Wrong
gap of 3 in 9, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Pilch 1803 vs Vavrecka 1759
Pilch
Correct
both rated, 44 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Pilch 20% vs Vavrecka 0%
Pilch
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Pilch 30% vs Vavrecka 40%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Pilch -2 · Vavrecka -5
Vavrecka
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 55% — Coin-flip (leans Vavrecka) · live re-read · sealed at 54% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Vavrecka form (0%) is below what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPilch 2.00 / Vavrecka 1.73
Signal prob.45% / 55%
Edge (Vavrecka)+1.2pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13104101
Pilch2.00
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog46% won 33 of 72
Down 0–1, comes back30% 11 of 37
Down 0–2, comes back6% 1 of 18
Vavrecka1.73
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 6
oldest → newest10%takes the first set · 1 of 10
As favourite53% won 170 of 320
Up 2–0, closes it88% 70 of 80
Up 1–0, closes it75% 120 of 161
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 9 meetings
HomePilch3wins
AwayVavrecka6wins
3 of 9 to a deciderVavrecka leads 6–3, and 3 of those 9 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomePilchn = 2, below the 3 needed
AwayVavrecka71.4%5 of 7
Set by set, in these 9 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Pilch2Vavrecka7n = 9Vavrecka took 7 of 9
S2Pilch6Vavrecka3n = 9Pilch took 6 of 9
S3Pilch4Vavrecka5n = 9Vavrecka took 5 of 9
S4Pilch2Vavrecka4n = 6Vavrecka took 4 of 6
S5Pilch1Vavrecka2n = 3Vavrecka took 2 of 3
How those 9 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 9 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home111%
3–1Four sets, home111%
3–2Decider, home111%
2–3Decider, away222%
1–3Four sets, away222%
0–3Straight, away222%
These 9 meetings
MetricPilchVavreckaP − VBasisWins36−3in 9 meetingsFirst set27−5of 9Avg pointsper match36.639.4−2.8per matchSweeps12−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPilchVavreckaBasisWin rate · lifetime221 / 437 vs 1012 / 200750.6%50.4%221 / 437 vs 1012 / 2007Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.539.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
VavreckaPilch 2.00/Vavrecka 1.73
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54.9%
Vavrecka · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Pilch won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record9
LJul 15 · 10:30J. Pilch—91171192M. Vavrecka—119117113
WJul 12 · 06:00J. Pilch—51113143M. Vavrecka—11311121
LApr 28 · 06:00J. Pilch—13511792M. Vavrecka—1111911113
LSep 6 · 19:00J. Pilch—8980M. Vavrecka—1111113
WSep 6 · 06:00J. Pilch—1011114113M. Vavrecka—12761172
LSep 4 · 16:30J. Pilch—71060M. Vavrecka—1112113
LJul 5 · 19:30J. Pilch—5115131M. Vavrecka—11411153
WJul 2 · 21:30J. Pilch—1113113M. Vavrecka—71160
LJul 2 · 18:00J. Pilch—1111261M. Vavrecka—13611113
J. Pilch10
LSep 10 · 11:30J. Pilch2.251151381R. Polasek1.5741115113WSep 10 · 10:30M. Navedla2.007460J. Pilch1.731111113LSep 10 · 09:30J. Pilch2.384860R. Revay1.531111113WSep 10 · 08:30M. Navedla2.0081090J. Pilch1.731112113LSep 10 · 06:30R. Revay1.501061111113J. Pilch2.5012115942LSep 8 · 08:58J. Pilch1.8091190M. Navedla1.911113113WSep 8 · 08:30J. Pilch1.80811711113M. Navedla1.9111511952LSep 8 · 07:00J. Pilch1.73551171P. Wawrosz2.0011116113LSep 8 · 06:00R. Polasek1.57111175113J. Pilch2.2576111132LSep 7 · 13:07J. Pilch1.72117271P. Wawrosz2.0041111113
M. Vavrecka10
LSep 10 · 09:00M. Navedla2.1091111113M. Vavrecka1.67115451LSep 10 · 08:00M. Vavrecka1.739101171R. Revay2.0011126113LSep 10 · 06:00M. Vavrecka1.578111131M. Navedla2.2511133113LSep 9 · 09:04R. Revay1.921111512123M. Vavrecka1.78491114102LSep 9 · 08:00M. Vavrecka2.0011812101R. Polasek1.73131110123LSep 9 · 07:30R. Revay2.0011711113M. Vavrecka1.73711671LSep 9 · 06:00M. Vavrecka2.20731491O. Paril1.61111112113LSep 7 · 21:30M. Vavrecka2.356760D. Opanasiuk1.521111113WSep 7 · 20:30M. Vavrecka2.00101111113T. Dousek1.73129491WSep 7 · 19:00M. Vavrecka2.25119118113D. Opanasiuk1.5781191182
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