TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13125737
Played Sep 13Finished
Matyas Navedla
Home
1.83
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
711411115911––
Pavel Wawrosz
Away
1.83
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 3
How it is goingMatyas Navedla above · Pavel Wawrosz below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 4-11
Set 3 · 11-5
Set 4 · 9-11
Point 69 set 4, 9-11
69 points played in total.
H2H Matyas Navedla 14–23 Pavel Wawrosz Matyas Navedla has won 14 of their 37 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
Same-day rematch · 3h before this match
Navedla beat Wawrosz 3-2.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Wawrosz)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Wawrosz form (20%) is below what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsNavedla 1.83 / Wawrosz 1.83
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Wawrosz)+4.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13125737
Navedla1.83
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
Wawrosz1.83
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeNavedla5wins
AwayWawrosz5wins
5 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeNavedla60%3 of 5
AwayWawrosz60%3 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Navedla5Wawrosz5n = 10split evenly
S2Navedla8Wawrosz2n = 10Navedla took 8 of 10
S3Navedla5Wawrosz5n = 10split evenly
S4Navedla3Wawrosz5n = 8Wawrosz took 5 of 8
S5Navedla2Wawrosz3n = 5Wawrosz took 3 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricNavedlaWawroszN − WBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match41.842.1−0.3per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricNavedlaWawroszBasisWin rate · lifetime365 / 766 vs 212 / 42047.7%50.5%365 / 766 vs 212 / 420Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.639.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
WawroszNavedla 1.83/Wawrosz 1.83
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Wawrosz · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Wawrosz won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 13 · 14:00M. Navedla514131112113P. Wawrosz49111151482
LSep 8 · 06:30M. Navedla33813481P. Wawrosz44111111113
WSep 7 · 10:30M. Navedla331111113P. Wawrosz188550
LSep 5 · 07:00M. Navedla4411117692P. Wawrosz49881111113
LSep 4 · 10:30M. Navedla4297111142P. Wawrosz43111164113
LAug 26 · 17:30M. Navedla3611112392P. Wawrosz49881111113
WAug 26 · 15:30M. Navedla331111113P. Wawrosz207850
WAug 24 · 08:30M. Navedla58147818113P. Wawrosz591211111692
LAug 23 · 16:58M. Navedla34512981P. Wawrosz43111011113
WAug 23 · 15:30M. Navedla54131111193P. Wawrosz471578171
M. Navedla10
LSep 13 · 16:30M. Navedla2.005117101J. Pilch1.7311811123LSep 13 · 15:00M. Navedla1.83771151R. Revay1.8311116113WSep 13 · 14:00P. Wawrosz1.67111151482M. Navedla2.104131112113LSep 10 · 13:00M. Navedla2.25111514862J. Pilch1.579171211113WSep 10 · 12:00R. Polasek1.61101340M. Navedla2.201215113LSep 10 · 11:00O. Paril1.44811193123M. Navedla2.631141711102LSep 10 · 10:30M. Navedla2.007460J. Pilch1.731111113WSep 10 · 09:00M. Navedla2.1091111113M. Vavrecka1.67115451LSep 10 · 08:30M. Navedla2.0081090J. Pilch1.731112113WSep 10 · 07:00M. Navedla1.83611128113R. Revay1.83118101182
P. Wawrosz10
LSep 13 · 16:00P. Wawrosz1.83791181R. Revay1.8311115113LSep 13 · 15:30J. Pilch1.8310101211113P. Wawrosz1.83121210222LSep 13 · 14:00P. Wawrosz1.67111151482M. Navedla2.104131112113WSep 12 · 08:59J. Pilch1.80481231P. Wawrosz1.91111110113LSep 12 · 08:00P. Wawrosz1.91911981J. Pilch1.8011811113LSep 12 · 07:30L. Velebil2.1011117113P. Wawrosz1.67881141LSep 12 · 06:00P. Wawrosz1.809111191L. Prikasky1.9111136113WSep 11 · 13:30O. Paril1.85881151P. Wawrosz1.8511119113WSep 11 · 12:30P. Wawrosz1.8361211113R. Revay1.831110681WSep 11 · 11:00P. Wawrosz2.0011127113R. Polasek1.739101191
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