TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13109840
Played Sep 10Finished
Matyas Navedla
Home
2.25
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
11915171412811611
Jakub Pilch
Away
1.57
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
How it is goingMatyas Navedla above · Jakub Pilch below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 15-17
Set 3 · 14-12
Set 4 · 8-11
Set 5 · 6-11
Point 114 set 5, 6-11
114 points played in total.
H2H Matyas Navedla 18–28 Jakub Pilch Matyas Navedla has won 18 of their 46 meetings.
They have already met 2 times today · last one 3h before this match
Pilch beat Navedla 3-0.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Signal confidence: 59% — Slight lean (leans Pilch)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Pilch form (40%) is below what odds imply (64%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsNavedla 2.25 / Pilch 1.57
Signal prob.41% / 59%
Edge (Pilch)+0.4pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13109840
Navedla2.25
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog43% won 140 of 327
Down 0–1, comes back25% 41 of 164
Down 0–2, comes back12% 9 of 73
Pilch1.57
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite52% won 54 of 103
Up 2–0, closes it96% 22 of 23
Up 1–0, closes it69% 36 of 52
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeNavedla4wins
AwayPilch6wins
6 of 10 to a deciderPilch leads 6–4, and 6 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeNavedla66.7%2 of 3
AwayPilch71.4%5 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Navedla3Pilch7n = 10Pilch took 7 of 10
S2Navedla7Pilch3n = 10Navedla took 7 of 10
S3Navedla4Pilch6n = 10Pilch took 6 of 10
S4Navedla4Pilch3n = 7Navedla took 4 of 7
S5Navedla2Pilch4n = 6Pilch took 4 of 6
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away440%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricNavedlaPilchN − PBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match39.640.9−1.3per matchSweeps12−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricNavedlaPilchBasisWin rate · lifetime364 / 762 vs 221 / 43947.8%50.3%364 / 762 vs 221 / 439Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.637.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PilchNavedla 2.25/Pilch 1.57
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
59.3%
Pilch · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Pilch won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 10 · 10:30M. Navedla—7460J. Pilch—1111113
LSep 10 · 08:30M. Navedla—81090J. Pilch—1112113
WSep 8 · 08:58M. Navedla—1113113J. Pilch—91190
LSep 8 · 08:30M. Navedla—11511952J. Pilch—811711113
LSep 7 · 12:30M. Navedla—611512102J. Pilch—1161110123
WJul 15 · 17:13M. Navedla—13111011113J. Pilch—15712662
LJul 15 · 14:30M. Navedla—511111072J. Pilch—119812113
WJul 15 · 11:30M. Navedla—11115113J. Pilch—671151
LJul 14 · 12:00M. Navedla—51151192J. Pilch—117117113
WJul 12 · 09:30M. Navedla—1211118113J. Pilch—14591132
M. Navedla10
WSep 10 · 12:00R. Polasek1.61101340M. Navedla2.201215113LSep 10 · 11:00O. Paril1.44811193123M. Navedla2.631141711102LSep 10 · 10:30M. Navedla2.007460J. Pilch1.731111113WSep 10 · 09:00M. Navedla2.1091111113M. Vavrecka1.67115451LSep 10 · 08:30M. Navedla2.0081090J. Pilch1.731112113WSep 10 · 07:00M. Navedla1.83611128113R. Revay1.83118101182WSep 10 · 06:00M. Vavrecka1.578111131M. Navedla2.2511133113WSep 8 · 08:58J. Pilch1.8091190M. Navedla1.911113113LSep 8 · 08:30J. Pilch1.80811711113M. Navedla1.9111511952LSep 8 · 07:30M. Navedla2.20101161162R. Polasek1.61126119113
J. Pilch10
LSep 10 · 12:30O. Paril1.73111110113J. Pilch2.00251261LSep 10 · 11:30J. Pilch2.251151381R. Polasek1.5741115113WSep 10 · 10:30M. Navedla2.007460J. Pilch1.731111113LSep 10 · 09:30J. Pilch2.384860R. Revay1.531111113WSep 10 · 08:30M. Navedla2.0081090J. Pilch1.731112113WSep 10 · 07:30J. Pilch2.001361111113M. Vavrecka1.73111181342LSep 10 · 06:30R. Revay1.501061111113J. Pilch2.5012115942LSep 8 · 08:58J. Pilch1.8091190M. Navedla1.911113113WSep 8 · 08:30J. Pilch1.80811711113M. Navedla1.9111511952LSep 8 · 07:00J. Pilch1.73551171P. Wawrosz2.0011116113
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.